The TJX Companies, Inc (TJX, $79.86) earnings expectations next week
On Wednesday, February 22, investors will be paying close attention to the earnings report from TJX Companies Inc., the parent company of popular retailers such as TJ Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods. Analysts are forecasting earnings of $1.21 per share, which would represent a slight increase from the same period last year.
However, recent market trends indicate that TJX's stock may be headed for a rough patch. On February 16, the stock moved below its 50-day moving average, which is often used as a key indicator of a stock's short-term trend. This move below the 50-day moving average signals a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
In fact, according to historical data from the past 54 instances when TJX moved below its 50-day moving average, the stock price decreased further within the following month in 39 of those instances. This means that the odds of a continued downward trend are estimated to be around 72%.
However, the stock price can drop more in the near future if TJX's earnings report and guidance fall short of expectations. When determining whether to purchase, sell, or retain their investments in TJX, investors must carefully consider the potential risks and benefits.
TJX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
TJX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 24, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TJX as a result. In of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TJX moved below its 50-day moving average on June 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TJX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TJX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TJX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TJX advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TJX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 306 cases where TJX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TJX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TJX's P/B Ratio (16.234) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.382). TJX has a moderately high P/E Ratio (29.726) as compared to the industry average of (17.131). TJX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.265) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.807). TJX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.012) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). TJX's P/S Ratio (2.791) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.718).
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General Information
a chain of retail apparels and home fashions stores
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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