The US added +223k jobs, beating expectations
The U.S. economy added +223,000 new jobs in December, well ahead of the Street consensus forecast of +200,000. The Bureau for Labor Statistics (BLS) data revealed that the private sector added + 220,000.
November's job gain of was revised to +256,00 (vs. prior estimate of +263,000)
The BLS data also suggested that unemployment rate in December fell to 3.5%, the lowest since 1969. The labor force participation rate rose slightly from 62.2% to 62.3%. Average hourly earnings were up +4.6% year-over-year in December, albeit a smaller climb vs. 4.8% seen in November.
On Wednesday, BLS released the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data that showed strong labor demand with historically high 10.5 million job openings in the US in November, similar to October's figure. The preliminary layoff rate for November was 0.9%, near the historic low.
SPY's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for SPY moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 70 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPY just turned positive on April 22, 2025. Looking at past instances where SPY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 367 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for SPY moved below the 200-day moving average on April 16, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on April 10, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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