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Aug 03, 2023

Therapy Stock Review: Outstanding 10.96% Weekly Gain $BIIB, $URGN, $ALLO

Thriving in Therapy: A Deeper Look into the Biotech and Pharmaceutical Theme

Overview of the Therapy Theme
Theme Therapy +10.96% - 1W change
Swing trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA) Annualized Return + 64% and Swing trader: High Capitalization (TA) Annualized Return + 7%

As the world grapples with various health challenges, the need for innovative therapeutic solutions cannot be overstated. In the financial market, the Therapy theme represents an intriguing investment opportunity. This theme focuses on biotech and pharmaceutical companies that discover, develop, manufacture, and deliver therapies for treating various diseases and disorders. The industry is part of the overall healthcare field but has a specific focus on the development of treatments to cure or prevent diseases.

This theme includes tickers such as $ACRS, $ALLO, $ALNY, $ARVN, $BIIB, $BPMC, $EVLO, $INMB, $KRYS, $LIVN, $OCUL, $URGN, $USPH, and $VKTX. These companies are diverse in their operations but united by their commitment to developing and delivering life-saving therapies.

Market Capitalization Analysis

These therapy-themed companies boast a collective average market capitalization of $5.8B, with individual valuations ranging from $153.8M to a whopping $39.1B. Leading the pack is Biogen ($BIIB) with the highest valuation of $39.1B, while Immune Bio Inc. ($INMB) trails with the smallest market cap at $153.8M.

A Peek into Performance: Allogene Therapeutics ($ALLO), UroGen Pharma ($URGN), and Biogen ($BIIB)

Allogene Therapeutics ($ALLO)

Allogene Therapeutics has demonstrated some volatility in its performance. For instance, the company experienced a notable downtrend with a -6.62% decrease on July 25, 2023, and a -8.49% fall on July 15, 2023. However, the company also showed resilience with a +9.61% jump on July 7, 2023, indicating an uptrend reversal. This fluctuation in performance demonstrates the dynamic nature of the biotech industry.

UroGen Pharma ($URGN)

UroGen Pharma, on the other hand, has been a high flyer in the Therapy theme, exhibiting the highest price growth at 129.64%. This significant growth reflects the company's innovative approach to developing and commercializing therapies designed to change the standard of care for urological pathologies.

Biogen ($BIIB)

Biogen, the heavyweight in this theme, demonstrates why it commands such a massive market capitalization. With a valuation of $39.1B, the company continues to be a major player in the industry, providing a wide array of therapies for diseases such as multiple sclerosis, Alzheimer's disease, and spinal muscular atrophy, among others.

Volume Fluctuation Analysis

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group stands at 95.5%. Allogene Therapeutics ($ALLO) experienced a record-breaking daily growth of 1,009% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average on June 24, 2023. On May 26, 2023, US Physical Therapy ($USPH) had a similar record-breaking daily growth of 1,369% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average. Krystal Biotech ($KRYS) also experienced a significant two-day consecutive volume increase, resulting in a daily growth of 178% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average on May 25, 2023. These volume fluctuations provide an insightful look into investor interest and trading activity within the Therapy theme.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

Fundamental analysis ratings provide another valuable perspective on the health and potential of companies within this theme. On average, companies in this theme have a Valuation Rating of 72, P/E Growth Rating of 88, a Price Growth Rating of 51, an SMR Rating of 91, and a Profit Risk Rating of 83. The Seasonality Score stands at 15. These scores indicate the overall health and potential for growth of these companies, offering another piece of the investment decision puzzle.

The Therapy theme offers a myriad of opportunities for investors who are passionate about healthcare and the development of novel therapeutic treatments. The performance of the companies under this theme not only shows their potential for growth but also the crucial role they play in improving global health outcomes.


BIIB in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on May 15, 2024

BIIB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 36 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BIIB moved out of overbought territory on May 16, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 47 cases where BIIB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BIIB as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BIIB turned negative on June 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIIB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIIB advanced for three days, in of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 139 cases where BIIB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BIIB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.110) is normal, around the industry mean (5.632). P/E Ratio (26.955) is within average values for comparable stocks, (48.974). BIIB's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.807) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.004). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.164) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.181) is also within normal values, averaging (3.643).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BIIB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:AZN), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 86.34B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 72.83K to 739.66B. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 739.66B. The lowest valued company is CRXTQ at 72.83K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. SCLX experienced the highest price growth at 48%, while GIFLF experienced the biggest fall at -10%.


The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -72%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of therapies for people living with neurological, autoimmune and hematologic disorders

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

225 Binney Street
+1 617 679-2000
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