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May 30, 2019

Trade wars worrying U.S. homebuyers

The number of borrowers looking for a home loan fell to a one-month low, the Mortgage Bankers Association said.

The Washington-based group’s seasonally adjusted measure on mortgage applications for home purchase and refinancing declined by 3.3% to 411.5 in the week ended May 24. This was the lowest level since the week of April 26. 

“Concerns over European economic growth and ongoing uncertainty about a trade war with China were some of the main factors that kept mortgage rates low last week,” Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting, said in a statement.

Related Ticker: LGIH

Momentum Indicator for LGIH turns positive, indicating new upward trend

LGIH saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 21, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LGIH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LGIH just turned positive on November 04, 2025. Looking at past instances where LGIH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LGIH moved above its 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LGIH advanced for three days, in of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LGIH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LGIH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for LGIH entered a downward trend on November 11, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LGIH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.585) is normal, around the industry mean (19.858). P/E Ratio (11.655) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.418). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.480). LGIH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (0.688) is also within normal values, averaging (24.864).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LGIH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 6.74B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 45.78B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 45.78B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. HOV experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while NOBH experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 88% and the average quarterly volume growth was 24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
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LGIH
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. LGIH showed earnings on November 04, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of residential construction services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1450 Lake Robbins Drive
Phone
+1 281 362-8998
Employees
1089
Web
https://www.lgihomes.com
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