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published in Blogs
Apr 16, 2023

Turning Point Brands (TPB, $22.55) increased in a record-breaking daily growth of 206%

Turning Point Brands (TPB) experienced a significant increase in daily volume on April 15, 2023, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 206% compared to the 65-Day Volume Moving Average. TPB's total volume rose to 631K, while the price saw an insignificant increase of +1.85%, closing at $22.56.

The surge in volume could indicate a change in trend, and investors may consider it a buy signal. A.I.dvisor, an artificial intelligence platform, found 12 similar cases, with 10 of them resulting in successful outcomes. Based on this data, the odds of success are +83%.

However, investors should be cautious and not rely solely on past trends. It is essential to conduct a thorough analysis of the company's financials, including its earnings results, to make informed decisions.

Turning Point Brands recently reported its Q1 2023 earnings, beating market expectations. The company's revenue rose by 15.7%, from $98.6 million in Q1 2022 to $113.9 million in Q1 2023. The growth was driven by strong performance across all its segments, including Smoking products, NewGen products, and NewGen distribution.

TPB's gross profit increased by 18.2%, from $38.9 million in Q1 2022 to $46.0 million in Q1 2023, while its gross margin rose by 1.2 percentage points to 40.4%. The company's net income also saw a significant increase of 56.5%, from $5.5 million in Q1 2022 to $8.6 million in Q1 2023.

In addition, TPB's operating cash flow increased by 36.5%, from $9.9 million in Q1 2022 to $13.5 million in Q1 2023, indicating a healthy financial position. The company also has a solid balance sheet, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, indicating a moderate level of debt.

Overall, TPB's earnings results demonstrate strong growth potential, making it an attractive investment opportunity. The surge in volume could be a sign of increasing investor interest in the stock, and if the trend continues, the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Turning Point Brands' significant increase in daily volume, resulting in a record-breaking growth of 206%, indicates a potential change in trend and may be a buy signal for investors. However, investors should conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

TPB's Q1 2023 earnings results demonstrate strong growth potential, with revenue and net income increasing significantly. The company also has a healthy financial position, making it an attractive investment opportunity. If the current trend continues, the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Related Ticker: TPB

TPB's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for TPB moved out of oversold territory on October 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 34 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where TPB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TPB as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPB advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TPB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

TPB moved below its 50-day moving average on October 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TPB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TPB entered a downward trend on October 17, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.231) is normal, around the industry mean (16.106). P/E Ratio (31.314) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.320). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.048) is also within normal values, averaging (0.950). TPB has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.003) as compared to the industry average of (0.052). P/S Ratio (3.962) is also within normal values, averaging (2.583).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 31.15B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 16.09K to 244.17B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 244.17B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 16.09K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. ECGS experienced the highest price growth at 41%, while PYYX experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 38%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. TPB showed earnings on August 06, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Tobacco
Address
5201 Interchange Way
Phone
+1 502 778-4421
Employees
373
Web
https://www.turningpointbrands.com
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