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Feb 19, 2021
Twilio (TWLO, $425.67)posts surprise Q4 profit

Twilio (TWLO, $425.67)posts surprise Q4 profit

Twilio crushed analysts’ expectations  by posting a profit for the fourth quarter.

The cloud communication platform’s adjusted earnings for the quarter came in at 4 cents per share, compared to a loss of -8 cents per share expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue of $548.1 million also topped analysts’ expectation sof $454.8 million.

Contribution of political activity was $23 million in revenue in the quarter. Facebook’s WhatsApp messaging app contributed 5% of revenue, down from 6% in the third quarter, according to Khozema Shipchandler, the company’s finance chief.

Twilio added 13,000 active customer accounts in the fourth quarter, compared with an increase of 8,000 in the third quarter. It has a total of 221,000 accounts as of fourth quarter.

“The pandemic accelerated change overnight,” Jeff Lawson, a co-founder of Twilio and its CEO, said on a conference call with analysts. “Health care had to accelerate the adoption of telemedicine and e-commerce companies accelerated their e-commerce plans. Companies that hired more developers and upped their digital game during the pandemic are not going back.”

Looking ahead, Twilio expects an adjusted loss of -12 cents to -9 cents per share for the first quarter, while analysts polled by Refinitiv expect adjusted loss of -2 cents per share. The company  forecasts revenue of $526 million to $536 million (representing about 44% to 47% revenue growth), compared to analysts’ estimate of  $492.1 million.

 

Related Ticker: TWLO

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Aroon Indicator for TWLO shows an upward move is likely

TWLO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on July 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 205 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 205 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TWLO as a result. In of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TWLO just turned positive on August 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where TWLO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TWLO moved above its 50-day moving average on August 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TWLO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWLO advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWLO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TWLO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TWLO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.266) is normal, around the industry mean (22.782). P/E Ratio (34.450) is within average values for comparable stocks, (73.789). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.453) is also within normal values, averaging (1.907). TWLO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (7.107) is also within normal values, averaging (134.477).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWLO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 34.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 3.69T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.69T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 28%. AIFA experienced the highest price growth at 82%, while WETO experienced the biggest fall at -37%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was 15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 51% and the average quarterly volume growth was 2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -6 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of cloud-based communications platform

Industry ComputerCommunications

Profile
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
101 Spear Street
Phone
+1 415 390-2337
Employees
5867
Web
https://www.twilio.com
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Twilio (TWLO, $425.67)posts surprise Q4 profit