Twilio (TWLO, $425.67)posts surprise Q4 profit
Twilio crushed analysts’ expectations by posting a profit for the fourth quarter.
The cloud communication platform’s adjusted earnings for the quarter came in at 4 cents per share, compared to a loss of -8 cents per share expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue of $548.1 million also topped analysts’ expectation sof $454.8 million.
Contribution of political activity was $23 million in revenue in the quarter. Facebook’s WhatsApp messaging app contributed 5% of revenue, down from 6% in the third quarter, according to Khozema Shipchandler, the company’s finance chief.
Twilio added 13,000 active customer accounts in the fourth quarter, compared with an increase of 8,000 in the third quarter. It has a total of 221,000 accounts as of fourth quarter.
“The pandemic accelerated change overnight,” Jeff Lawson, a co-founder of Twilio and its CEO, said on a conference call with analysts. “Health care had to accelerate the adoption of telemedicine and e-commerce companies accelerated their e-commerce plans. Companies that hired more developers and upped their digital game during the pandemic are not going back.”
Looking ahead, Twilio expects an adjusted loss of -12 cents to -9 cents per share for the first quarter, while analysts polled by Refinitiv expect adjusted loss of -2 cents per share. The company forecasts revenue of $526 million to $536 million (representing about 44% to 47% revenue growth), compared to analysts’ estimate of $492.1 million.
TWLO in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on June 13, 2025
TWLO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 37 cases where TWLO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 24, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TWLO as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWLO advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 190 cases where TWLO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TWLO moved out of overbought territory on June 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TWLO turned negative on June 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWLO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TWLO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.168) is normal, around the industry mean (11.909). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.062). TWLO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (28.154) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.572). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.756) is also within normal values, averaging (20.696).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TWLO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of cloud-based communications platform
Industry InternetSoftwareServices
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