Ulta Beauty (ULTA, $268.47) beats Q3 earnings estimates, driven by celebrity brands
Ulta Beauty’s third-quarter earnings surpassed expectations, on the back of sales of celebrity-led product lines.
The beauty/skincare retail company reported earnings of $2.25 a share for the latest quarter, compared to $2.13 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue increased to $1.68 billion from $1.56 billion a year ago, but was slightly below analyst estimate of $1.69 billion.
Same-store sales growth came in line with analysts’ expected +3.2%.
The company has cited celebrity cosmetics-brands like those from Kylie Jenner and YouTuber James Charles for boosting demand at its stores.
For the full-year, Ulta narrowed its earnings guidance to a range of $11.93 to $12.03 per share- from its prior forecast of $11.86 to $12.06 per share.
ULTA's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ULTA turned positive on November 29, 2024. Looking at past instances where ULTA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ULTA as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ULTA moved above its 50-day moving average on November 27, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ULTA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 05, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ULTA advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ULTA moved out of overbought territory on December 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ULTA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ULTA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ULTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.198) is normal, around the industry mean (12.393). P/E Ratio (20.314) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.657). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.047) is also within normal values, averaging (2.650). ULTA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (2.340) is also within normal values, averaging (19.235).
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General Information
a company that retails cosmetics and other personal care products
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