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Jan 30, 2020
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UPS (UPS, $108.92) meets earnings estimate; Amazon leads its revenue growth

UPS (UPS, $108.92) meets earnings estimate; Amazon leads its revenue growth

United Parcel Service’s fourth-quarter earnings matched expectations.

The package delivery company reported adjusted earnings of $2.11 a share, in line with consensus estimate of analysts polled by FactSet. The figure is also higher from the year-ago quarter’s $1.94 a share.

Revenue rose year-over-year to $20.6 billion, just shy of analysts’ forecasts of $20.7 billion.

UPS indicated that its U.S. domestic business experienced +6.6% revenue growth, led by its largest customer Amazon. International revenue slipped -1.7% to $3.76 billion, slightly below analyst’ of expectations of $3.80 billion

Looking ahead, UPS expects 2020 full-year earnings per share in the range of between $7.76 and $8.06, compared to FactSet estimate of $8.03.  Its projection includes expected weakness on the industrial side of the U.S. and global economies as well as spending that will significantly increase UPS competitiveness and will be EPS accretive in 2021 (according to the company).

 

 

Related Ticker: UPS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


UPS in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026

UPS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UPS as a result. In 67 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UPS just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where UPS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

The 10-day moving average for UPS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Following a +2.22% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPS advanced for three days, in 193 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 111 of 207 cases where UPS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UPS moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 55%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 68 cases where UPS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.

UPS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. UPS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.115) is normal, around the industry mean (2.483). P/E Ratio (20.130) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.339). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.340) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). UPS has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.061) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (0.935) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW).

Industry description

Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Transportation Industry is 8.62B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 414.67K to 92.14B. UPS holds the highest valuation in this group at 92.14B. The lowest valued company is JETR at 414.67K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Transportation Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -29%. SERV experienced the highest price growth at 35%, while SLGB experienced the biggest fall at -39%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Transportation Industry was -53%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 33 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of global package delivery and supply chain management solutions

Industry OtherTransportation

Industry
Air Freight Or Couriers
Address
55 Glenlake Parkway
Phone
+1 404 828-6000
Employees
460000
Web
https://www.ups.com
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