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published in Blogs
Jan 13, 2020

Urban Outfitters (URBN, $26.39) reports lower-than-expected holiday sales

Urban Outfitters’ holiday sales came in below analysts' expectations.

The lifestyle retail company’s same-store sales at its Free People and  Anthropologie  outlets increased +8% and +5% respectively during the 2019 holiday season. However, comparable-store sales at the company’s eponymous stores declined -1%. 

The retailer's overall sales climbed just under +3% during the holiday season, lagging analysts' expectations.

On Thursday, the company also reported lower-than-expected sales.

Urban Outfitters’ also warned of a possible thinner-than-expected profit margins for the fourth quarter.

Related Ticker: URBN

URBN sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On March 04, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for URBN moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 70 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 70 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 01, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on URBN as a result. In of 102 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URBN advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 196 cases where URBN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for URBN moved out of overbought territory on February 28, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for URBN turned negative on February 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URBN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

URBN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. URBN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.894) is normal, around the industry mean (4.002). P/E Ratio (14.134) is within average values for comparable stocks, (102.991). URBN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.550) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.329). URBN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (0.789) is also within normal values, averaging (2.051).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 12.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. CURV experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while DBGI experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 23% and the average quarterly volume growth was -4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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URBNDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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published General Information

General Information

a retail clothing store

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
5000 South Broad Street
Phone
+1 215 454-5500
Employees
26000
Web
https://www.urbn.com
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URBN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, URBN has been loosely correlated with DBI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if URBN jumps, then DBI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To URBN
1D Price
Change %
URBN100%
+2.11%
DBI - URBN
56%
Loosely correlated
-3.26%
ANF - URBN
55%
Loosely correlated
+4.51%
FL - URBN
51%
Loosely correlated
-2.02%
AEO - URBN
50%
Loosely correlated
-0.08%
BKE - URBN
49%
Loosely correlated
+1.48%
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