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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 13, 2020

Urban Outfitters (URBN, $26.39) reports lower-than-expected holiday sales

Urban Outfitters’ holiday sales came in below analysts' expectations.

The lifestyle retail company’s same-store sales at its Free People and  Anthropologie  outlets increased +8% and +5% respectively during the 2019 holiday season. However, comparable-store sales at the company’s eponymous stores declined -1%. 

The retailer's overall sales climbed just under +3% during the holiday season, lagging analysts' expectations.

On Thursday, the company also reported lower-than-expected sales.

Urban Outfitters’ also warned of a possible thinner-than-expected profit margins for the fourth quarter.

Related Ticker: URBN

URBN's Stochastic Oscillator reaches overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for URBN moved into overbought territory on April 24, 2024. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

URBN moved below its 50-day moving average on April 03, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for URBN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 08, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URBN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for URBN entered a downward trend on April 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where URBN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 23, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on URBN as a result. In of 104 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for URBN just turned positive on April 24, 2024. Looking at past instances where URBN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URBN advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

URBN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. URBN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.970) is normal, around the industry mean (3.862). P/E Ratio (14.708) is within average values for comparable stocks, (100.955). URBN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.582) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.444). URBN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (0.821) is also within normal values, averaging (2.003).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 12.45B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 43%. ESPGY experienced the highest price growth at 61%, while PLCE experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -28% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a retail clothing store

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
5000 South Broad Street
Phone
+1 215 454-5500
Employees
26000
Web
https://www.urbn.com
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