US Dollar Appreciates To Record-High Against Euro, As Eurozone Risks Remain
The U.S. dollar jumped to a five-year high against the euro on Thursday, following European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi’s comments.
Draghi hinted that uncertainties related to international trade tensions, emerging market turmoil and geopolitical risks continue to plague the outlook for the euro zone’s economy. That probably set off market expectations of a dovish stance from the ECB, at least for the near-term. The euro was -0.18% lower against the dollar at $1.136, after falling as low as $1.1308 - its lowest since Dec. 17.
What could have potentially added to the dollar’s upside was strong labor market conditions in the U.S. Latest official figures revealed that the number of applicants for unemployment benefits fell to more than a 49-year low last week in the U.S. The dollar index - which tracks the US dollar’s value against a basket of other currencies like the euro, yen, British pound and three others - was up +0.15% at 96.265
EURUSD sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
EURUSD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 21, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 117 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 117 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 21, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EURUSD as a result. In of 151 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EURUSD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
EURUSD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for EURUSD entered a downward trend on October 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where EURUSD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 50 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EURUSD advanced for three days, in of 256 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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