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Jul 27, 2018

US Economy Grows At Its Fastest Since 2014

The U.S. economy grew at 4.1% (annualized rate) in Q2 2018 - the fastest pace in four years.

Contributing to the record growth was nonresidential business investment (with 7.3 %  growth) and consumer spending (with 4% increase).

The U.S. Commerce Department also revised upwards the previous quarter’s growth figures – Q1 2018’s was 2.2% (up from from previous estimate of 2%). Nomianal GDP as of Q1 topped $20 trillion, per latest estimates by the Department.

On  a year-over-year basis, Q2 GDP climbed 2.8%, slightly below U.S. President Donald Trump’s target of 3%.

Related Ticker: XLY

XLY in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024

The 10-day moving average for XLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 03, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLY as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLY turned negative on April 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

XLY moved below its 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for XLY entered a downward trend on April 22, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLY advanced for three days, in of 380 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Home Depot (NYSE:HD), McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), Nike (NYSE:NKE), Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:BKNG), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index. The Advisor employs a replication strategy. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Consumer Discretionary companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®). It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Consumer Discret Sel Sect SPDR® ETF ETF is 368.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 79.09B to 1.84T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.84T. The lowest valued company is CMG at 79.09B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Consumer Discret Sel Sect SPDR® ETF ETF was 4%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 61%. SBUX experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while TSLA experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Consumer Discret Sel Sect SPDR® ETF ETF was -5%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 18
Profit Risk Rating: 32
Seasonality Score: -23 (-100 ... +100)
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XLYDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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General Information

Category ConsumerDiscretionary

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
Consumer Cyclical
Address
One Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com
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