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published in Blogs
Jul 31, 2018
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US Employment Cost Growth At Record Highs

US Employment Cost Growth At Record Highs

U.S. employment costs’ year-over-year increase in Q2 is its fastest in almost 10 years.

At 2.8%, the year-over-year growth in employment cost index, as released by the U.S. Labor Department, is the most since Q3 2008. Wages and salaries increased 2.8% year-over-year - again the fastest pace since Q3 2008. Benefits costs climbed 2.9%, the most since Q4 2011.

Demand for labor increased particularly in the manufacturing, construction and service-related industries. Employment costs for manufacturers rose 2.9%, while that for construction and private service providers went up by 3% and 2.9% respectively - on a year-over-year basis.

 

Related Ticker: ITB

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


ITB in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026

ITB moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 32 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ITB as a result. In 63 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ITB just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where ITB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 44 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ITB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

ITB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ITB entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Owens Corning (NYSE:OC), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index composed of U.S. equities in the home construction sector. The index measures the performance of the home construction sector of the U.S. equity market, as defined by the index provider. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents. It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) ETF is 22.64B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 118M to 328.22B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 328.22B. The lowest valued company is JELD at 118M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) ETF was 27%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 32%, and the average quarterly price growth was 65%. HAYW experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while LII experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) ETF was -6%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 11% and the average quarterly volume growth was 30%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 52 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Category ConsumerDiscretionary

Category
Consumer Cyclical
Address
iShares Trust400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
Phone
415-670-2000
Web
www.ishares.com
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