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Jul 31, 2018
US Employment Cost Growth At Record Highs

US Employment Cost Growth At Record Highs

U.S. employment costs’ year-over-year increase in Q2 is its fastest in almost 10 years.

At 2.8%, the year-over-year growth in employment cost index, as released by the U.S. Labor Department, is the most since Q3 2008. Wages and salaries increased 2.8% year-over-year - again the fastest pace since Q3 2008. Benefits costs climbed 2.9%, the most since Q4 2011.

Demand for labor increased particularly in the manufacturing, construction and service-related industries. Employment costs for manufacturers rose 2.9%, while that for construction and private service providers went up by 3% and 2.9% respectively - on a year-over-year basis.

 

Related Ticker: ITB

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


ITB in -2.53% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on August 18, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where ITB declined for three days, in of 268 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ITB as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ITB turned negative on August 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ITB moved below its 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ITB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ITB entered a downward trend on August 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 53 cases where ITB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for ITB moved above the 200-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ITB advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Owens Corning (NYSE:OC), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index composed of U.S. equities in the home construction sector. The index measures the performance of the home construction sector of the U.S. equity market, as defined by the index provider. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents. It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares US Home Construction ETF ETF is 19.35B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 199.56M to 334.64B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 334.64B. The lowest valued company is JELD at 199.56M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares US Home Construction ETF ETF was 19%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 96%, and the average quarterly price growth was 22%. JELD experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while LZB experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares US Home Construction ETF ETF was 26%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -9%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 37
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: -52 (-100 ... +100)
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