US Foods Holding (USFD) hits lower rail of channel, gets bullish signal
Wholesale food distributor US Foods Holding (NYSE: USFD) has been trending higher since last November. A trend channel has formed in the last seven months with the lower rail connecting the lows from November, December, May, and now June. A parallel upper rail connects the highs from November, February, and May. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel and looks to bounce back from a recent pullback.
One other development from the chart is the fact that the daily stochastic readings dropped down below the 30 level and made a bullish crossover on June 26. The indicators didn’t quite reach oversold territory, but the crossover could act as a bullish sign.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for US Foods on June 24. The signal showed a confidence level of 63% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. Past predictions on the stock have been successful 76% of the time.
The company’s fundamentals are somewhat mixed at this time. The company has been able to grow earnings at a rate of 27% per year over the last three years and they grew by 6% in the most recent quarter. Unfortunately, sales have only grown by 2% per year over the last three years. The company’s profit margin is also below average at 2.6%.
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PFGC's RSI Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 9 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 20 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFGC advanced for three days, in 227 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
PFGC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PFGC as a result. In 54 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
PFGC moved below its 50-day moving average on August 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PFGC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PFGC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for PFGC entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.987) is normal, around the industry mean (3.394). P/E Ratio (40.681) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.985). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.778) is also within normal values, averaging (0.907). PFGC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.018). P/S Ratio (0.216) is also within normal values, averaging (0.368).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PFGC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a distributor of food products
Industry FoodDistributors
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