US Foods Holding (USFD) hits lower rail of channel, gets bullish signal
Wholesale food distributor US Foods Holding (NYSE: USFD) has been trending higher since last November. A trend channel has formed in the last seven months with the lower rail connecting the lows from November, December, May, and now June. A parallel upper rail connects the highs from November, February, and May. The stock just hit the lower rail of the channel and looks to bounce back from a recent pullback.
One other development from the chart is the fact that the daily stochastic readings dropped down below the 30 level and made a bullish crossover on June 26. The indicators didn’t quite reach oversold territory, but the crossover could act as a bullish sign.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for US Foods on June 24. The signal showed a confidence level of 63% and it calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. Past predictions on the stock have been successful 76% of the time.
The company’s fundamentals are somewhat mixed at this time. The company has been able to grow earnings at a rate of 27% per year over the last three years and they grew by 6% in the most recent quarter. Unfortunately, sales have only grown by 2% per year over the last three years. The company’s profit margin is also below average at 2.6%.
PFGC's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PFGC turned positive on July 02, 2025. Looking at past instances where PFGC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 30, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PFGC as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFGC advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PFGC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PFGC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PFGC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.985) is normal, around the industry mean (18.067). P/E Ratio (27.044) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.917). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.660) is also within normal values, averaging (1.517). PFGC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (0.200) is also within normal values, averaging (1.519).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
Industry description
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
a distributor of food products
Industry FoodDistributors
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