US retail sales slipped -0.3% in May
U.S. retail sales fell in the month of May, amidst record high inflation rates dampening consumers’ discretionary spending.
Data from Commerce Department indicated that May retail sales slipped -0.3% over the month to a $672.9 billion, below the Street consensus forecast of a +0.2% gain. It also marked a departure from a four-month stretch of consecutive gains. Excluding the auto sector, May retail sales rose +0.5%, the Commerce Department report mentioned.
The data also revealed a downward revision in April’s retail sales gain, to 0.7%, from the prior estimate of a 0.9% rise.
The Commerce Department's headline inflation climbed to +8.6%, the highest in more than four decades. Core inflation was +5.9%, near the highest since February of 1991. Surging food and fuel prices might have left consumers with less cash to spend on "core" items.
SPY's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for SPY moved out of overbought territory on October 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on October 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 469 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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