The daily chart on Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) is an interesting one for a number of reasons. First, the stock has held up remarkably well in recent months as most other stocks were falling. The second item of interest is the regression line for the last nine months and the stock’s relationship with that regression line.
The middle blue line is the regression line. I drew the two outer lines and they are parallel to the regression line as you can see. What I found to be extremely interesting was how the upper line connected highs and the lower rail connected lows. Yes, it forms a trend channel, but I found it amazing how they parallel the regression perfectly.
I also took note of how the upper rail is further from the regression line than the lower rail. I do a lot of work with trend channels and can’t say that I have seen too many channels like this one. I wish I could say the slope of the trend being upward is why the stock seems to be allowed to venture further from the regression line on the upside than the downside, but I don’t know if that is true or not.
The company’s fundamentals are above average. Verizon scores a 78 on Investor’s Business Daily’s EPS rating system, and it gets a B in the SMR ratings. A 78 rating on the EPS means that the company’s earnings growth is better than 78% of companies in IBD’s database. The SMR ratings range from A to E with A being the best. It measures sales growth, profit margin, and return on equity. Verizon's B rating is above average, but not the highest score.
The 10-day moving average for VZ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VZ moved out of overbought territory on April 04, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VZ as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VZ turned negative on April 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
VZ moved below its 50-day moving average on April 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VZ advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
VZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 208 cases where VZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.926) is normal, around the industry mean (5.048). P/E Ratio (15.375) is within average values for comparable stocks, (144.473). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.163) is also within normal values, averaging (9.572). Dividend Yield (0.062) settles around the average of (0.091) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.330) is also within normal values, averaging (13.029).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of wired and wireless telecommunication services
Industry WirelessTelecommunications