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Sep 01, 2026
VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF (VFLO) Delivers +11.8% Gain Over 30 Days on Commodity Strength

VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF (VFLO) Delivers +11.8% Gain Over 30 Days on Commodity Strength

Key Takeaways

  • VFLO rose roughly 11.8% over the trailing 30 days, climbing from about $49.74 to $55.59.
  • The advance extended a gain of approximately 15% over the past quarter, with most of the move concentrated in August.
  • Commodity-linked holdings — gold miners and energy producers — drove the rally as gold pushed above $4,400 an ounce and crude oil climbed.
  • Technology remains the largest sector exposure at about 31%, but lagging mega-cap software names made energy, materials, and healthcare the primary contributors.
  • The move was trend-driven and broad rather than a single-day spike, accelerating through the second half of August.

A Closer Look at VFLO’s Strategy and Holdings

The VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF (VFLO) is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that follows the Victory U.S. Large Cap Free Cash Flow Index. The index uses a rules-based approach to pick about 50 companies from the S-Network U.S. Equity Large/Mid-Cap 1000 Index, focusing on high free cash flow yield and then ranking them by revenue and earnings growth. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

VFLO currently holds around 52 securities and has a net expense ratio of 0.39%, with assets under management near $10.7 billion. Sector weights are concentrated in technology (roughly 31%), energy (about 23%), healthcare (around 21%), consumer cyclical (11%), basic materials (7%), communication services (4%), and utilities (3%). Top holdings include Adobe (ADBE), Expedia (EXPE), Devon Energy (DVN), Newmont (NEM), Accenture (ACN), Intuit (INTU), Salesforce (CRM), Coeur Mining (CDE), Tenet Healthcare (THC), Merck (MRK), and ExxonMobil (XOM). This free-cash-flow focus naturally tilts the portfolio toward capital-light software companies and cash-generative commodity producers, which helps explain why its recent performance has diverged from the broader market’s technology-led moves.

Recent Price Performance: +11.8% Over 30 Days and +15% for the Quarter

Over the last 30 days, VFLO climbed from approximately $49.74 to $55.59, a gain of about 11.8%. The advance was not even throughout the period. The fund consolidated near $50 in the first half before breaking out in mid-August and trending higher into month-end. Over the trailing three months, the ETF rose from roughly $48.18 to $55.59 for a gain of about 15%. June and much of July were range-bound between roughly $45 and $48, with momentum building in late July and carrying through August. The pattern points to a steady, trend-driven rise led by cyclical and commodity-sensitive areas rather than sharp news-driven swings.

What Powered the 30-Day Advance

The biggest driver was the August rebound in gold and gold miners. Bullion moved above $4,400 and later $4,500 an ounce, and mining equities finally began to catch up after lagging the metal for much of the year. VFLO’s holdings in NEM and CDE — which rose roughly 7% and 30% respectively during the month — contributed directly to the fund’s results. Energy names provided additional support as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent crude toward $95 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate above $88 in late August, lifting producers such as DVN, XOM, Marathon Petroleum, and Diamondback Energy. Healthcare also helped, with THC and MRK posting solid multi-month gains.

Technology, the fund’s largest sector weight, actually weighed on performance. Software names such as INTU, ADBE, and ACN remained under pressure, showing that the recent outperformance came almost entirely from the commodity and healthcare portions of the portfolio.

Drivers Behind the Quarterly Gain

The three-month trend reflects a broader rotation toward value and cash-generative cyclical businesses. After a softer period through June and early July, investor interest shifted toward free-cash-flow producers as commodity prices firmed and interest-rate uncertainty eased. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its late-July meeting in a divided vote, and softer energy-driven inflation readings helped reduce expectations for further hikes. Lower real yields reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, supporting gold and the miners in VFLO’s portfolio. Persistent geopolitical risks kept energy equities supported, while pharmaceutical and hospital operators benefited from steady earnings and ongoing free cash flow generation. This combination of a commodity re-rating and a move toward profitable, cash-rich companies aligned well with the fund’s fundamental weighting approach and explains why its quarterly gain outpaced a more narrowly led market.

What’s Next for VFLO: Key Factors to Monitor

The fund’s near-term path will likely stay sensitive to commodity prices. Whether gold holds above roughly $4,300 to $4,500 an ounce and whether crude oil remains elevated will heavily influence the miners and energy producers that make up a meaningful portion of VFLO’s weight. A pullback in bullion or a sharp rise in fuel costs could pressure margins in those names. Monetary policy remains the key macro variable. Any firming in inflation data or renewed hawkishness from the Federal Reserve could lift real yields and weigh on gold-linked holdings, while softer inflation and a stable or easing rate path would likely support the fund’s commodity and value tilt. Investors should also watch the technology sleeve. A recovery in capital-light free-cash-flow names such as Intuit, Adobe, and Accenture could broaden participation beyond commodities, whereas continued weakness there would keep performance concentrated in a narrower group of holdings. Because the index reconstitutes quarterly, shifts in free-cash-flow rankings may alter sector weights over time, an important structural point for anyone considering VFLO as a core or satellite holding.

AI Screener

I frequently use Tickeron’s AI Screener when researching ETFs like VFLO. The platform lets me scan thousands of securities with technical indicators, fundamentals, volatility metrics, price patterns, industry filters, AI-generated signals, and performance data. It helps surface trending names and breakout candidates more efficiently than manual methods, serving as a practical complement to traditional ETF analysis. Investors looking to spot emerging sector leadership or confirm momentum in holdings similar to those in VFLO can find the tool useful for streamlining their own research process.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: VFLO

Contributor

My name is Jimmy, and I’m a financial analyst focused on identifying compelling opportunities across the ETF market. Each day, I analyze hundreds of ETFs to uncover potential trading and investment opportunities using a broad range of market factors. For short-term trading, I rely heavily on technical analysis, including price channels, momentum indicators, support and resistance levels, trend patterns, and other market signals. At the same time, I dedicate significant attention to evaluating ETFs from a long-term investment perspective. My objective is to build a well-balanced ETF portfolio that combines core investment holdings with more tactical and speculative positions. The goal is to create a portfolio that can participate effectively in market rallies while also remaining resilient during periods of volatility and market corrections.


VFLO sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

VFLO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 31, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 30 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VFLO moved out of overbought territory on September 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VFLO as a result. In 32 of 49 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VFLO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VFLO advanced for three days, in 196 of 222 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

VFLO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 238 cases where VFLO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), McKesson Corp (NYSE:MCK).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that closely correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of the Victory U.S. Large Cap Free Cash Flow Index. Under normal circumstances, the fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing at least 80% of its assets in securities in the index. The index provider constructs the index in accordance with a rules-based methodology that selects 50 companies from the S-Network U.S. Equity Large/Mid-Cap 1000 Index. The fund generally seeks to track the returns of the index before fees and expenses by employing a replication strategy that seeks to hold all the stocks in the index.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF ETF is 74.78B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.08B to 696.23B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 696.23B. The lowest valued company is APTV at 9.08B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF ETF was 12%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 26%, and the average quarterly price growth was 128%. FFIV experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while AMAT experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF ETF was -9%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 22% and the average quarterly volume growth was -45%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 39
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 49
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
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Compass EMP Funds Trust4020 South 147th StreetOmaha
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