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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 08, 2025

Week (March 3 - 7) in Review: Financial Leaders

The week was marked by significant financial events that influenced global markets. Notably, the FTSE 100 Index reached an all-time high, closing at 8,871.31 on March 3, 2025, surpassing its previous records. This surge was driven by strong performances in sectors such as mining and banking. Conversely, the U.S. stock markets faced volatility due to uncertainties surrounding trade policies and economic data, leading to declines in major indices.

Global Overview

The global financial landscape experienced notable fluctuations this week. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and XRP saw significant gains of 24.96% and 16.64%, respectively, reflecting increased investor interest. However, traditional commodities such as the United States Oil Fund (USO) declined by 4.35%, indicating potential shifts in energy markets. Major indexes, including the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), decreased by 4.36%, highlighting broader market apprehensions.​

Sector Overview

Sector-specific performances varied throughout the week. The financial sector, represented by the iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF (EUFN), rose by 5.36%, possibly due to positive earnings reports from European banks. The materials sector also performed well, with ETFs like VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals (REMX) and iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers (PICK gaining 4.72% and 3.26%, respectively, driven by increased demand for industrial metals. In contrast, the technology sector faced challenges; the First Trust Cloud Computing ETF (SKYY) dropped by 7.37%, and the Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Discretionary ETF (PSCD) fell by 8.27%, suggesting investor caution in these areas.​

International Overview

International markets displayed mixed results. European ETFs, such as the iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF (EZU) and the JPMorgan BetaBuilders Europe ETF (BBEU), experienced gains of 5.15% and 3.49%, respectively, indicating optimism in the European economy. Latin American markets also showed strength, with the First Trust Brazil AlphaDEX® ETF (FBZ) increasing by 4.04%. Conversely, North American ETFs like the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) and the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) declined by over 4%, reflecting investor concerns about the U.S. economic outlook.​

Summary

This week underscored the dynamic nature of global financial markets. While certain sectors and regions experienced growth, others faced declines due to various economic and geopolitical factors. Investors are advised to remain vigilant and consider diversification to navigate the evolving financial landscape effectively.

Disclaimers and Limitations

 

Related Ticker: USO, BCH, XRP.X, EUFN, REMX, PICK, SKYY, PSCD, BBEU, EZU, FBZ, IVV, VTI

USO in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on April 03, 2025

USO moved below its 50-day moving average on April 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 50 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 29, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on USO as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for USO turned negative on April 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for USO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for USO moved below the 200-day moving average on April 07, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where USO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USO advanced for three days, in of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

USO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 338 cases where USO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Industry description

The investment seeks the daily changes in percentage terms of its shares’ per share NAV to reflect the daily changes in percentage terms of the spot price of light, sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma, as measured by the daily changes in the price of a specified short-term futures contract on light, sweet crude oil called the “Benchmark Oil Futures Contract,” plus interest earned on USO’s collateral holdings, less USO’s expenses. USO invests primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.
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