Wells Fargo earnings fell by almost half to $2.59 billion, or 67 cents a share in the fourth quarter, from $5.47 billion, or $1.38 or 67 cents a share in the year-ago quarter. The figure beat analyst estimate of 60 cents share though. The profit plunge was in part by lower mortgage banking on fewer originations, as indicated by the bank.
Revenue fell -5.7% year-over-year to $19.66 billion, missing analysts’ expectations of $19.98 billion (according to Refinitiv).
The bank set aside $957 million for credit losses during the period, after reducing its provisions by $452 million a year ago. It had also previously revealed an impact of 70 cents a share from litigation and regulatory matters including a recent settlement with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
Wells Fargo is expecting 2023 net interest income of about $49.5 billion (i.e. 10% growth), which is below the latest analyst estimate of $51.69 billion.
The bank’s home lending revenue fell -57% this quarter, on falling sales and refinancing activity amidst mortgage rates that have exceeded 6%.
The Aroon Indicator for WFC entered a downward trend on April 17, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 171 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 171 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for WFC moved out of overbought territory on April 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where WFC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 03, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WFC as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WFC turned negative on May 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WFC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
WFC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WFC advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. WFC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.227) is normal, around the industry mean (0.945). P/E Ratio (11.928) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.857). WFC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (24.155) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.584). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.100) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.595) is also within normal values, averaging (2.430).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a major bank
Industry MajorBanks