Western Digital is Down Over 55% in the Last 8 Months
Hard drive manufacturer Western Digital (Nasdaq: WDC) has been trending lower for over eight months now and the stock has formed a trend channel around the cycles. The upper rail of the channel is in close proximity to the stock’s 50-day moving average and that could make it even more difficult for the stock to break out of the down trend.
The stock peaked back at $104.80 back on March 16 before falling to a recent low of $40.58. That is a drop of 61.3% from the high to the low. For you Fibonacci fans, that is close to the Fibonacci retracement of 61.8%.
The stock went through a similar drop from December ’14 through May ’16. During the selloff the stock dropped from $102.53 to $32.59. After hitting that low in 2016, the stock rallied to the all-time in March.
The fundamentals are a bit of a mixed picture for Western Digital. Earnings have been declining recently with the most recent quarter showing a drop of 15%. Analysts expect the earnings to decline by 51% for the year as a whole.
On the other hand, the profitability measurements are really good. The return on equity is currently at 39.4% and the profit margin is at 23.2%.
It’s hard to tell how much further the stock could fall. The low from 2016 could come in as support, but that is another 28.4% drop from where the stock closed on Thursday.
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Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
WDC in +3.20% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on September 09, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where WDC advanced for three days, in 289 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WDC just turned positive on August 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where WDC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 60 cases where WDC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WDC as a result. In 53 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WDC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator for WDC entered a downward trend on August 17, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WDC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (18.182) is normal, around the industry mean (7.817). P/E Ratio (16.611) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.792). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.851) is also within normal values, averaging (1.573). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.263) is also within normal values, averaging (53.104).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a hard drive manufacturer
Industry ComputerProcessingHardware
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