Will Microsoft (MSFT, $164.20) miss its guidance due to Cornavirus crisis?
Microsoft has indicated that its sales would fall short of guidance as a result of the Coronavirus crisis.
On Wednesday, the tech behemoth said that it will miss its previous sales guidance of between $10.75 billion and $11.15 billion for its "more personal computing" business, which includes Windows OEM and Surface. While the company thinks demand for Windows is in line with their expectations, the supply chain is taking more time than anticipated in returning to normal operations. That’s why, for the third quarter of fiscal year 2020 the company does not expect to meet their More Personal Computing segment guidance, since Windows OEM and Surface are more adversely affected than previously expected.
MSFT sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
On October 10, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for MSFT moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 45 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for MSFT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MSFT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MSFT moved out of overbought territory on September 18, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 56 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 27, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MSFT as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MSFT turned negative on October 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
MSFT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 02, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 74%.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.245) is normal, around the industry mean (30.829). P/E Ratio (38.386) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.895). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.153) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.928) is also within normal values, averaging (56.664).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a developer of software and harware products
Industry PackagedSoftware