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Feb 19, 2019
Will the Airbus A380’s demise benefit the Boeing (BA, $416.23) 777X?

Will the Airbus A380’s demise benefit the Boeing (BA, $416.23) 777X?

Last week Airbus announced the termination of A380 jumbo jet production by 2021, in favor of smaller wide bodies such as Boeing 787 Dreamliner that could enable airlines operate more point-to-point routes bypassing the most congested hubs.

However, there can still be a market for large wide body aircrafts if they can offer a unit cost advantage over their smaller counterparts. Boeing’s new 777X aircraft family, an updated version of Boeing’s highly successful 777, that will hit the market next year is likely to dominate it.

Its new wing and state-of-the-art engines will guarantee additional range and better fuel efficiency. Customer base would comprise the same as A380, which is, Emirates, Qatar, Etihad, Singapore Airlines and Lufthansa with Emirates being the most dominant customer with 150 firm orders. Emirates is also contemplating an additional order of 20 777Xs likely to replace the airline’s existing 250 777-300ERs and A380s in its fleet by 2030.

With A380s being out of production, coupled with the fact that the existing ones would be retired soon by most customers,  777X has a genuine shot at getting new orders from Qantas, Turkish Airlines, and some of the big airlines in East Asia. 

Related Ticker: BA

BA's Stochastic Oscillator sits in overbought zone for 2 days

Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

BA moved below its 50-day moving average on June 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for BA entered a downward trend on June 18, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BA as a result. In of 69 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BA just turned positive on June 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where BA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for BA moved above the 200-day moving average on June 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BA advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (29.326) is normal, around the industry mean (11.109). P/E Ratio (88.032) is within average values for comparable stocks, (91.523). BA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (24.130) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.128). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.863) is also within normal values, averaging (37.736).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 48.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.49 to 2.44T. SPCX holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.44T. The lowest valued company is BDRPF at 4.49.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 16%, and the average quarterly price growth was 24%. GPUS experienced the highest price growth at 131%, while FJET experienced the biggest fall at -34%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 281%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 179% and the average quarterly volume growth was 144%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of jetliners, aircraft and related products

Industry AerospaceDefense

Profile
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Industry
Aerospace And Defense
Address
929 Long Bridge Drive
Phone
+1 703 465-3500
Employees
171000
Web
https://www.boeing.com
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