Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis v.2 (TA) AI trading robot has stood out as one of the best performers in our robot factory, showcasing its prowess by generating a remarkable 5.62% gain while trading XPEV over the course of the previous month. However, recent technical indicators and earnings results raise questions about the stock's future prospects.
XPEV, a prominent stock in the electric vehicle industry, experienced a notable shift in momentum on May 15, 2023, as its Momentum Indicator dropped below the 0 level. This indicator's movement suggests that the stock might be entering a new downward phase. Traders are advised to take note of this signal and consider selling the stock or exploring put options to hedge their positions.
To gain further insights into the potential impact of this bearish signal, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 45 similar instances where the Momentum Indicator turned negative. Remarkably, in 41 out of those 45 cases, the stock continued to decline in the subsequent days. This statistical evidence provides a compelling indication that the odds of XPEV experiencing a further decline are as high as 90%.
Examining the latest earnings report released on May 24, it is evident that XPEV's performance did not meet market expectations. The reported earnings per share stood at -127 cents, surpassing the estimated value of -191 cents. This positive surprise suggests that the company's financials fared better than anticipated. However, it is crucial to note that negative earnings still persist, albeit to a lesser extent than predicted.
Considering the number of outstanding shares at 4.32 million, the current market capitalization of XPEV amounts to a substantial 6.85 billion dollars. The market capitalization figure provides an overview of the company's total value in the stock market and is an essential metric for investors to assess the company's overall worth.
Despite the impressive gains generated by the Day Trader AI trading robot during its recent trading of XPEV, caution is warranted due to the bearish signals identified through technical analysis. The drop below the 0 level in the Momentum Indicator, coupled with historical data indicating a high likelihood of further decline, suggests a potentially challenging period ahead for XPEV.
Furthermore, while the recent earnings report showcased improved performance relative to estimates, the company still reported negative earnings. Investors should remain vigilant and evaluate the company's progress closely, taking into account both technical indicators and fundamental aspects before making any trading decisions.
On October 25, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for XPEV moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 49 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XPEV as a result. In of 70 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for XPEV moved above the 200-day moving average on October 09, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEV advanced for three days, in of 229 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
XPEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 148 cases where XPEV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for XPEV moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 18 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XPEV turned negative on October 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPEV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.434) is normal, around the industry mean (6.019). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.031). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.553). XPEV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (1.567) is also within normal values, averaging (76.807).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a designer, developer, and manufacturer smart electric vehicles
Industry MotorVehicles