XPO Logistics (XPO) Announces Buyback Program
Transportation and logistics solutions provider, XPO Logistics Inc, caught many of its investors off guard after the surprising announcement of its 2019 outlook.
Hearing the earnings warning and seeing the negative report from short-seller Spruce Point Capital, investors rushed for the exits as shares of the transportation company dropped nearly -9.6% on Wednesday and another -20.4% on Thursday.
Amidst this chaos, XPO hit investors with another announcement that may have helped turn the tide. The Board of Directors of XPO Logistics authorized the company to repurchase up to $1 billion of its common stock, and shares of the company rebounded nearly +7.3% on Friday’s pre-trade.
Carrying a nearly $4.7 billion debt burden, the company revealed that it intends to fund the repurchases program with existing cash, borrowing on XPO's revolving credit facility and/or other financing sources.
XPO's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for XPO entered a downward trend on February 05, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 127 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 127 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 20, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XPO as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XPO turned negative on February 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
XPO moved below its 50-day moving average on February 19, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XPO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XPO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for XPO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 14, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPO advanced for three days, in of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XPO's P/B Ratio (9.699) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.257). P/E Ratio (40.994) is within average values for comparable stocks, (77.323). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.448) is also within normal values, averaging (2.600). XPO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.017). P/S Ratio (1.969) is also within normal values, averaging (3.255).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Industry description
Market Cap
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of logistics and other transportation services
Industry Trucking