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ADP vs FICO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADP is a Buy and FICO is a Hold.
ADP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026
ADP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 26 of 44 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADP just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The 10-day moving average for ADP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
Following a +3.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADP advanced for three days, in 153 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 106 of 252 cases where ADP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADP moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 37%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADP as a result. In 42 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
ADP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ADP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (20.179) is normal, around the industry mean (-2.526). P/E Ratio (27.998) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.160). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.446) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.020) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).
FICO's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for FICO moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 25 of the 33 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FICO just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where FICO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +1.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FICO advanced for three days, in 277 of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FICO as a result. In 49 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FICO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for FICO entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-3.729) is normal, around the industry mean (-2.526). P/E Ratio (20.345) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.160). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.671) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.794) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FICO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FICO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ADP | FICO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 86 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 9 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FICO's Valuation (60) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADP (86) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that FICO’s stock grew similarly to ADP’s over the last 12 months.
ADP's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Data Processing Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FICO (86) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that ADP’s stock grew somewhat faster than FICO’s over the last 12 months.
FICO's SMR Rating (9) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADP (17) in the Data Processing Services industry. This means that FICO’s stock grew similarly to ADP’s over the last 12 months.
ADP's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Data Processing Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FICO (64) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that ADP’s stock grew somewhat faster than FICO’s over the last 12 months.
ADP's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Data Processing Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FICO (95) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that ADP’s stock grew somewhat faster than FICO’s over the last 12 months.
| ADP | FICO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 48% | 11 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while FICO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- FICO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FICO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- FICO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ADP (@Packaged Software) experienced а +7.36% price change this week, while FICO (@Packaged Software) price change was -0.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADP is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
FICO is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-2.33% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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