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ADSK vs NTNX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autodesk (ADSK) vs. Nutanix (NTNX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Autodesk (ADSK) focuses on design and engineering software with subscription-based recurring revenue, while Nutanix (NTNX) provides hybrid cloud infrastructure solutions emphasizing software-defined storage and virtualization.
- In recent market activity, ADSK has traded near $241 amid broader sector consolidation, showing resilience in subscription metrics but lagging the S&P 500 over the past year.
- NTNX has demonstrated stronger one-year returns near 41% and benefited from cloud demand trends, with its stock closing at approximately $47.12 on May 22, 2026.
- Sector exposure differs markedly: ADSK operates in creative and manufacturing software, whereas NTNX targets enterprise IT infrastructure and hybrid cloud deployments.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs in growth stability versus cyclical infrastructure spending sensitivity for the two technology names.
- Upcoming catalysts, including NTNX’s fiscal Q3 earnings, may influence near-term sentiment for both equities.
Introduction
Autodesk (ADSK) and Nutanix (NTNX) represent distinct segments within the broader technology sector, making their comparison relevant for investors seeking exposure to software innovation and cloud infrastructure. Traders and portfolio managers evaluating relative performance, sector positioning, and risk-adjusted returns often examine such pairings to identify diversification opportunities or tactical allocations. This analysis reviews recent market behavior, business fundamentals, and observable trends to provide a factual framework for understanding how these stocks have positioned themselves amid evolving economic conditions.
ADSK Overview and Recent Performance
Autodesk (ADSK) develops design, engineering, and entertainment software solutions used across architecture, manufacturing, and media industries. The company’s subscription model generates predictable recurring revenue, supporting stable cash flows even during periods of economic uncertainty. In recent weeks, ADSK shares have fluctuated around the $240 level, closing at $240.99 on May 22, 2026, within a 52-week range of approximately $214.10 to $329.09. Performance has reflected broader software sector pressures, with year-to-date returns down roughly 18.6% and one-year returns similarly negative, underperforming the S&P 500. Sentiment has been shaped by steady subscription growth and free cash flow generation, offset by valuation compression relative to historical peaks.
NTNX Overview and Recent Performance
Nutanix (NTNX) offers enterprise cloud platform software that simplifies hybrid infrastructure management through software-defined storage and virtualization technologies. The company serves organizations transitioning workloads to hybrid and multicloud environments. NTNX shares closed at $47.12 on May 22, 2026, up 5.44% that session, within a 52-week range of roughly $34.01 to $82.42. Recent market activity shows positive one-year returns near 41% and modest year-to-date gains, supported by sustained demand for cloud infrastructure. Performance has been influenced by expanding annual recurring revenue and new customer acquisitions, with the stock positioned below its 52-week high amid anticipation of upcoming fiscal results.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Autodesk (ADSK) and Nutanix (NTNX) differ in business models, with ADSK relying on design software subscriptions and NTNX centered on hybrid cloud infrastructure sales. Growth drivers for ADSK include recurring revenue expansion in creative and industrial verticals, while NTNX benefits from enterprise cloud adoption and infrastructure modernization. Recent momentum shows NTNX delivering stronger trailing one-year returns compared with ADSK’s more modest results amid software sector rotation. Risk factors vary: ADSK faces potential cyclical slowdowns in design spending, whereas NTNX contends with competition in cloud infrastructure and hardware dependency. Sector exposure places ADSK in application software and NTNX in systems infrastructure, producing distinct sensitivity to interest rates and capital expenditure cycles. Market sentiment reflects these contrasts, with infrastructure names showing relative strength in recent periods versus broader software valuations.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to NTNX over ADSK. The assessment draws from NTNX’s stronger recent one-year performance, cloud demand tailwinds, and upcoming earnings catalyst, balanced against ADSK’s more stable subscription profile and sector headwinds. Such evaluations remain probabilistic and subject to evolving market data rather than definitive forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADSK is a Hold and NTNX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADSK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNTNX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NTNX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADSK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NTNX’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADSK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NTNX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ADSK (@Packaged Software) experienced а -5.72% price change this week, while NTNX (@Computer Communications) price change was -4.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.09%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was +1.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.97%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.96%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
NTNX is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-2.09% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
@Computer Communications (+1.76% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
| ADSK | NTNX | ADSK / NTNX | |
| Capitalization | 40.9B | 12.7B | 322% |
| EBITDA | 2.33B | 373M | 624% |
| Gain YTD | -34.522 | -9.267 | 373% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.29 | 49.37 | 57% |
| Revenue | 7.51B | 2.75B | 273% |
| Total Cash | 2.92B | 2.02B | 145% |
| Total Debt | 2.72B | 1.53B | 178% |
ADSK | NTNX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NTNX's Valuation (3) in the Packaged Software industry is significantly better than the same rating for ADSK (76). This means that NTNX’s stock grew significantly faster than ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
NTNX's Profit vs Risk Rating (77) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (100). This means that NTNX’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's SMR Rating (20) in the Packaged Software industry is significantly better than the same rating for NTNX (100). This means that ADSK’s stock grew significantly faster than NTNX’s over the last 12 months.
NTNX's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (65). This means that NTNX’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
NTNX's P/E Growth Rating (93) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as ADSK (95). This means that NTNX’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
| ADSK | NTNX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 64% | 6 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 73% |
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ADSK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADSK has been loosely correlated with CLSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ADSK jumps, then CLSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADSK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADSK | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| CLSK - ADSK | 63% Loosely correlated | +2.74% | ||
| CRWD - ADSK | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.28% | ||
| BSY - ADSK | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| CRM - ADSK | 63% Loosely correlated | -2.09% | ||
| PANW - ADSK | 62% Loosely correlated | +2.00% | ||
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NTNX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NTNX has been loosely correlated with ADSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NTNX jumps, then ADSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NTNX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTNX | 100% | +0.93% | ||
| ADSK - NTNX | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| NOW - NTNX | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| HUBS - NTNX | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.38% | ||
| DDOG - NTNX | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.60% | ||
| OKTA - NTNX | 55% Loosely correlated | +4.23% | ||
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