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AJG vs NP
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AJG is a StrongBuy and NP is a Hold.
AJG's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AJG turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where AJG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AJG as a result. In 56 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
AJG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AJG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +7.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AJG advanced for three days, in 208 of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AJG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
AJG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AJG entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AJG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.793) is normal, around the industry mean (2.616). P/E Ratio (42.356) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.071). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.679) is also within normal values, averaging (8.322). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.021) is also within normal values, averaging (2.968).
NP's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for NP moved out of oversold territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 12 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 10 of the 12 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NP as a result. In 14 of 21 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NP just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where NP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 13 of 16 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +1.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NP advanced for three days, in 71 of 95 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 15 of 19 cases where NP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
NP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NP entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NP's P/B Ratio (-17.531) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.616). NP's P/E Ratio (130.907) is considerably higher than the industry average of (18.071). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.910) is also within normal values, averaging (8.322). Dividend Yield (0.059) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. NP's P/S Ratio (23.041) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.968).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
AJG | NP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 76 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AJG's Valuation (96) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as NP (98) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to NP’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's Profit vs Risk Rating (53) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NP (100) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that AJG’s stock grew somewhat faster than NP’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's SMR Rating (80) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as NP (93) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to NP’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as NP (51) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to NP’s over the last 12 months.
AJG's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the Insurance Brokers Or Services industry is in the same range as NP (54) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that AJG’s stock grew similarly to NP’s over the last 12 months.
| AJG | NP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 56% | 10 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AJG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AJG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AJG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AJG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AJG (@Insurance Brokers/Services) experienced а +8.35% price change this week, while NP (@Insurance Brokers/Services) price change was -0.18% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Insurance Brokers/Services industry was +9.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.45%.
Reported Earning Dates
AJG is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Insurance Brokers/Services (+9.72% weekly)Insurance brokers sell, solicit, or negotiate insurance for compensation. General insurance brokers mostly cater to insurances on car, house etc. (versus life). Brokers are also often instrumental in helping small employers find health insurance, particularly in more competitive markets. Additionally, brokers may also provide risk assessments, insurance consulting services, insurance-related regulatory and legislative update services. Some of the major names in this industry include Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., Aon plc and Verisk Analytics Inc.
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NP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that NP and TWFG have been poorly correlated (+32% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that NP and TWFG's prices will move in lockstep.