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AMAT vs MTSI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AMAT and MTSI operate in the semiconductor industry, capitalizing on AI-driven demand, but AMAT focuses on broad equipment manufacturing while MTSI specializes in RF and microwave components.
- MTSI has outperformed year-to-date with a 72% gain compared to AMAT's 52%, reflecting stronger short-term momentum.
- In recent market activity, MTSI rose about 20% over the past month versus AMAT's 13% advance, amid sector tailwinds.
- AMAT offers a modest dividend yield of 0.54% and trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of 40 versus MTSI's 133, suggesting relatively better valuation.
- Analyst consensus targets imply modest upside for AMAT (to $424 from $391) but slight downside for MTSI (to $281 from $295).
- Upcoming earnings reports (MTSI on May 7, AMAT on May 14) could influence near-term relative performance.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AMAT and MTSI, two semiconductor players riding the wave of artificial intelligence and data center expansion. Investors seeking exposure to chip manufacturing equipment and specialized components may find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning. Traders focused on momentum in the tech sector, particularly amid recent AI hype and supply chain shifts, will benefit from understanding sentiment drivers, growth prospects, and risk profiles. With both stocks showing strength in recent weeks, this head-to-head review highlights key contrasts for informed decision-making in today's volatile market environment.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) is a leading provider of materials engineering solutions for semiconductor, display, and related manufacturing, enabling advanced chip production essential for AI and computing. In recent market activity, AMAT shares have advanced, with a roughly 13% monthly gain and 52% year-to-date rise, trading around $391 within a 52-week range of $152 to $421. Sentiment has been bolstered by its Q1 2026 earnings beat in February, where revenue hit $7.01 billion against expectations, alongside over 20% projected semiconductor equipment growth for the year. Recent developments include the acquisition of NEXX to expand advanced packaging capabilities and positive analyst commentary, such as Jim Cramer's endorsement as a top capital expenditure stock. These factors, combined with a beta of 1.65 indicating moderate volatility, have supported steady upward momentum despite weekly pullbacks.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) designs and manufactures analog semiconductors, including RF (radio frequency), microwave, and millimeter wave products for telecom, defense, and datacom applications. Shares have surged in recent weeks, posting about 20% monthly and 72% year-to-date gains, currently near $295 in a 52-week range of $109 to $297. Performance reflects highlights on next-generation AI optical chips and strong share price momentum, with a beta of 1.60 signaling similar market sensitivity to AMAT. Recent quarterly results showed revenue growth, and upcoming Q2 earnings on May 7 could provide further guidance. Investor interest stems from its niche in high-growth areas like 5G and AI infrastructure, though elevated valuations have drawn scrutiny amid broader sector rotations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMAT and MTSI share semiconductor exposure but differ in scale and focus: AMAT's $310 billion market cap dwarfs MTSI's $22 billion, offering broader diversification across chip fabrication equipment versus MTSI's specialized analog/RF components for niche applications. Growth drivers include AI chip demand for both, but MTSI shows superior recent momentum (20% vs. 13% monthly) at the cost of a sky-high P/E of 133 compared to AMAT's 40. Risk factors tilt higher for MTSI due to valuation stretch and analyst targets below current levels, while AMAT provides a dividend buffer. Market sentiment favors AMAT for stability amid trade tensions, contrasting MTSI's growth-oriented volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward AMAT over MTSI, citing greater trend consistency in semiconductor equipment demand, inclusion in high-performing trending bots, attractive relative valuation, and analyst upside potential. While MTSI exhibits stronger short-term momentum, AMAT's scale, recent catalysts like the NEXX acquisition, and stability position it favorably for sustained positioning in the AI supply chain.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a StrongBuy and MTSI is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +25.22% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +9.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +17.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was +135.39%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was +92.59%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+17.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+4.34% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMAT | MTSI | AMAT / MTSI | |
| Capitalization | 450B | 29B | 1,552% |
| EBITDA | 11.1B | 276M | 4,022% |
| Gain YTD | 121.279 | 121.783 | 100% |
| P/E Ratio | 53.36 | 161.65 | 33% |
| Revenue | 29B | 1.07B | 2,700% |
| Total Cash | 8.24B | 665M | 1,239% |
| Total Debt | 7.27B | 377M | 1,928% |
AMAT | MTSI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 81 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 62 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMAT's Valuation (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (84) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to AMAT’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (24) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (62) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (36) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (19) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | MTSI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 65% | 5 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 82% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +1.36% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +5.55% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +8.29% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +8.71% | ||
| AMAT - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.64% | ||
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