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AVAV vs MRCY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVAV is a Buy and MRCY is a Hold.
AVAV's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for AVAV moved out of oversold territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AVAV just turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where AVAV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +2.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVAV advanced for three days, in 243 of 299 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 53 cases where AVAV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVAV as a result. In 55 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVAV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
AVAV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AVAV entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.180) is normal, around the industry mean (5.045). P/E Ratio (-25.143) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.993). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.565) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.893) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AVAV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AVAV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
MRCY in +4.14% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 29, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where MRCY advanced for three days, in 219 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MRCY's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
MRCY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 56 cases where MRCY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MRCY as a result. In 64 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MRCY turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
The 50-day moving average for MRCY moved below the 200-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MRCY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for MRCY entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 7 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.664) is normal, around the industry mean (4.689). MRCY has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-131.100) as compared to the industry average of (17.589). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.788) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.274) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MRCY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MRCY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
AVAV | MRCY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 35 Fair valued | 7 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 93 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MRCY's Valuation (7) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AVAV (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's Profit vs Risk Rating (79) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AVAV (93) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's SMR Rating (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AVAV (92) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's Price Growth Rating (75) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AVAV (79) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AVAV (55) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew somewhat faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
| AVAV | MRCY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 1 day ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 81% | 8 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 65% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVAV’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while MRCY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AVAV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MRCY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVAV’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRCY’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVAV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MRCY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AVAV (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -10.10% price change this week, while MRCY (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -19.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -12.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVAV is expected to report earnings on Dec 08, 2026.
MRCY is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-12.53% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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AVAV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVAV has been closely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AVAV jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AVAV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV | 100% | -8.34% | ||
| KTOS - AVAV | 71% Closely correlated | -12.27% | ||
| MRCY - AVAV | 55% Loosely correlated | -10.66% | ||
| RCAT - AVAV | 55% Loosely correlated | -10.31% | ||
| KRMN - AVAV | 52% Loosely correlated | -13.52% | ||
| RDW - AVAV | 51% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DFNL | 50.71 | -0.92 | -1.79% |
| Davis Select Financial ETF (DFNL) | |||
| SPYH | 54.63 | -1.51 | -2.69% |
| NEOS S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF (SPYH) | |||
| JHDG | 27.19 | -0.76 | -2.70% |
| John Hancock Hedged Equity ETF (JHDG) | |||
| PRFZ | 51.68 | -2.30 | -4.26% |
| Invesco RAFI US 1500 Small-Mid ETF (PRFZ) | |||
| COPZ | 10.09 | -1.35 | -11.80% |
| Defiance Daily Target 2X Long Copper ETF | |||