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AVAV vs MRCY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVAV is a Hold and MRCY is a Hold.
AVAV in -8.30% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 14, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where AVAV declined for three days, in 229 of 312 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AVAV as a result. In 58 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AVAV turned negative on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
AVAV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The Aroon Indicator for AVAV entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
AVAV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.702) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (149.026) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.565) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.893) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AVAV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AVAV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
MRCY sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MRCY moved below the 200-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MRCY as a result. In 64 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MRCY turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 77%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MRCY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator for MRCY entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MRCY's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MRCY advanced for three days, in 223 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
MRCY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MRCY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.256) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). MRCY's P/E Ratio (714.286) is considerably higher than the industry average of (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.788) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.274) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
AVAV | MRCY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 90 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 32 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AVAV's Valuation (81) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as MRCY (96) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that AVAV’s stock grew similarly to MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's Profit vs Risk Rating (65) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AVAV (90) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's SMR Rating (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AVAV (92) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's Price Growth Rating (73) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AVAV (84) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as AVAV (9) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
| AVAV | MRCY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 15 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVAV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MRCY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AVAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MRCY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVAV’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRCY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVAV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MRCY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AVAV (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -11.17% price change this week, while MRCY (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -6.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -6.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVAV is expected to report earnings on Dec 08, 2026.
MRCY is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-6.91% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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AVAV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVAV has been closely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AVAV jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AVAV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV | 100% | -1.16% | ||
| KTOS - AVAV | 71% Closely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| MRCY - AVAV | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.80% | ||
| RCAT - AVAV | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.67% | ||
| KRMN - AVAV | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.30% | ||
| RDW - AVAV | 51% Loosely correlated | -5.84% | ||
More | ||||
MRCY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRCY has been loosely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MRCY jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRCY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRCY | 100% | -2.80% | ||
| KTOS - MRCY | 62% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| CW - MRCY | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| DRS - MRCY | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| BWXT - MRCY | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| AVAV - MRCY | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
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