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BZH vs MTH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Beazer Homes USA (BZH) vs. Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both BZH and MTH operate in the residential construction sector, facing similar headwinds from housing market dynamics.
- MTH has a significantly larger market capitalization of $4.43 billion compared to BZH's $584 million.
- MTH demonstrates profitability with earnings per share (EPS) of $5.48 and return on equity (ROE) of 7.49%, while BZH reports a loss with EPS of -$0.18.
- In recent weeks, BZH experienced a sharp decline following its Q2 2026 earnings release, contrasting with MTH's relatively stable performance.
- MTH maintains lower debt-to-equity at 37% versus BZH's 107%, indicating reduced financial risk.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight relative strengths in stability and trend consistency for sector positioning.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BZH and MTH, two prominent players in the U.S. residential construction industry. Both companies design and build single-family homes amid fluctuating interest rates and housing demand. Investors tracking cyclical sectors may find value in assessing their relative performance, while traders could benefit from insights into recent momentum and risk profiles. With homebuilding sensitive to economic shifts, this analysis highlights key metrics, recent developments, and market positioning to inform strategic decisions in the current environment.
BZH Overview and Recent Performance
Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (BZH), headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, builds single-family homes, condominiums, and townhomes under brands like Beazer Homes and Gatherings. The company operates across various U.S. markets, selling through sales counselors and realtors. In recent market activity, BZH shares have shown volatility, with year-to-date gains of about 11% overshadowed by a significant pullback in recent weeks. This followed the Q2 2026 earnings release, which highlighted challenges in navigating market conditions, contributing to a drop toward the lower end of its 52-week range of $17.89–$28.33. Sentiment appears pressured by sector-wide affordability concerns and quarterly results, reflected in a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 74.45 amid net losses.
MTH Overview and Recent Performance
Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH), based in Scottsdale, Arizona, focuses on entry-level and move-up single-family homes across states including Texas, Florida, and California. It operates Homebuilding and Financial Services segments, offering title, mortgage, and insurance alongside construction. Recent performance has been steadier, with year-to-date returns around 1.6% and shares trading near $66 within a 52-week range of $58.03–$84.74. Despite a Q1 CY2026 revenue shortfall earlier in the period, MTH has maintained resilience, supported by positive net income and a forward P/E of 11.44. Market sentiment reflects confidence in its diversified operations amid ongoing housing sector pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BZH and MTH share core business models in single-family homebuilding but differ in scale and diversification. MTH's broader geographic footprint and financial services provide growth drivers through integrated buyer support, while BZH emphasizes branded communities. Recent momentum favors neither decisively, with BZH posting stronger year-to-date gains but higher volatility post-earnings, versus MTH's steadier trajectory. Risk factors include elevated debt for BZH (debt-to-equity 107%) amplifying cyclical exposure, compared to MTH's conservative 37% ratio. Both face sector risks from interest rates and inventory levels, yet MTH shows superior profitability and market sentiment via lower beta and positive ROE.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI would currently favor MTH with higher probability due to its trend consistency, profitability metrics like positive EPS and ROE, lower leverage, and larger scale providing better relative positioning in the residential construction sector. BZH offers potential upside in recovery scenarios but trails in stability amid recent catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BZH is a Hold and MTH is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BZH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMTH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BZH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BZH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTH’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BZH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BZH (@Homebuilding) experienced а -2.50% price change this week, while MTH (@Homebuilding) price change was +1.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +8.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +17.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
BZH is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MTH is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (+8.26% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| BZH | MTH | BZH / MTH | |
| Capitalization | 757M | 5.5B | 14% |
| EBITDA | -11.12M | 522M | -2% |
| Gain YTD | 30.982 | 16.527 | 187% |
| P/E Ratio | 74.45 | 13.70 | 543% |
| Revenue | 2.11B | 5.62B | 38% |
| Total Cash | 116M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.25B | 1.9B | 66% |
BZH | MTH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 90 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 7 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTH's Valuation (7) in the Homebuilding industry is significantly better than the same rating for BZH (88). This means that MTH’s stock grew significantly faster than BZH’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's Profit vs Risk Rating (64) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as BZH (86). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to BZH’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's SMR Rating (79) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as BZH (92). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to BZH’s over the last 12 months.
BZH's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (42). This means that BZH’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.
BZH's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (10). This means that BZH’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.
| BZH | MTH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 76% | 13 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 76% | 22 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 69% |
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BZH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BZH has been closely correlated with HOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BZH jumps, then HOV could also see price increases.
MTH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTH has been closely correlated with KBH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTH jumps, then KBH could also see price increases.