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BZH vs PHM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Beazer Homes USA (BZH) vs. PulteGroup (PHM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PulteGroup (PHM) boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of approximately $22 billion compared to Beazer Homes USA's (BZH) $510 million, offering greater scale and stability in the homebuilding sector.
- PHM reports positive earnings per share (EPS, a measure of profitability per share) of $10.34 trailing twelve months (TTM), while BZH shows negative EPS of -$0.18 TTM.
- Both stocks have faced recent pressure from sluggish housing demand, with BZH beating Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings estimates and PHM meeting Q1 2026 revenue expectations amid year-over-year declines.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside potential: 42% for BZH (average $25.67) and 19% for PHM (average $137.50), reflecting differing risk-reward profiles.
- PHM provides a dividend yield of 0.87%, appealing to income-focused investors, while BZH offers none.
- Recent market activity shows volatility for both, driven by higher buyer incentives and margin pressures in a high-interest-rate environment.
Introduction
Beazer Homes USA (BZH) and PulteGroup (PHM), both prominent players in the U.S. residential homebuilding sector, offer investors exposure to housing market dynamics amid fluctuating interest rates and demand trends. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, financial health, and market positioning, aiding traders seeking short-term momentum and long-term investors evaluating stability in cyclical real estate. With homebuilders navigating affordability challenges, understanding relative strengths helps inform decisions on stock comparison and sector rotation strategies.
BZH Overview and Recent Performance
Beazer Homes USA (BZH) designs, constructs, and sells single-family and multi-family homes primarily in the Sun Belt region, targeting entry-level and move-up buyers. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near its 52-week low of $17.89, reflecting broader sector headwinds like elevated mortgage rates curbing demand. Shares experienced sharp declines following quarterly results, despite beating earnings per share estimates with a smaller-than-expected loss in Q2 fiscal 2026, where revenue reached $409.85 million. Sentiment has been influenced by increased incentives to stimulate orders and insider buying signals, though volatility persists with a market cap under $510 million amplifying swings. Year-to-date gains hover around 11%, outperforming some peers amid housing slowdowns.
PHM Overview and Recent Performance
PulteGroup (PHM), one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operates nationwide with brands serving first-time, move-up, and active adult buyers, complemented by financial services. Recent weeks saw shares pull back from 52-week highs near $144.50, trading around $115 amid sector pressures. Q1 2026 results aligned with revenue expectations at $3.41 billion but showed a 12.4% year-over-year drop, with EPS declining 30% due to rising incentives averaging 10.9% of sales prices. Positive factors include a shift to build-to-order models for inventory control and ongoing dividends, supporting sentiment in a challenging environment. Year-to-date performance stands at about 1%, with a beta of 1.24 indicating moderate market sensitivity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both BZH and PHM operate in residential construction, exposed to interest-sensitive demand, supply chain costs, and land acquisition risks, but differ markedly in scale. PHM's diversified national footprint and financial services arm provide growth drivers like recurring revenue, contrasting BZH's regional focus yielding nimbler operations but higher beta volatility. Recent momentum favors neither decisively, with both stocks down in recent weeks amid incentive hikes and order slowdowns; however, PHM exhibits steadier price-to-earnings (PE, valuation relative to earnings) at 11.19 versus BZH's negative due to losses. Risk factors include macroeconomic sensitivity, but PHM's profitability and dividends enhance resilience, while BZH offers higher relative upside potential. Market sentiment tilts toward larger peers like PHM for relative performance in uncertain housing trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis leans toward favoring PHM in the current environment, citing its superior profitability, larger scale, dividend support, and consistent analyst backing amid housing market headwinds. While BZH demonstrates earnings resilience and greater upside potential, its smaller size and negative EPS introduce elevated volatility risks. This positioning suggests PHM may exhibit stronger trend stability and catalyst response over coming quarters, though both warrant monitoring for rate shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BZH is a Hold and PHM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BZH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePHM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BZH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PHM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BZH’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PHM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BZH’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PHM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BZH (@Homebuilding) experienced а +17.85% price change this week, while PHM (@Homebuilding) price change was -6.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -5.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.05%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
BZH is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PHM is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-5.07% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| BZH | PHM | BZH / PHM | |
| Capitalization | 605M | 21B | 3% |
| EBITDA | -11.12M | 2.79B | -0% |
| Gain YTD | 9.127 | -5.897 | -155% |
| P/E Ratio | 74.45 | 10.65 | 699% |
| Revenue | 2.11B | 16.8B | 13% |
| Total Cash | 116M | 2.32B | 5% |
| Total Debt | 1.25B | 2.28B | 55% |
BZH | PHM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 47 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PHM's Valuation (74) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as BZH (97). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to BZH’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's Profit vs Risk Rating (47) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BZH (88). This means that PHM’s stock grew somewhat faster than BZH’s over the last 12 months.
PHM's SMR Rating (52) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BZH (90). This means that PHM’s stock grew somewhat faster than BZH’s over the last 12 months.
BZH's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (62). This means that BZH’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.
BZH's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as PHM (18). This means that BZH’s stock grew similarly to PHM’s over the last 12 months.
| BZH | PHM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 75% | 11 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 75% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| NJAN | 58.23 | -0.18 | -0.31% |
| Innovator Growth-100 Pwr Buff ETF™ Jan | |||
| VTEC | 98.99 | -0.42 | -0.42% |
| Vanguard California Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | |||
| LCF | 44.15 | -0.28 | -0.63% |
| Touchstone US Large Cap Focused ETF | |||
| XLYI | 22.90 | -0.27 | -1.16% |
| State Street®CnsmrDiscSelSectSPDR®PrmETF | |||
| HOOX | 22.07 | -2.10 | -8.68% |
| Defiance Daily Target 2X Long HOOD ETF | |||
BZH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BZH has been closely correlated with TMHC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BZH jumps, then TMHC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BZH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BZH | 100% | -3.78% | ||
| TMHC - BZH | 77% Closely correlated | -3.79% | ||
| TOL - BZH | 76% Closely correlated | -4.38% | ||
| LEN - BZH | 75% Closely correlated | -3.46% | ||
| LGIH - BZH | 75% Closely correlated | -7.62% | ||
| DFH - BZH | 74% Closely correlated | -3.61% | ||
More | ||||
PHM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHM has been closely correlated with DHI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHM jumps, then DHI could also see price increases.