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CDE vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coeur Mining (CDE) vs. Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CDE is a mid-cap gold and silver producer that has transformed through M&A (mergers and acquisitions), adding Canada's New Afton and Rainy River mines in early 2026.
- NEM is the world's largest gold producer, anchored by a diversified "Tier 1" asset portfolio and a net-cash balance sheet.
- NEM has shown steadier recent momentum, while CDE has pulled back after a multi-year rally tied to higher silver and gold prices.
- Both stocks are highly leveraged to precious metals prices, making relative performance closely linked to gold and silver rather than company-specific news alone.
- NEM offers greater scale, liquidity, and analyst coverage, while CDE offers higher growth and more direct silver exposure.
Introduction
Investors evaluating precious metals exposure often weigh a diversified senior producer against a faster-growing, more silver-centric operator. This stock comparison examines CDE (Coeur Mining) and NEM (Newmont Corporation) across business model, growth drivers, momentum, risk, and market positioning. The two names appeal to different types of traders: those seeking a large, liquid gold bellwether with consistent capital returns may look to NEM, while those pursuing higher-beta upside tied to silver and a transformation-driven production ramp may gravitate to CDE. Understanding their relative performance requires context on both company-specific developments and the broader precious metals cycle.
CDE Overview and Recent Performance
Coeur Mining is a diversified gold and silver producer that now operates seven mines across North America. The company has completed two transformative transactions in recent years: the SilverCrest Metals acquisition (adding Mexico's Las Chispas mine) and, in March 2026, the New Gold acquisition (adding the New Afton and Rainy River operations in Canada). These deals have reshaped CDE into a top-five global silver producer and the only senior precious metals company with an all-North American footprint.
Recent market activity has been volatile. CDE delivered record first-quarter results, including revenue of $856 million and record adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $475 million, supported by sharply higher realized gold and silver prices. Management also introduced an inaugural dividend and a $750 million share repurchase program. However, the stock has since pulled back from its highs, with a double-digit decline over the trailing 30-day period as investors weighed higher Treasury yields, a slower-than-expected production ramp at the acquired Canadian mines, and sensitivity to any normalization in elevated metal prices. Sentiment reflects a balance between strong cash generation and execution risk tied to integration.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation is the world's largest gold producer, with a diversified portfolio of long-life, lower-cost assets across stable jurisdictions and an industry-leading reserve base of roughly 118 million ounces. Gold accounts for the majority of revenue, with meaningful byproduct exposure to copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Following a period of non-core divestitures, NEM has concentrated on a smaller set of Tier 1 operations designed to maximize free cash flow.
NEM has exhibited steadier relative performance in recent weeks. The company reported record first-quarter free cash flow of approximately $3.1 billion, up 161% year over year, alongside a net-cash position and a newly authorized $6 billion share repurchase program. The stock has gained roughly 18-21% year to date and has traded above its 200-day simple moving average (a widely followed trend indicator) for an extended period, signaling a persistent uptrend. That said, gold production declined year over year in the first quarter due to lower grades and operational disruptions at select sites, and the shares remain closely tied to gold price movements. Analysts have broadly maintained constructive price targets in the $130-$140 range in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast is scale and composition. NEM is a diversified senior gold producer with a market-leading reserve base and a net-cash position, offering lower per-share volatility and established capital returns. CDE is a more growth-oriented precious metals producer with a higher silver weighting, making it more sensitive to silver price swings and to the successful integration of its recent acquisitions.
On momentum, NEM has maintained a steadier uptrend above key moving averages, while CDE has experienced a sharper recent pullback despite strong earnings, reflecting concerns about valuation and execution. From a risk standpoint, CDE carries integration and ramp-up risk tied to newly acquired mines, whereas NEM faces grade and cost headwinds at certain legacy assets. Both are exposed to the same macro variable: precious metals prices. When gold and silver rise, both tend to outperform; when prices normalize, higher-cost, more leveraged producers such as CDE typically feel the effect more acutely.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor NEM in the current environment. The stock's more consistent trend structure, larger liquidity, net-cash balance sheet, and established capital-return framework provide greater stability, while CDE shows a choppier profile with integration-related execution risk. That said, CDE presents stronger growth and silver-driven upside potential if precious metals prices remain elevated and the Canadian mines ramp on schedule. The relative preference is probabilistic rather than definitive and depends heavily on whether current metal price strength persists.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CDE is a Hold and NEM is a Hold.
CDE in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026
CDE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 46 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for CDE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CDE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator for CDE entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 18 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CDE advanced for three days, in 241 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
CDE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.494) is normal, around the industry mean (2.031). P/E Ratio (12.504) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-16.536). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.240) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.341) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.531) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CDE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
NEM in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026
The 10-day moving average for NEM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
NEM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for NEM entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NEM as a result. In 61 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NEM just turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where NEM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 60 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +6.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NEM advanced for three days, in 252 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
NEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NEM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.503) is normal, around the industry mean (2.031). P/E Ratio (14.721) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-16.536). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.781) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.341) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.144) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
CDE | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 55 Fair valued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CDE's Valuation (55) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (93). This means that CDE’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CDE (59). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's SMR Rating (38) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as CDE (62). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to CDE’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CDE (77). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than CDE’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (58) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CDE (96). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than CDE’s over the last 12 months.
| CDE | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 85% | 6 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CDE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NEM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CDE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CDE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CDE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CDE (@Precious Metals) experienced а +1.00% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was +5.04% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +3.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.53%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
CDE is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+3.76% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.