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GFI vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Gold Fields Limited (GFI) vs. Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both GFI and NEM are major gold producers benefiting from elevated gold prices above $4,400 per ounce in recent market activity.
- GFI reported strong H1 2026 results with attributable production up 12% year-over-year and adjusted free cash flow more than doubling, alongside an expanded $1.25 billion shareholder returns program.
- NEM delivered record Q2 2026 free cash flow of $2.2 billion and remains on track for full-year production guidance of 5.3 million attributable ounces.
- GFI offers higher production growth momentum and dividend increases, while NEM provides greater scale, diversification, and resolved joint-venture uncertainties.
- Recent relative performance shows both stocks advancing amid gold sector strength, with NEM exhibiting larger market capitalization and steadier institutional positioning.
- Risk factors include operational costs, regional lease negotiations for GFI, and broader macroeconomic influences on gold demand for both companies.
Introduction
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) and Newmont Corporation (NEM) represent two prominent players in the gold mining sector, making them natural candidates for comparison among investors seeking exposure to precious metals. This analysis examines their business profiles, recent operational results, and market positioning within the current environment of elevated gold prices and sector volatility. Traders and long-term investors focused on relative performance, cash generation efficiency, and risk-adjusted exposure to gold may find this side-by-side review useful for portfolio allocation decisions. The comparison draws on publicly available financial disclosures and market data to highlight key contrasts without forward-looking speculation.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a South Africa-headquartered gold producer with operations across South Africa, Ghana, Australia, and Peru. In recent weeks, the company released its H1 2026 interim results, showing attributable gold-equivalent production of 1.267 million ounces, a 12% increase year-over-year, supported by strong output at Salares Norte. Adjusted free cash flow reached $2.225 billion, more than doubling from the prior period, while headline earnings rose 81% to $1.855 billion. The board declared an interim dividend of 1,625 South African cents per share and expanded its additional shareholder returns program to $1.25 billion, including completed buybacks of $300 million. These factors contributed to positive sentiment, though the stock has traded around the $42 level amid broader market movements.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the world’s largest gold miner by production, with a diversified portfolio spanning the Americas, Australia, Africa, and Papua New Guinea. During recent market activity, the company reported robust Q2 2026 results, including 1.3 million attributable gold ounces produced and record quarterly free cash flow of $2.2 billion. Net income reached $2.2 billion, and the firm remains on track for its full-year 2026 production guidance of 5.3 million ounces. Shareholder returns included dividends and share repurchases totaling $1.9 billion since the prior update. The stock has traded near $123 amid gold price fluctuations and sector developments, reflecting steady operational execution and liquidity strength.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GFI and NEM both operate in the gold mining sector but differ in scale and focus. NEM maintains a significantly larger market capitalization and broader geographic diversification, reducing single-asset concentration risk compared with GFI’s more concentrated portfolio. Recent momentum favors GFI on production growth and cash-flow expansion percentages, while NEM demonstrates consistent delivery against guidance and larger absolute free-cash-flow generation. Risk factors include GFI’s exposure to lease renewals in Ghana and NEM’s ongoing integration of prior acquisitions. Market sentiment for both remains tied to gold price stability, with NEM benefiting from resolved joint-venture matters that enhance operational clarity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in cash-flow delivery, resolution of key catalysts, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to NEM for stability-oriented strategies. GFI shows competitive momentum in growth metrics that could appeal to momentum-focused approaches, though its smaller scale introduces greater relative volatility. These assessments reflect pattern recognition from recent data rather than definitive forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFI is a Hold and NEM is a Hold.
GFI | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for NEM (76). This means that GFI’s stock grew significantly faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (46). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (24) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (38). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (63). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GFI (97). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| GFI | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | about 1 month ago 81% | about 1 month ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while NEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- GFI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
GFI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -10.30% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was -5.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -6.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.32%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-6.14% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.
NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM | 100% | -0.58% | ||
| KGC - NEM | 88% Closely correlated | -0.08% | ||
| WPM - NEM | 87% Closely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| AEM - NEM | 87% Closely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| CGAU - NEM | 86% Closely correlated | -1.10% | ||
| RGLD - NEM | 85% Closely correlated | -1.56% | ||
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