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GFI vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Gold Fields (GFI) vs. Newmont (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GFI (Gold Fields Limited) and NEM (Newmont Corporation) are both major gold producers, but they differ sharply in scale, geographic footprint, and cost structure.
- Newmont is the world's largest gold miner by output and market capitalization, while Gold Fields operates a smaller, more geographically concentrated portfolio.
- Both companies have benefited from elevated gold prices, with realized prices near $4,700–$4,900 per ounce in recent reporting periods.
- Gold Fields generated strong free cash flow growth and moved to a near net-cash position, while Newmont posted record quarterly free cash flow and authorized a new $6 billion buyback program.
- Gold Fields carries sovereign and merger-and-acquisition (M&A) uncertainty, whereas Newmont faces production declines and rising unit costs.
Introduction
Investors tracking the gold-mining sector often weigh GFI and NEM as two distinct ways to gain exposure to precious metals. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors seeking to understand how a mid-sized, globally diversified producer differs from the industry's largest operator in terms of relative performance, cost discipline, growth drivers, and market positioning. Both companies have reported strong results amid elevated gold prices, yet their risk profiles and momentum characteristics diverge. Understanding those trade-offs can help clarify which name may be better suited to different investment objectives and risk tolerances in the current market environment.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited is a global gold producer with operations across South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Chile, and Canada. In recent weeks, the company reported robust first-half results for its 2026 fiscal year, with attributable production rising roughly 12% year over year and sales volumes up 18%. A materially higher average realized gold price, around $4,678 per ounce, helped adjusted free cash flow more than double, while net debt fell sharply and net debt-to-EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) declined to roughly 0.06 times.
Sentiment has been supported by strong cash generation, a 132% increase in the interim dividend, and an expanded share buyback program, with the Salares Norte mine in Chile standing out for a 173% jump in production. However, the shares have also faced headwinds from sovereign risk tied to the pending Tarkwa lease renewal in Ghana, delays in the Windfall project's environmental approval, and renewed merger activity, including a bid for Northern Star Resources. These factors have contributed to volatile trading and a weaker momentum profile in recent market activity.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation is the world's largest gold producer, with a diversified portfolio spanning North America, South America, Australia, Africa, and Papua New Guinea. In recent periods, the company has benefited substantially from record gold prices, reporting a quarterly average realized gold price near $4,900 per ounce and record quarterly free cash flow of approximately $3.1 billion. Revenues and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) beat analyst estimates, supported by favorable silver and copper byproduct credits.
Newmont has also strengthened its balance sheet to a net cash position and authorized an additional $6 billion share repurchase program after fully executing its prior authorization. That said, attributable gold production has declined year over year, reflecting weather disruptions, lower grades, and planned maintenance across several assets. Rising unit costs, an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) that has increased, and ongoing legal and commercial disputes over the Nevada Gold Mines joint venture with Barrick have tempered sentiment. Despite these pressures, the stock has maintained a relatively stable, longer-term uptrend and trades with lower volatility than many peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge most clearly in scale and diversification. Newmont operates a larger, more geographically diverse asset base and generates substantially higher absolute cash flow, which supports a bigger share repurchase program and a more defensive market positioning. Gold Fields, by contrast, is smaller and more exposed to single-asset and single-jurisdiction risks, notably the Tarkwa lease in Ghana and the pending Windfall project in Canada.
On costs, Gold Fields reported an AISC of $1,893 per ounce in its recent half-year results, while Newmont's co-product AISC came in lower at around $1,709 per ounce, aided by byproduct credits. Both face cost inflation, but Newmont's production has been declining while Gold Fields has been growing output, driven by Salares Norte. In terms of shareholder returns, Gold Fields offers a notably higher dividend yield and a near net-cash balance sheet, whereas Newmont prioritizes buybacks and scale.
Risk factors also differ. Gold Fields carries sovereign and M&A overhang, which has weighed on its momentum score, while Newmont faces execution risk around mine transitions, rising costs, and joint-venture disputes. Sector exposure is similar, but Newmont's copper and silver byproducts provide some commodity diversification that Gold Fields largely lacks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor NEM over GFI in the current environment. Newmont's larger scale, broader diversification, stronger liquidity, and steadier long-term uptrend suggest a more consistent risk-adjusted profile, even as production and cost headwinds persist. Gold Fields offers compelling free cash flow growth, a lower valuation, and a near net-cash balance sheet, but its weaker momentum and elevated sovereign and M&A uncertainty introduce greater variability. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting a balance of trend stability against valuation and catalyst risk, and is not intended as personalized investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFI is a Hold and NEM is a Hold.
GFI's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for GFI moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 16 of the 19 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GFI as a result. In 69 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GFI just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where GFI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Following a +8.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GFI advanced for three days, in 255 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
GFI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GFI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
GFI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for GFI entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 45 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.888) is normal, around the industry mean (2.121). P/E Ratio (7.978) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.089) settles around the average of (0.330) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.312) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GFI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
NEM in +4.55% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 09, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where NEM advanced for three days, in 249 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NEM as a result. In 55 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NEM just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where NEM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
NEM moved below its 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
NEM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NEM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NEM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.615) is normal, around the industry mean (2.121). P/E Ratio (15.190) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.781) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.330) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.144) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
GFI | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (45) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (93). This means that GFI’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (42). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (24) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (38). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (58). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GFI (93). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| GFI | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 63% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NEM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GFI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GFI (@Precious Metals) experienced а +2.20% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was +0.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFI is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.06% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.
NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.