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GFI vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Gold Fields Limited (GFI) vs. Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NEM boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of approximately $116 billion compared to GFI's $38 billion, reflecting greater scale and diversified operations.
- Both gold producers have experienced downward pressure in recent weeks amid gold price volatility, with GFI declining more sharply by around 20% from recent highs, while NEM pulled back about 10%.
- GFI trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.7 versus NEM's 14.1, potentially offering better value, alongside a higher dividend yield near 4%.
- Over the past year, NEM has outperformed with returns exceeding 100%, compared to GFI's solid but trailing 80%+ gains.
- Recent earnings highlight NEM's strength, reporting $7.3 billion in Q1 2026 revenue and $3.1 billion in free cash flow (FCF).
- Gold sector sentiment remains supported by elevated metal prices, positioning both stocks for potential rebounds based on macroeconomic trends.
Introduction
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) and Newmont Corporation (NEM) are prominent gold mining companies navigating a dynamic market influenced by commodity prices, geopolitical factors, and interest rate expectations. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors seeking exposure to precious metals amid inflation hedges and portfolio diversification strategies. Traders focused on relative performance, valuation metrics, and sector momentum will find insights into how these stocks stack up in the current environment, aiding informed decision-making without speculative forecasts.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a gold producer with key assets in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. The company focuses on exploration and production, benefiting from strong gold demand. In recent market activity, GFI shares have faced downward momentum, retreating from peaks near $53 to around $42, reflecting broader gold sector corrections despite year-to-date resilience. Sentiment has been tempered by production updates showing declines in attributable ounces, alongside all-in sustaining costs (AISC, a key metric for mining profitability). Elevated gold prices have provided a buffer, but operational challenges in select regions have influenced short-term performance.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM), the world's largest gold producer, operates globally with exposure to gold, copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Its scale enables diversified revenue streams. Recent weeks have seen NEM shares moderate from highs above $120 to approximately $109, amid profit-taking following robust Q1 2026 results that included $7.3 billion in revenue and record $3.1 billion FCF. Strong cash generation has bolstered balance sheet flexibility, though gold price fluctuations and integration from prior mergers have shaped investor sentiment. The stock's lower beta (0.45) indicates relative stability compared to peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both GFI and NEM thrive on gold prices but differ in scale and diversification: NEM's vast portfolio reduces single-asset risk, while GFI emphasizes pure-play gold exposure. Growth drivers include production expansions and cost discipline, with NEM showing superior FCF for reinvestment versus GFI's cost pressures. Recent momentum favors neither decisively, as both corrected amid sector rotation, though NEM exhibits steadier trends. Risk factors involve geopolitical exposures—higher for GFI in Africa—and commodity volatility. Market sentiment leans toward NEM for its size and liquidity, trading at a premium valuation but with stronger long-term positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward NEM due to its larger operational scale, superior recent earnings momentum, and more consistent trend stability amid gold's strength. Factors like higher FCF generation and diversification provide a probabilistic edge over GFI's value appeal and higher yield, particularly for those prioritizing relative market positioning in volatile conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFI is a Hold and NEM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFI’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNEM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFI’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GFI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -10.23% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was -6.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.28% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| GFI | NEM | GFI / NEM | |
| Capitalization | 39.7B | 116B | 34% |
| EBITDA | 6.34B | 16.2B | 39% |
| Gain YTD | -5.078 | 9.445 | -54% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.22 | 14.15 | 72% |
| Revenue | 8.75B | 25B | 35% |
| Total Cash | 1.78B | 8.78B | 20% |
| Total Debt | 3.22B | 5.53B | 58% |
GFI | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 4 Undervalued | 21 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 81 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 26 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (21). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (46). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (37). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (55). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GFI (81). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| GFI | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 5 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 7 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | N/A |
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GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.