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GFI vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Gold Fields (GFI) vs. Newmont (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both GFI and NEM are major gold producers benefiting from elevated bullion prices and sector-wide momentum in recent weeks.
- GFI has delivered sharper short-term gains, including a roughly 40% rally over the past 30 days, driven by strong H1 2026 earnings guidance and operational improvements.
- NEM reports larger scale with record Q2 2026 free cash flow of $2.2 billion and consistent production, supporting ongoing dividends and share repurchases.
- GFI exhibits higher volatility and smaller market capitalization relative to NEM, which offers greater diversification across operations and a stronger balance sheet.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks advancing with gold prices, though NEM maintains steadier year-to-date performance at approximately 32%.
- Sector exposure remains similar, with trade-offs centered on growth momentum versus operational scale and capital returns.
Introduction
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) and Newmont Corporation (NEM) represent two leading gold mining companies whose stocks often move in tandem with bullion prices and industry sentiment. This comparison examines their recent performance, business profiles, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities within the precious metals sector. Participants focused on short-term momentum, long-term stability, or sector allocation may find the analysis relevant amid ongoing volatility in commodity markets.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited operates as a mid-tier gold producer with primary assets in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, and Peru. In recent market activity, GFI shares have shown pronounced upward movement, climbing approximately 40% over the past 30 days amid broader strength in gold mining equities. The company reported robust H1 2026 earnings guidance, including significantly higher headline earnings per share year-over-year, and reaffirmed full-year targets. Additional developments, such as an increased strategic stake in an exploration project, contributed to positive sentiment. Price behavior reflects heightened sensitivity to gold price fluctuations and operational updates, resulting in elevated volatility compared with larger peers.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation stands as the world’s largest gold producer, with a diversified portfolio spanning North America, South America, Australia, and Africa. Recent performance highlights steady advancement, with shares posting year-to-date gains near 32% through late August 2026. The company delivered strong Q2 2026 results, including record quarterly free cash flow of $2.2 billion and attributable gold production aligned with full-year guidance. Capital allocation included substantial dividends and share repurchases, reinforcing balance-sheet strength. Market activity shows NEM benefiting from sector tailwinds while demonstrating more measured price responses than smaller producers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ in scale: NEM maintains a larger, more diversified operation with multiple commodities exposure, while GFI focuses primarily on gold with regional concentration. Growth drivers for GFI center on recent production increases and earnings expansion, whereas NEM emphasizes consistent output, record cash generation, and shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. Recent momentum favors GFI on a short-term basis, yet NEM shows more stable year-to-date results. Risk factors include GFI’s higher volatility and geographic concentration versus NEM’s greater operational complexity. Sector exposure remains comparable, with both sensitive to gold prices, though market sentiment has lifted the broader group amid supportive commodity trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models may currently assign a modest preference to GFI due to its sharper recent momentum and earnings catalysts, while recognizing NEM’s advantages in scale and cash-flow stability. Any such assessment remains probabilistic and subject to ongoing market developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFI is a Hold and NEM is a Buy.
| GFI | NEM | GFI / NEM | |
| Capitalization | 40.6B | 133B | 31% |
| EBITDA | 7B | 16B | 44% |
| Gain YTD | 6.307 | 27.820 | 23% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.19 | 15.99 | 57% |
| Revenue | 11.4B | 25.8B | 44% |
| Total Cash | 2.03B | 9.01B | 23% |
| Total Debt | 2.64B | 5.6B | 47% |
GFI | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 12 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 92 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 33 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for NEM (78). This means that GFI’s stock grew significantly faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (37). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (24) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (38). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (40). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GFI (92). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| GFI | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 81% | 10 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 5 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 82% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while NEM’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- GFI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GFI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -4.85% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was -1.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -3.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-3.23% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.
NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM | 100% | +0.53% | ||
| KGC - NEM | 88% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| AEM - NEM | 87% Closely correlated | +1.87% | ||
| WPM - NEM | 87% Closely correlated | +2.08% | ||
| CGAU - NEM | 86% Closely correlated | +0.13% | ||
| PAAS - NEM | 85% Closely correlated | -0.61% | ||
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