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CGAU vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) vs. Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CGAU operates as a mid-tier gold producer with a more concentrated asset base compared to the global scale of NEM.
- NEM is the world’s largest gold mining company by production and has diversified exposure to copper and other metals.
- Recent market activity shows NEM shares experiencing pressure ahead of its July 23, 2026 earnings release, with a notable monthly decline.
- Both stocks belong to the gold mining sector, making them sensitive to gold price movements, cost inflation, and operational execution.
- NEM benefits from greater liquidity, analyst coverage, and a broader operational footprint across multiple continents.
- Relative positioning favors larger-scale producers like NEM for stability during periods of sector volatility.
Introduction
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and Newmont Corporation (NEM) are two publicly traded companies in the gold mining sector, offering investors exposure to precious metals through different scales of operation. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to assist traders and portfolio managers evaluating gold-related equities. The analysis is particularly relevant for those seeking to understand contrasts between a mid-tier producer and the industry’s largest player amid fluctuating commodity prices and evolving sector dynamics.
CGAU Overview and Recent Performance
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) is a Canadian-based mid-tier gold mining company with operations primarily in North America and select international locations. The firm focuses on gold production and exploration, maintaining a portfolio that emphasizes cost-efficient mining in established jurisdictions. In recent market activity, CGAU shares have reflected broader gold sector movements, with sentiment influenced by operational updates and commodity price trends. Performance has been shaped by production consistency and regional factors, though the stock exhibits higher volatility typical of smaller producers compared to industry leaders.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the world’s leading gold producer, with a diversified portfolio spanning gold, copper, and other metals across operations in North America, South America, Australia, Africa, and Papua New Guinea. The company maintains a large-scale asset base and has reported strong free cash flow in prior quarters. Recent market activity shows NEM shares under pressure, including a decline of approximately 12.49% over the past month amid broader market conditions and ahead of its second-quarter 2026 earnings release scheduled for July 23, 2026. Analyst attention remains focused on cost management and production guidance.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In terms of business model, CGAU maintains a focused gold-centric operation with fewer assets, while NEM leverages global diversification and byproduct credits from copper production. Growth drivers differ accordingly: CGAU relies on targeted project development, whereas NEM benefits from scale efficiencies and extensive exploration pipelines. Recent momentum has been more challenging for NEM due to pre-earnings positioning, though its larger market capitalization and liquidity provide relative stability. Risk factors include higher operational concentration for CGAU versus regulatory and geopolitical exposures across NEM’s international footprint. Sector exposure remains aligned for both, yet market sentiment often favors established leaders during uncertain periods.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, operational scale, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to NEM. Its broader diversification, established production base, and analyst attention may support more stable performance characteristics compared to the more concentrated profile of CGAU, though outcomes remain subject to gold price movements and execution results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CGAU is a StrongBuy and NEM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CGAU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CGAU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CGAU’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CGAU’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CGAU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +12.94% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was +6.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +13.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
CGAU is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+13.85% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| CGAU | NEM | CGAU / NEM | |
| Capitalization | 3.57B | 103B | 3% |
| EBITDA | 1B | 16B | 6% |
| Gain YTD | 26.305 | -1.696 | -1,551% |
| P/E Ratio | 5.80 | 12.32 | 47% |
| Revenue | 1.72B | 25.8B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 457M | 9.01B | 5% |
| Total Debt | 45.8M | 5.6B | 1% |
CGAU | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CGAU's Valuation (18) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (63) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the null industry is in the same range as NEM (53) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is in the same range as NEM (38) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Price Growth Rating (38) in the null industry is in the same range as NEM (55) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CGAU (100) in the null industry. This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
| CGAU | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 70% | 8 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 64% |
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NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM | 100% | +2.47% | ||
| KGC - NEM | 88% Closely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| AEM - NEM | 87% Closely correlated | +2.16% | ||
| WPM - NEM | 86% Closely correlated | +3.17% | ||
| PAAS - NEM | 85% Closely correlated | +2.70% | ||
| CGAU - NEM | 84% Closely correlated | +3.07% | ||
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