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CMCO vs PCAR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Columbus McKinnon (CMCO) vs. PACCAR (PCAR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Columbus McKinnon (CMCO) is a small-cap material handling and intelligent motion solutions provider with a market capitalization of approximately $467 million, currently trading near $16 per share with a modest 1.9% dividend yield.
- PACCAR (PCAR) is a large-cap, $70 billion commercial truck manufacturer behind the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands, trading around $133 per share with a 1.0% dividend yield and a 29.8% payout ratio.
- CMCO has experienced significant volatility and a multi-year share price decline, driven by acquisition-related costs, tariff headwinds, and integration challenges, while PCAR has demonstrated far greater price stability and long-term capital appreciation.
- PCAR recently posted a Q2 2026 earnings beat ($1.43 EPS vs. $1.36 consensus) with record Parts segment revenue of $1.75 billion, signaling resilient demand despite a cyclical truck market.
- CMCO is navigating a strategic transformation, including the integration of the Kito Crosby acquisition and a CFO transition, with FY2027 EPS guidance set at $1.70–$1.90, suggesting a potential earnings recovery.
- Both stocks operate in industrial sectors tied to broader economic cycles, but PCAR's scale, brand strength, and diversified revenue streams provide a materially different risk profile compared to CMCO's smaller, more acquisition-dependent business.
Introduction
Investors evaluating industrial-sector equities often encounter a wide spectrum of opportunities, from niche small-cap manufacturers to globally dominant large-cap enterprises. This comparison between CMCO (Columbus McKinnon Corporation) and PCAR (PACCAR Inc.) highlights that contrast in particularly sharp relief. Columbus McKinnon, a designer and manufacturer of material handling and intelligent motion solutions, and PACCAR, one of the world's premier heavy-duty truck manufacturers, occupy different tiers of the industrial landscape. Yet both are sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, capital spending cycles, and trade policy. This analysis examines how these two companies have performed in recent months, what is driving their respective trajectories, and how AI-powered analytical tools might assess their relative positioning in the current market environment.
CMCO Overview and Recent Performance
CMCO, headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, is a global leader in intelligent motion solutions for material handling. Its product portfolio spans hoists, crane components, precision conveyor systems, rigging tools, automation, and linear motion platforms. The company serves manufacturing, warehousing, energy, aerospace, and other industrial end markets. Over the past several years, Columbus McKinnon has pursued an acquisition-driven growth strategy, most notably with the transformative Kito Crosby deal, which has significantly expanded its global scale while also introducing integration complexity and elevated leverage.
In recent market activity, CMCO shares have traded in the $14–$16 range, representing a dramatic pullback from levels above $40 seen roughly two years ago. The company's fiscal 2026 revenue reached $1.19 billion, a 23.9% year-over-year increase, largely reflecting contributions from acquisitions. However, profitability has been under pressure: the company reported a net loss for the fiscal year, with adjusted EPS missing analyst expectations in several recent quarters. Tariff-related costs, acquisition expenses, and business realignment charges have weighed on margins. On a positive note, in July 2026, the company declared its regular quarterly dividend of $0.07 per share and appointed a new CFO, John R. Linker, signaling a potential operational reset. Management reaffirmed fiscal 2027 guidance, projecting EPS in the $1.70–$1.90 range, which would mark a meaningful return to profitability.
PCAR Overview and Recent Performance
PCAR, based in Bellevue, Washington, is a global technology leader in the design and manufacture of light-, medium-, and heavy-duty commercial trucks under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. Beyond truck manufacturing, PACCAR operates a comprehensive aftermarket parts business and a financial services arm that provides financing and leasing solutions to dealers and customers. With a market capitalization of approximately $70 billion and a presence spanning North America, Europe, and select global markets, PACCAR is one of the most established names in the commercial vehicle industry.
PACCAR's recent performance has been characterized by resilience in the face of a cyclical freight market. In its Q2 2026 earnings release on July 28, 2026, the company reported net income of $752 million, or $1.43 per diluted share, exceeding the $1.36 consensus estimate. Quarterly revenue rose modestly to $7.55 billion. A standout result came from the PACCAR Parts segment, which posted record quarterly revenue of $1.75 billion. Truck deliveries totaled 38,700 units, reflecting a sequential recovery from Q1 2026 levels. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.35 per share, continuing a long tradition of shareholder returns. With a year-to-date gain exceeding 22% and a five-year total return near 191%, PCAR shares have demonstrated substantial long-term momentum. Analysts note that an upcoming EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) regulatory mandate in early 2027 may be pulling forward truck demand, providing a near-term catalyst.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Comparing CMCO and PCAR reveals stark differences in scale, market positioning, financial stability, and recent momentum. PACCAR's $70 billion market cap dwarfs Columbus McKinnon's approximately $467 million valuation, reflecting fundamentally different places in the industrial ecosystem. PCAR is a cyclical bellwether with diversified revenue streams—truck manufacturing, aftermarket parts, and financial services—that help cushion earnings during downturns. CMCO, by contrast, is a smaller, more concentrated player whose growth is closely tied to acquisition execution and the capital spending cycles of its industrial customers.
From a momentum perspective, PCAR has clearly outperformed. Its shares have delivered a positive return of roughly 35% over the past year and over 22% year-to-date, supported by a Q2 2026 earnings beat and improving truck build rates. CMCO shares, meanwhile, continue to trade near multi-year lows, though the company's FY2027 guidance and CFO transition suggest management is focused on stabilization and recovery. On the risk front, CMCO carries a significantly higher debt-to-equity ratio and has been navigating negative free cash flow, while PCAR maintains a more conservative balance sheet with manageable leverage and consistent cash generation. Sector exposure also differs: PCAR is tied directly to freight and transportation cycles, while CMCO's demand is more broadly linked to industrial automation and material handling investment across multiple verticals. In terms of market sentiment, PCAR benefits from the tailwind of pre-buy activity ahead of 2027 EPA regulations, whereas CMCO's narrative centers on a turnaround story that has yet to fully materialize in share price performance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, balance sheet quality, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI-driven analytical framework would likely favor PCAR over CMCO in the current environment. PACCAR's combination of a robust Q2 2026 earnings beat, record parts revenue, sequential improvement in truck deliveries, and a well-defined catalyst in the approaching EPA regulatory mandate provides a clearer near-term trajectory. Its established uptrend, strong institutional ownership, and consistent dividend policy further reinforce the AI's probabilistic preference for stability and momentum. Columbus McKinnon, while potentially undervalued on a forward earnings basis with FY2027 guidance implying significant recovery, carries greater execution risk tied to acquisition integration, tariff exposure, and an ongoing profitability reset. An AI model would likely recognize CMCO's deep-value potential but would assign a lower probability of near-term outperformance relative to PCAR's demonstrated earnings power and favorable cyclical positioning. Investors should note that AI assessments are probabilistic, not deterministic, and that market conditions can shift rapidly.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMCO is a Buy and PCAR is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePCAR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CMCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PCAR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMCO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PCAR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMCO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PCAR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CMCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +18.92% price change this week, while PCAR (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +0.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -3.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMCO is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
PCAR is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-3.97% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| CMCO | PCAR | CMCO / PCAR | |
| Capitalization | 553M | 69.8B | 1% |
| EBITDA | -54.23M | 3.62B | -1% |
| Gain YTD | 12.006 | 21.851 | 55% |
| P/E Ratio | 73.90 | 27.93 | 265% |
| Revenue | 1.49B | 27.8B | 5% |
| Total Cash | 98.4M | 8.83B | 1% |
| Total Debt | 2.38B | 14.7B | 16% |
CMCO | PCAR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 16 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 91 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMCO's Valuation (27) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (38). This means that CMCO’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CMCO (100). This means that PCAR’s stock grew significantly faster than CMCO’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's SMR Rating (64) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CMCO (99). This means that PCAR’s stock grew somewhat faster than CMCO’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's Price Growth Rating (16) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CMCO (38). This means that PCAR’s stock grew similarly to CMCO’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CMCO (91). This means that PCAR’s stock grew significantly faster than CMCO’s over the last 12 months.
| CMCO | PCAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 49% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 69% | 7 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 55% |
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CMCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMCO has been loosely correlated with PCAR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CMCO jumps, then PCAR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CMCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMCO | 100% | -7.30% | ||
| PCAR - CMCO | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| ASTE - CMCO | 51% Loosely correlated | -1.44% | ||
| ACA - CMCO | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| AGCO - CMCO | 45% Loosely correlated | -4.64% | ||
| ALG - CMCO | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.79% | ||
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PCAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PCAR has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PCAR jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PCAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCAR | 100% | -0.81% | ||
| TEX - PCAR | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.00% | ||
| CNH - PCAR | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| AGCO - PCAR | 56% Loosely correlated | -4.64% | ||
| OSK - PCAR | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| TWI - PCAR | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.90% | ||
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