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AGCO vs PCAR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. PACCAR Inc (PCAR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Tickeron AI Verdict: PCAR is the favored ticker in this comparison, reflecting stronger recent momentum, recovering demand, and margin expansion versus a guidance-cutting cycle trough for AGCO.
- AGCO is navigating a deep agricultural equipment downturn, with declining earnings and repeated guidance cuts despite strength in North America and precision agriculture technology.
- PCAR is benefiting from recovering truck demand, record parts revenue, and expanding operating margins, even as supply-chain constraints and emissions-rule uncertainty linger.
- The two companies serve different end markets — farming equipment versus commercial trucks — making their relative performance a study in divergent industrial cycles.
- Explore more details on each name through AGCO Major News and AGCO Today's Price Move, plus PCAR Major News and PCAR Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are positioning across this and similar comparisons, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Both AGCO and PCAR are capital-goods manufacturers tied to the health of heavy industry, yet they serve very different customers. AGCO Corporation builds agricultural equipment, while PACCAR Inc manufactures commercial trucks. This stock comparison is relevant for investors who track cyclical industrials and want to understand how two machinery leaders are positioned in the current market environment. Because farm-equipment demand and freight/truck demand do not always move together, the contrast between these names offers insight into where relative momentum, earnings quality, and market positioning currently favor one business over the other.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO is a global agricultural machinery manufacturer whose brands include Fendt, Massey Ferguson, and Valtra, complemented by its PTx precision-agriculture business and FarmerCore distribution model. In recent weeks, the stock has shown year-to-date gains but remains well below its 52-week high, reflecting a mixed fundamental picture.
Recent market activity has highlighted a widening regional divide. North America has been a bright spot, with sales growth and market-share gains, while Europe, the Middle East, and Latin America have weakened notably. Management has lowered full-year guidance multiple times and now describes global industry demand as running below prior cyclical trough levels. Earnings have declined year over year, and tariff-related costs, softer Brazilian credit conditions, and cautious farmer purchasing have weighed on sentiment. At the same time, AGCO has pursued leadership restructuring and continues to emphasize precision agriculture and autonomy as long-term growth levers.
PCAR Overview and Recent Performance
PCAR is a leading heavy- and medium-duty truck manufacturer operating under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates, supported by a sizeable parts and financial-services business. In recent weeks, the stock has drawn a more constructive analyst tone, including at least one upgrade to an Outperform rating, reflecting improving fundamentals.
PACCAR has reported rising revenue and a sharp year-over-year increase in net income, driven by recovering Class 8 truck demand and favorable pricing. The parts segment has posted record revenue, while operating margins have expanded meaningfully. Near-term headwinds include supplier constraints that have limited deliveries and uncertainty around upcoming emissions regulations and related non-conformance penalties (fees applied to engines that do not yet meet stricter standards). A strong balance sheet, investment-grade credit profile, and ongoing investment in clean diesel, hybrid, and battery-electric powertrains support the company's longer-term market positioning.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and universe of securities. Because not every bot suits every market condition, Tickeron curates only the most relevant performers into its Trending AI Robots section. This page spotlights the bots best aligned with current market dynamics, giving traders a way to evaluate automated strategies across different asset classes and holding periods. Visitors can review signals, compare performance metrics, and see which approaches are gaining traction in real time. If you are exploring how systematic, data-driven strategies handle comparisons like AGCO versus PCAR, the Trending AI Robots page is a practical starting point.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies are cyclical industrials, their business models diverge in important ways. AGCO is exposed to farm income, crop economics, and agricultural credit, and it is currently operating through a pronounced downcycle in equipment demand. Its growth narrative leans on precision agriculture, autonomy, and a mixed-fleet technology strategy, but near-term momentum is being pressured by guidance cuts and weak international markets.
PCAR, by contrast, is leveraged to freight demand, fleet replacement cycles, and the regulatory-driven truck transition. Its recent performance has been defined by recovering volumes, record aftermarket revenue, and expanding margins, even as supply constraints and emissions-rule uncertainty temper the outlook. On risk factors, AGCO faces tariff exposure and weak Latin American demand, while PCAR faces supplier bottlenecks and regulatory ambiguity. On market sentiment, PCAR has attracted more constructive analyst action, whereas AGCO's narrative remains tied to a trough that has yet to turn decisively.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings trajectory, margin direction, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently favor PCAR over AGCO. PCAR's combination of recovering demand, record parts revenue, and expanding profitability contrasts with AGCO's declining earnings and repeated guidance reductions. While both names carry cyclical and regulatory risks, PCAR's momentum and financial strength appear more supportive at this stage of the cycle. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive and reflects current market conditions, which can shift as sector fundamentals evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a Hold and PCAR is a StrongBuy.
Momentum Indicator for AGCO turns positive, indicating new upward trend
AGCO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 95 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 95 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AGCO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AGCO just turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where AGCO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +5.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGCO advanced for three days, in 199 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
AGCO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AGCO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGCO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
AGCO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AGCO entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AGCO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.895) is normal, around the industry mean (2.277). P/E Ratio (15.254) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.931) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.847) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AGCO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
PCAR's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for PCAR moved out of oversold territory on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 19 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 61 cases where PCAR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PCAR just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where PCAR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Following a +1.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PCAR advanced for three days, in 199 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
PCAR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PCAR as a result. In 53 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PCAR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Aroon Indicator for PCAR entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.641) is normal, around the industry mean (2.277). P/E Ratio (21.424) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.828) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.241) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PCAR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
AGCO | PCAR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 95 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 61 | 62 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (53) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (58). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (95). This means that PCAR’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's SMR Rating (61) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (62). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (60). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AGCO (79). This means that PCAR’s stock grew somewhat faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | PCAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 62% | 20 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 52% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while PCAR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PCAR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PCAR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- PCAR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -0.42% price change this week, while PCAR (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +0.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -2.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Feb 09, 2027.
PCAR is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-2.47% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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PCAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PCAR has been loosely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PCAR jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PCAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCAR | 100% | -2.41% | ||
| TEX - PCAR | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.83% | ||
| OSK - PCAR | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.75% | ||
| AGCO - PCAR | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| CNH - PCAR | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.76% | ||
| TWI - PCAR | 46% Loosely correlated | +4.89% | ||
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