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AGCO vs PCAR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PCAR has outperformed AGCO year-to-date with a 16.27% return compared to 11.55%, reflecting stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- AGCO trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.91 versus PCAR's 28.16, suggesting relative value in the agricultural equipment sector.
- Both stocks have seen analyst price targets around $128, indicating modest upside potential amid broader industrial sector dynamics.
- PCAR's larger market cap of $66.8 billion dwarfs AGCO's $8.4 billion, highlighting scale differences in truck manufacturing versus ag machinery.
- Recent dividend increases for AGCO signal confidence, while PCAR benefits from improving European truck orders.
- Upcoming quarterly earnings for both could shift sentiment, with PCAR facing expectations of declines but riding higher recent gains.
Introduction
AGCO Corporation and PACCAR Inc. represent key players in the machinery sector, with AGCO focused on agricultural equipment and PCAR on heavy-duty trucks. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, valuation, and market positioning, aiding investors and traders navigating industrial cyclicality. Those interested in relative performance between farming machinery and commercial trucking—sectors influenced by commodity prices, freight demand, and economic indicators—will find insights into momentum, risks, and growth drivers. In the current environment of moderating inflation and supply chain adjustments, understanding these contrasts supports informed portfolio decisions.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO Corporation is a global leader in designing, manufacturing, and distributing agricultural machinery, including tractors, combines, sprayers, and precision farming technologies under brands like Fendt, Massey Ferguson, and Challenger. The company serves farmers worldwide, with exposure to row-crop production and smart agriculture tools.
In recent market activity, AGCO's stock has experienced a pullback, trading around $116 with a year-to-date gain of 11.55% and one-year return of 36.83%. Influences include valuation reassessments after share price declines over recent weeks, offset by a dividend increase of 3.4% and positive analyst upgrades, such as Oppenheimer's raised target to $136. Upcoming first-quarter earnings on May 5 and growth prospects in markets like Australia have supported sentiment, though broader agricultural demand tied to commodities remains a key variable.
PCAR Overview and Recent Performance
PACCAR Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes premium light-, medium-, and heavy-duty trucks through brands like Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF, holding significant North American Class 8 market share. The company emphasizes total cost of ownership improvements for fleets and supports global commerce via trucking solutions.
Recent weeks have seen PCAR stock advance to around $127, with a year-to-date return of 16.27% and one-year gain of 40.55%, outpacing broader markets at times. Momentum stems from surging Class 8 orders and insider activity, despite cautions on profitability. First-quarter earnings due April 28 anticipate EPS and revenue declines, yet analyst targets average $128, bolstered by notes on improving European orders from BNP Paribas. Freight cycle recovery influences positive sentiment amid economic resilience.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGCO and PCAR both operate in capital-intensive machinery but diverge in end-markets: agriculture (weather, commodities) versus trucking (freight volumes, fuel costs). PCAR's business model benefits from larger scale and diversified global truck demand, driving superior recent momentum, while AGCO offers value via lower P/E amid precision ag growth drivers.
Risk factors include cyclical downturns—farm income volatility for AGCO and truckload overcapacity for PCAR—with sector exposure tilting AGCO toward crop cycles and PCAR to logistics. Market sentiment favors PCAR's stability and order backlogs over AGCO's recent dips, though trade-offs exist in valuation discounts versus growth consistency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward PCAR based on stronger trend consistency, superior year-to-date and one-year returns, and robust market positioning in trucking amid freight recovery signals. While AGCO presents attractive valuation and dividend appeal, PCAR's scale, order improvements, and relative stability suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance, pending earnings outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a Hold and PCAR is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePCAR’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PCAR’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PCAR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PCAR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +1.23% price change this week, while PCAR (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -0.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +2.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
PCAR is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+2.57% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| AGCO | PCAR | AGCO / PCAR | |
| Capitalization | 8.25B | 63.2B | 13% |
| EBITDA | 1.1B | 3.57B | 31% |
| Gain YTD | 9.711 | 10.316 | 94% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.99 | 25.56 | 43% |
| Revenue | 10.4B | 27.8B | 37% |
| Total Cash | 515M | 8.86B | 6% |
| Total Debt | 2.69B | 14.9B | 18% |
AGCO | PCAR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 27 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (21) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (24). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (100). This means that PCAR’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's SMR Rating (47) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (63). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's Price Growth Rating (27) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (51). This means that PCAR’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (99). This means that PCAR’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | PCAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 65% | 23 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 53% |
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AGCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGCO has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGCO jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 100% | +0.23% | ||
| CNH - AGCO | 75% Closely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| DE - AGCO | 67% Closely correlated | +1.59% | ||
| PCAR - AGCO | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.98% | ||
| ALG - AGCO | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| TEX - AGCO | 58% Loosely correlated | +3.17% | ||
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PCAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PCAR has been loosely correlated with OSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PCAR jumps, then OSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PCAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCAR | 100% | +0.98% | ||
| OSK - PCAR | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.98% | ||
| TEX - PCAR | 59% Loosely correlated | +3.17% | ||
| AGCO - PCAR | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| CNH - PCAR | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| WNC - PCAR | 55% Loosely correlated | +6.16% | ||
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