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CNH vs PCAR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. PACCAR (PCAR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CNH (CNH Industrial N.V.) makes agricultural and construction equipment, while PCAR (PACCAR Inc) manufactures medium- and heavy-duty commercial trucks.
- Both carry a consensus "Buy" rating, but analyst momentum has diverged: CNH price targets have been raised, while PCAR targets have been trimmed across several major banks.
- CNH has delivered a much stronger year-to-date advance, while PCAR has been roughly flat and has pulled back in recent weeks.
- CNH faces tariff and soft farm-economy headwinds; PCAR is contending with truck-cycle uncertainty and elevated diesel costs.
- PCAR offers a steadier, dividend-backed cash-flow profile, while CNH's appeal rests on trend momentum and a potential agricultural recovery.
Introduction
Investors looking across the industrial and capital-goods landscape often weigh equipment makers with very different end markets. This stock comparison examines CNH (CNH Industrial N.V.), a global agricultural and construction equipment manufacturer, against PCAR (PACCAR Inc), a leading producer of commercial trucks under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. Both are cyclical businesses sensitive to interest rates, input costs, and equipment demand, yet their recent market positioning has diverged noticeably. Growth-oriented traders focused on relative performance and momentum may find CNH's stronger run appealing, while more conservative, income-minded investors may weigh PCAR's dividend and recurring aftermarket revenue. Understanding these contrasts helps frame which profile fits a given strategy.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial designs, manufactures, and finances agricultural and construction equipment, selling under brands including Case IH, New Holland, STEYR, and Raven. The company is heavily exposed to farm economics, as equipment purchases track farmer income and crop-cycle demand. In recent market activity, CNH has been one of the stronger performers in its peer group, notching a year-to-date advance of roughly 45% through early October before giving back some gains in a valuation-driven pullback.
Recent analyst actions have been broadly constructive, with firms including Truist and Barclays raising price targets amid a sector-wide earnings preview. However, the same research flags meaningful risks: newly expanded tariffs, higher interest rates, and elevated diesel and input costs are compressing margins, and cautious farmer spending continues to weigh on the company's largest business line. CNH's recurring aftermarket revenue from parts and service provides some earnings stability, but its heavier debt load leaves less financial flexibility if end-market demand softens further.
PCAR Overview and Recent Performance
PCAR, PACCAR Inc, is a premier manufacturer of light-, medium-, and heavy-duty commercial trucks, sold under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. Beyond truck production, PACCAR earns recurring revenue from parts distribution and financial services, and it has been investing in electric and hydrogen powertrains. Its shares have been roughly flat year-to-date and have pulled back about 12% over the past month, reflecting a broader reset of truck-cycle expectations.
Wall Street has trimmed its outlook in recent weeks, with Wells Fargo, Citi, JPMorgan, and Truist all lowering price targets while maintaining mostly constructive ratings. The debate centers on the timing of a North American truck replacement cycle against headwinds including record diesel prices, higher rates, and mixed industrial demand. On the positive side, PACCAR recently launched PACCAR Connect, a factory-integrated telematics and fleet platform, and continues to declare a steady quarterly dividend, underscoring a stable cash-flow base even as new-truck volumes face cyclical pressure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies sit in the broader machinery sector, their business models and drivers diverge sharply. CNH is tethered to agricultural cycles and construction activity, giving it direct exposure to farm income and infrastructure spending. PCAR is tied to freight demand, fleet replacement cycles, and logistics volumes, making it more sensitive to trucking capacity and fuel economics. On momentum, CNH has clearly led over the trailing year, while PCAR's recent pullback reflects a still-unresolved truck-cycle inflection.
Valuation and income present another trade-off. CNH trades at a low absolute price but an elevated trailing price-to-earnings ratio because earnings remain depressed, whereas PCAR offers a meaningful dividend yield and a more established recurring parts business. Risk factors also differ: CNH contends with tariff-driven margin pressure and soft farm economics, while PCAR faces record diesel costs and uncertain non-residential construction demand. Market sentiment has turned more favorable on CNH's recovery narrative even as it has grown more cautious on PCAR's near-term earnings path.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, recent relative performance, and analyst sentiment, Tickeron's AI would likely tilt in favor of CNH in the current environment. CNH's stronger price momentum, rising analyst price targets, and constructive positioning ahead of earnings contrast with PCAR's broader target reductions and unresolved cycle timing. That said, the preference is probabilistic rather than definitive: PCAR's more stable cash flows, dividend support, and high-quality aftermarket business could appeal under different market conditions. A systematic, AI-driven approach would emphasize monitoring momentum shifts and catalyst timing for both names rather than relying on a single static call.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNH is a Hold and PCAR is a StrongBuy.
CNH's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for CNH entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 198 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 159 of the 198 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
CNH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CNH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CNH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CNH as a result. In 68 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CNH just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where CNH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +4.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNH advanced for three days, in 175 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
CNH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CNH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.428) is normal, around the industry mean (2.406). P/E Ratio (46.840) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.598). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.362) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.926) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CNH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
PCAR's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for PCAR moved out of oversold territory on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 19 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 62 cases where PCAR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PCAR just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where PCAR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +1.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PCAR advanced for three days, in 199 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
PCAR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PCAR as a result. In 50 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
The 50-day moving average for PCAR moved below the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PCAR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
The Aroon Indicator for PCAR entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.750) is normal, around the industry mean (2.406). P/E Ratio (22.303) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.598). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.828) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.241) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PCAR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
CNH | PCAR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 26 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 62 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PCAR's Valuation (59) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (67). This means that PCAR’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CNH (100). This means that PCAR’s stock grew significantly faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
PCAR's SMR Rating (62) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (85). This means that PCAR’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's Price Growth Rating (55) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (62). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PCAR (26). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to PCAR’s over the last 12 months.
| CNH | PCAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 16 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 7 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 49% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PCAR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CNH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PCAR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNH’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PCAR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PCAR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +6.45% price change this week, while PCAR (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +3.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -2.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNH is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
PCAR is expected to report earnings on Jan 26, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-2.66% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CNH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNH | 100% | -0.17% | ||
| AGCO - CNH | 77% Closely correlated | +1.37% | ||
| TEX - CNH | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| LNN - CNH | 53% Loosely correlated | +1.88% | ||
| ASTE - CNH | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.90% | ||
| CAT - CNH | 48% Loosely correlated | -5.23% | ||
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PCAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PCAR has been loosely correlated with TWI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PCAR jumps, then TWI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PCAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCAR | 100% | +4.05% | ||
| TWI - PCAR | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.40% | ||
| OSK - PCAR | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| CNH - PCAR | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.17% | ||
| TEX - PCAR | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| ACA - PCAR | 44% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
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