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CMS vs FE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CMS Energy (CMS) vs. FirstEnergy (FE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FirstEnergy (FE) has shown stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at 11.4% compared to CMS's 9.9%.
- FE provides a higher dividend yield of 3.76% versus CMS's 2.99%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both stocks maintain low betas (CMS at 0.42, FE at 0.59), indicating reduced volatility relative to the market.
- FE recently achieved a 52-week high, reflecting robust recent momentum, while CMS trades near the upper end of its range.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings reports for both companies are anticipated to show earnings per share (EPS) growth, potentially driving sentiment.
- Tickeron's technical analysis scores give a slight edge to CMS in short-term signals.
Introduction
CMS Energy and FirstEnergy (FE) are prominent players in the regulated electric utilities sector, offering stability amid market volatility. This comparison is particularly relevant for income-oriented investors seeking defensive positions with reliable dividends, as well as traders monitoring sector rotation into utilities during uncertain economic conditions. Both stocks have benefited from broader sector tailwinds like infrastructure investments and interest rate sensitivity, but differences in regional operations, growth catalysts, and recent momentum provide key insights for relative performance evaluation in the current market environment.
CMS Overview and Recent Performance
CMS Energy Corporation operates as an integrated electric and natural gas utility primarily serving Michigan through its subsidiary Consumers Energy. With a market capitalization of approximately $23.5 billion, the company focuses on grid modernization and clean energy transitions. In recent market activity, CMS shares have traded around $76, reflecting YTD gains of 9.9% and positioning near the upper half of its 52-week range ($67.71–$80.36). Sentiment has been supported by a declared quarterly dividend and investments in weather stations to enhance outage response. Price behavior shows resilience despite minor pullbacks, influenced by anticipation for Q1 earnings growth of 12.8% and overall utility sector demand.
FE Overview and Recent Performance
FirstEnergy (FE) Corp. is a leading electric utility serving customers across six states in the Midwest and Northeast, including Ohio and Pennsylvania, with a market cap of about $28.6 billion. The company emphasizes transmission and distribution infrastructure upgrades. Recent weeks have seen FE shares around $49, with YTD returns of 11.4% and a recent 52-week high of $52.34 amid a range of $39.28–$52.34. Positive sentiment stems from planned three-year rate filings for reliability enhancements, grid rebuilds, and expected Q1 EPS growth of 7.5%. Performance reflects strength from regulatory approvals and storm cost adjustments, though minor recent dips align with sector patterns.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CMS and FE operate regulated electric utility models centered on transmission and distribution, minimizing competition risks but relying on rate case approvals for growth. FE’s multi-state footprint offers broader diversification than CMS’s Michigan focus, potentially buffering regional weather impacts. Growth drivers include infrastructure spending, with FE advancing rate plans and CMS prioritizing renewables. Recent momentum favors FE with superior 1-year (21.6% vs. 6%) and 5-year (65% vs. 39%) returns. Risk profiles are comparable via low betas and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios (CMS 21.7, FE 28.1), though FE’s higher dividend yield enhances income appeal. Market sentiment tilts toward FE on recent highs, contrasting CMS’s steadier positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FE over CMS, driven by stronger trend consistency, superior YTD and multi-year returns, recent 52-week highs, and elevated dividend yield. While CMS edges in short-term technical scores and lower P/E, FE’s catalysts like rate filings position it better for near-term upside in a utility-favorable environment. Probability leans toward continued relative outperformance for FE.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMS is a StrongBuy and FE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMS’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileFE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- FE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- FE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CMS (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +2.12% price change this week, while FE (@Electric Utilities) price change was +1.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMS is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
FE is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| CMS | FE | CMS / FE | |
| Capitalization | 22.7B | 27.2B | 83% |
| EBITDA | 3.4B | 4.35B | 78% |
| Gain YTD | 6.816 | 7.146 | 95% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.35 | 25.56 | 80% |
| Revenue | 8.82B | 15.5B | 57% |
| Total Cash | 175M | 52M | 337% |
| Total Debt | 19.1B | 28.1B | 68% |
CMS | FE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 43 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FE's Valuation (12) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CMS (71). This means that FE’s stock grew somewhat faster than CMS’s over the last 12 months.
FE's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (46). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
CMS's SMR Rating (64) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FE (77). This means that CMS’s stock grew similarly to FE’s over the last 12 months.
FE's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (53). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
FE's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (54). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
| CMS | FE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 39% | 12 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 21% | 2 days ago 37% |
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