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DOW vs FUL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dow Inc. (DOW) vs. H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Dow Inc. (DOW) has posted strong year-to-date (YTD) gains of about 59%, rebounding significantly from 52-week lows, though recent weeks show pullbacks amid earnings anticipation.
- H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) rallied approximately 20% in recent market activity after beating Q1 earnings estimates and raising full-year guidance.
- DOW, a larger-cap materials giant with a market value over $26 billion, offers a higher dividend yield near 3.8% and lower beta (a volatility measure) of 0.50 compared to FUL's 1.52% yield and 1.04 beta.
- FUL trades at a more attractive forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.46 with positive earnings per share (EPS) of $2.89, contrasting DOW's negative trailing EPS and elevated forward P/E.
- Both stocks operate in the specialty chemicals space but differ in scale and momentum, with FUL showing margin expansion despite revenue softness, while DOW faces projected quarterly losses.
Introduction
Dow Inc. (DOW) and H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) represent key players in the materials and chemicals sector, focusing on plastics, coatings, and adhesives amid fluctuating commodity cycles and industrial demand. This comparison highlights their relative performance, business models, and market positioning in recent market activity. Traders seeking cyclical exposure or income via dividends, and investors eyeing specialty chemicals for diversification, may find value in evaluating how these stocks stack up against sector headwinds like raw material costs and economic shifts.
DOW Overview and Recent Performance
Dow Inc. (DOW) is a leading materials science company offering solutions in packaging, infrastructure, and consumer applications through segments like Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings. In recent weeks, DOW shares have experienced volatility, trading around $36.77 after a 3% daily gain but pulling back from early April highs near $42. Year-to-date returns stand at an impressive 59%, driven by recovery from 52-week lows of $20.40, supported by its low beta of 0.50 and 3.81% dividend yield. Sentiment reflects caution ahead of Q1 earnings, with projected losses of $0.33 per share and revenue declines, influenced by commodity pressures and leadership transitions focused on cost optimization. Broader market rallies have provided tailwinds, though recent dips underscore cyclical risks.
FUL Overview and Recent Performance
H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) manufactures adhesives, sealants, and specialty chemicals across Hygiene, Health & Consumable Adhesives; Engineering Adhesives; and Building Adhesive Solutions segments, serving diverse end-markets globally. Shares recently closed near $64.43, up over 3% daily and approximately 20% from late-March levels around $56, buoyed by Q1 results showing adjusted EPS of $0.57 (beating estimates) and EBITDA margins expansion despite a 6.6% organic revenue drop. Key drivers include raised 2026 guidance for flat-to-2% revenue growth, a 4.3% dividend hike to enhance shareholder returns, and global price increases of at least 10% starting April. YTD performance of 8.74% trails the sector but reflects resilient profitability amid softer volumes.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Dow Inc. (DOW) dwarfs H.B. Fuller (FUL) in scale, with a $26 billion market cap versus $3.5 billion, enabling broader diversification across plastics and infrastructure but exposing it more to commodity swings. Growth drivers differ: FUL benefits from pricing power and margin gains in adhesives, projecting stable revenue, while DOW grapples with volume pressures in basic chemicals. Recent momentum favors FUL's post-earnings surge versus DOW's pre-earnings dip, though DOW's YTD edge highlights recovery potential. Risk profiles contrast with DOW's defensive lower beta and higher yield appealing for stability seekers, against FUL's higher volatility but positive EPS trajectory. Sector exposure overlaps in industrials but FUL leans toward specialized end-markets; sentiment tilts positive for FUL on analyst target raises.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely lean toward H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) in the current environment, given its recent earnings beat, guidance uplift, and price momentum, which signal nearer-term stability and catalysts over Dow Inc.'s (DOW) projected losses and volatility ahead of results. While DOW offers superior YTD trend consistency and income, FUL's relative positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in coming weeks, barring major sector shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DOW is a Hold and FUL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DOW’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFUL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DOW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FUL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DOW’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FUL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DOW’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- FUL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DOW (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а +0.65% price change this week, while FUL (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was -6.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -6.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was +21.97%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -3.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
DOW is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
FUL is expected to report earnings on Jul 01, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-6.11% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (-3.97% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| DOW | FUL | DOW / FUL | |
| Capitalization | 24.5B | 3.29B | 745% |
| EBITDA | 1.18B | 541M | 218% |
| Gain YTD | 48.511 | 1.478 | 3,282% |
| P/E Ratio | 75.92 | 20.72 | 366% |
| Revenue | 39.3B | 3.46B | 1,137% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 108M | - |
| Total Debt | 19.6B | 2.08B | 944% |
DOW | FUL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FUL's Valuation (34) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DOW (90) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that FUL’s stock grew somewhat faster than DOW’s over the last 12 months.
FUL's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as DOW (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that FUL’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
FUL's SMR Rating (78) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as DOW (96) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that FUL’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as FUL (49) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to FUL’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is significantly better than the same rating for FUL (77) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew significantly faster than FUL’s over the last 12 months.
| DOW | FUL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 8 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 61% |
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DOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DOW has been closely correlated with LYB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DOW jumps, then LYB could also see price increases.
FUL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FUL has been closely correlated with PPG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FUL jumps, then PPG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FUL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUL | 100% | -0.80% | ||
| PPG - FUL | 71% Closely correlated | +1.64% | ||
| RPM - FUL | 70% Closely correlated | +0.76% | ||
| AVNT - FUL | 70% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| IOSP - FUL | 66% Closely correlated | +0.04% | ||
| AXTA - FUL | 66% Closely correlated | +1.29% | ||
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