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FRO vs NAT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Frontline plc (FRO) vs. Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Frontline plc (FRO) and Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) are both Bermuda-based tanker shipping companies exposed to global crude oil transportation demand.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks benefiting from elevated tanker rates amid geopolitical disruptions in key shipping routes.
- FRO reported robust first-quarter 2026 results with strong adjusted profits and a substantial dividend declaration, while NAT’s first-quarter earnings are scheduled for late May 2026.
- Year-to-date returns through late May 2026 place FRO ahead of NAT on a percentage basis, though both significantly outperformed the broader market.
- FRO operates a larger fleet with greater scale in very large crude carrier (VLCC) and Suezmax segments compared to NAT’s smaller, more focused fleet.
- Market sentiment remains tied to spot freight rates, charter coverage, and ongoing Red Sea and Middle East shipping volatility affecting both companies.
Introduction
Frontline plc (FRO) and Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) represent two prominent players in the tanker shipping sector, where fleet utilization, freight rates, and geopolitical factors drive performance. Investors and traders focused on energy transportation, cyclical shipping equities, or dividend-oriented strategies often compare these names to assess relative exposure to crude oil logistics. The comparison highlights differences in scale, recent financial momentum, and positioning within a market environment shaped by supply disruptions and demand fluctuations.
FRO Overview and Recent Performance
Frontline plc (FRO) owns and operates a fleet of crude oil tankers, primarily VLCCs and Suezmax vessels, serving major oil producers and traders worldwide. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected strength from elevated spot earnings, with VLCC rates reported above $100,000 per day amid ongoing Middle East disruptions. The company delivered first-quarter 2026 results showing a profit of $559 million and adjusted profit of $345 million, accompanied by a $1.55 per share dividend. Year-to-date returns reached approximately 76 percent through late May 2026, supported by high charter bookings into the second quarter and operational leverage to freight rate volatility.
NAT Overview and Recent Performance
Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) focuses on owning and chartering a fleet of Suezmax tankers, emphasizing long-term contracts alongside spot market exposure. Recent market activity has been influenced by new charter agreements and anticipation of first-quarter 2026 earnings, scheduled for late May. Year-to-date returns stood near 62 percent through late May 2026, with the stock trading around $5.40 amid broader sector gains from disrupted shipping lanes. Management has highlighted solid contract coverage and expectations for improved sequential performance, though the company maintains a smaller operational footprint relative to larger peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Frontline plc (FRO) maintains a larger fleet and greater revenue scale than Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT), resulting in higher absolute earnings potential during periods of elevated tanker rates. NAT emphasizes a more concentrated Suezmax portfolio with notable charter coverage, which can provide relative stability but limits upside capture compared to FRO’s broader VLCC exposure. Recent momentum favors FRO following its strong first-quarter results and dividend announcement, while NAT’s performance has been steadier ahead of its earnings release. Both companies face similar risk factors, including freight rate cyclicality, fuel costs, and geopolitical route disruptions, though FRO’s size may amplify sensitivity to rate swings. Sector sentiment remains constructive for tanker equities overall, with market positioning differentiated by fleet modernization, balance sheet flexibility, and dividend sustainability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency in recent earnings delivery, charter visibility, and relative scale within the tanker sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to Frontline plc (FRO) over Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT). FRO’s demonstrated ability to capitalize on spot market strength and deliver robust adjusted results provides a clearer near-term catalyst profile. NAT’s positioning remains competitive but appears more dependent on upcoming earnings confirmation and sustained contract execution. This assessment reflects relative data patterns rather than absolute superiority.
Disclaimer
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FRO is a Buy and NAT is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FRO’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNAT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- FRO’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NAT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FRO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NAT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FRO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NAT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FRO (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +5.45% price change this week, while NAT (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +14.15% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +0.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
FRO is expected to report earnings on Aug 31, 2026.
NAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+0.60% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| FRO | NAT | FRO / NAT | |
| Capitalization | 9.26B | 1.32B | 704% |
| EBITDA | 1.12B | 90.6M | 1,234% |
| Gain YTD | 105.169 | 94.174 | 112% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.24 | 24.01 | 43% |
| Revenue | 2.25B | 331M | 680% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 2.63B | 424M | 621% |
FRO | NAT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 4 Undervalued | 7 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FRO's Valuation (4) in the Marine Shipping industry is in the same range as NAT (7). This means that FRO’s stock grew similarly to NAT’s over the last 12 months.
FRO's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Marine Shipping industry is in the same range as NAT (18). This means that FRO’s stock grew similarly to NAT’s over the last 12 months.
FRO's SMR Rating (27) in the Marine Shipping industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NAT (67). This means that FRO’s stock grew somewhat faster than NAT’s over the last 12 months.
FRO's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Marine Shipping industry is in the same range as NAT (38). This means that FRO’s stock grew similarly to NAT’s over the last 12 months.
NAT's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Marine Shipping industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FRO (65). This means that NAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than FRO’s over the last 12 months.
| FRO | NAT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 71% | 21 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 69% |
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FRO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FRO has been closely correlated with DHT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FRO jumps, then DHT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FRO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRO | 100% | +1.59% | ||
| DHT - FRO | 86% Closely correlated | +4.66% | ||
| TNK - FRO | 82% Closely correlated | +4.20% | ||
| INSW - FRO | 82% Closely correlated | +4.64% | ||
| TEN - FRO | 80% Closely correlated | +3.73% | ||
| TRMD - FRO | 75% Closely correlated | +2.92% | ||
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NAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NAT has been closely correlated with FRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NAT jumps, then FRO could also see price increases.