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FRO vs NAT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Frontline plc (FRO) vs. Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both FRO and NAT operate in the crude oil tanker sector and have reported strong second-quarter 2026 results driven by elevated spot rates amid geopolitical tensions.
- FRO delivered record quarterly net income of $659.2 million on revenue of $943.3 million, supported by average daily TCE earnings exceeding $92,000 across its diversified VLCC, Suezmax, and LR2/Aframax fleet.
- NAT posted net income of $68.3 million with TCE earnings around $63,000 per day on its Suezmax-focused fleet of 17 vessels, while increasing its quarterly dividend to $0.27 per share.
- FRO maintains a larger market capitalization near $9.8 billion compared with NAT at approximately $1.43 billion, reflecting greater scale and fleet diversity.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks achieving substantial year-to-date gains exceeding 100 percent, reflecting sustained demand for tanker capacity and supportive freight rates.
- Key contrasts include FRO’s broader vessel mix and higher absolute earnings versus NAT’s higher dividend yield and concentrated exposure to Suezmax rates.
Introduction
The tanker shipping sector has experienced robust conditions in recent weeks, with geopolitical developments contributing to elevated freight rates and improved profitability for operators. FRO and NAT represent two established players in this space, each offering exposure to crude oil transportation amid fluctuating global supply dynamics. This comparison provides traders and investors with an objective overview of their business models, recent performance metrics, and relative positioning. Market participants focused on energy transportation, dividend income, or sector momentum may find the analysis relevant when evaluating portfolio allocations within the shipping industry.
FRO Overview and Recent Performance
Frontline plc (FRO) is a major owner and operator of crude oil and product tankers, with a diversified fleet spanning VLCC, Suezmax, and LR2/Aframax vessels. In recent market activity, the company reported record second-quarter results, including net income of $659.2 million and revenue of $943.3 million, reflecting strong time charter equivalent earnings and gains from vessel sales. Performance benefited from elevated spot rates, with VLCC daily TCE reaching $152,700. The firm declared a regular dividend of $2.61 per share alongside a special payout and secured new time charters at favorable rates. These factors supported share price appreciation in recent weeks, with the stock trading near $44 amid continued sector tailwinds.
NAT Overview and Recent Performance
Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) focuses on Suezmax tankers, currently operating a fleet of 17 vessels with additional newbuildings on order. Recent performance included second-quarter net income of $68.3 million and revenue of $79.3 million, supported by average daily TCE earnings of approximately $63,000. The company increased its quarterly dividend to $0.27 per share and highlighted progress in repositioning vessels previously affected by regional tensions. Shares have traded around $6.77 in recent sessions, reflecting gains aligned with broader tanker market strength and consistent quarterly payouts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Frontline plc (FRO) and Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) share exposure to the tanker sector but differ in scale and fleet composition. FRO operates a larger, more diversified fleet that captures higher absolute TCE rates across multiple vessel classes, contributing to substantially greater quarterly earnings and market capitalization. In contrast, NAT maintains a concentrated Suezmax focus, which offers operational simplicity and a historically elevated dividend yield. Recent momentum for both has been supported by strong spot market conditions; however, FRO demonstrates greater earnings visibility through forward charter coverage and asset monetization. Risk factors include rate volatility for both, with NAT showing higher sensitivity to Suezmax-specific fluctuations. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector overall, though FRO’s larger balance sheet provides additional flexibility in capital allocation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings scale, forward bookings, and relative positioning within the tanker sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favor to FRO. Its record quarterly results, diversified fleet, and secured charters provide a broader foundation for sustained performance compared with NAT’s more concentrated profile. This assessment remains probabilistic and reflects recent data patterns rather than guarantees of future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FRO is a Buy and NAT is a Buy.
| FRO | NAT | FRO / NAT | |
| Capitalization | 11B | 1.58B | 696% |
| EBITDA | 1.67B | 158M | 1,059% |
| Gain YTD | 142.817 | 142.256 | 100% |
| P/E Ratio | 7.38 | 12.86 | 57% |
| Revenue | 2.72B | 370M | 734% |
| Total Cash | 322M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 2.44B | 407M | 598% |
FRO | NAT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NAT's Valuation (3) in the Marine Shipping industry is in the same range as FRO (8). This means that NAT’s stock grew similarly to FRO’s over the last 12 months.
NAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Marine Shipping industry is in the same range as FRO (6). This means that NAT’s stock grew similarly to FRO’s over the last 12 months.
FRO's SMR Rating (20) in the Marine Shipping industry is in the same range as NAT (38). This means that FRO’s stock grew similarly to NAT’s over the last 12 months.
FRO's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Marine Shipping industry is in the same range as NAT (35). This means that FRO’s stock grew similarly to NAT’s over the last 12 months.
FRO's P/E Growth Rating (97) in the Marine Shipping industry is in the same range as NAT (98). This means that FRO’s stock grew similarly to NAT’s over the last 12 months.
| FRO | NAT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 68% | 18 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FRO’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while NAT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FRO’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NAT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FRO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NAT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FRO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FRO (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +6.70% price change this week, while NAT (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +6.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +1.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.66%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
FRO is expected to report earnings on Nov 30, 2026.
NAT is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+1.12% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
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FRO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FRO has been closely correlated with DHT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FRO jumps, then DHT could also see price increases.
NAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NAT has been closely correlated with FRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NAT jumps, then FRO could also see price increases.