FSTA
Price
$58.11Alerts
Change
+$0.21 (+0.36%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
1.56B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
PBJ
Price
$48.56Alerts
Change
+$0.11 (+0.23%)
Updated
Nov 11 closing price
Net Assets
106.15M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FSTA vs PBJ

FSTA vs PBJ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 04, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Fidelity MSCI Consumer Staples Index ETF (FSTA) vs. Invesco Food & Beverage ETF (PBJ)

Key Takeaways

  • FSTA is a broad, market-cap-weighted consumer staples fund holding roughly 100 stocks, while PBJ is a concentrated, factor-tilted portfolio of about 30 U.S. food and beverage companies.
  • Cost structure diverges sharply: FSTA charges a 0.08% expense ratio, versus approximately 0.63% for PBJ.
  • PBJ leans into mid-cap, smaller, and higher-volatility names through a multifactor, tiered equal-weight methodology; FSTA is heavily concentrated in mega-cap household brands.
  • Liquidity and scale favor FSTA, which manages over $1 billion in assets, compared with a much smaller asset base for PBJ.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: FSTA — favored for lower costs, broader diversification, stronger liquidity, and more consistent exposure to the staples sector.

Introduction

Consumer staples ETFs often look interchangeable at first glance, but FSTA and PBJ take meaningfully different routes toward the same goal: durable, defensive exposure to the products people buy every day. FSTA offers the entire U.S. consumer staples sector in a single, low-cost basket. PBJ, by contrast, narrows the field to food, beverage, and related distribution companies using a rules-based factor screen. With inflation, interest-rate expectations, and shifting consumer demand reshaping the sector, understanding these structural differences is essential for investors weighing broad sector exposure against a more targeted, tactical approach.

Fidelity MSCI Consumer Staples Index ETF (FSTA) Overview

FSTA is a passive, market-capitalization-weighted fund that seeks to track the MSCI USA IMI Consumer Staples 25/50 Index, which represents the performance of the U.S. consumer staples sector across large, mid, and small capitalization companies. The fund holds roughly 100 stocks, with a pronounced mega-cap tilt: WMT, COST, and PG together account for more than one-third of assets, followed by names such as KO, PEP, PM, and MO. Its sector allocation is almost entirely consumer defensive, with a small sliver of consumer cyclical exposure. The expense ratio is a low 0.08%, and the fund has operated for over a decade, making it a core, low-cost vehicle for broad staples exposure.

Invesco Food & Beverage ETF (PBJ) Overview

PBJ, the Invesco Food & Beverage ETF (also known as the Invesco Dynamic Food & Beverage ETF), tracks the Dynamic Food & Beverage Intellidex Index. This is a rules-based, multifactor index that selects roughly 30 U.S. food, beverage, and agricultural product companies and scores them on price momentum, earnings momentum, quality, management action, and value. Constituents are tiered and near-equally weighted, then reconstituted and rebalanced quarterly. Top holdings have included KO, CTVA, MNST, SBUX, ADM, PEP, HSY, and KR. The expense ratio is approximately 0.63%, and the fund launched in 2005. Its sector mix is broader than pure staples, with a minority allocation to consumer cyclical, basic materials, and industrial names.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the consumer defensive universe, historically viewed as a haven during economic softness because demand for food, beverages, and household essentials remains relatively steady. Recent market cycles have been shaped by persistent food inflation, evolving consumer preferences toward value and convenience, and higher interest rates that pressure both input costs and household budgets. Large, scaled retailers and consumer brands with pricing power have generally navigated this environment more smoothly, while smaller and more specialized food and beverage companies have faced greater margin volatility. Regulatory scrutiny around pricing, sugar content, and agricultural supply chains adds a further layer of sector risk. These forces affect broad staples funds and focused food-and-beverage strategies differently, making structural positioning a key consideration.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent weeks and months, the relative positioning of the two funds has reflected their distinct construction. FSTA, weighted toward mega-cap leaders with strong balance sheets and consistent earnings, has tended to exhibit steadier, lower-volatility behavior aligned with the broad staples benchmark. PBJ, with its tilt toward mid-cap and smaller names and a factor-driven screen, has shown greater sensitivity to stock-specific news, commodity costs, and shifts in earnings momentum. Its quarterly rebalancing introduces higher turnover relative to FSTA's passive, buy-and-hold index approach. In an environment favoring large-cap quality and defensive stability, the broad diversification and lower cost of FSTA have generally supported more consistent relative positioning, while PBJ offers a more concentrated, higher-risk expression of the food and beverage theme.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. By surfacing trade ideas, trending names, breakout candidates, and emerging opportunities, the screener helps identify market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own sector and factor research.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FSTA over PBJ in the current environment. FSTA's materially lower expense ratio, broader diversification across roughly 100 holdings, stronger liquidity, and consistent mega-cap exposure provide a more cost-efficient and lower-risk way to access the defensive staples theme. While PBJ offers a differentiated, factor-driven concentration in food and beverage names that may outperform in specific momentum regimes, its higher fee, narrower breadth, and elevated volatility reduce its structural appeal for most sector allocations. This assessment reflects a probabilistic evaluation of cost efficiency, diversification, trend consistency, and risk exposure rather than a prediction of future returns.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FSTA vs. PBJ commentary
Nov 12, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FSTA is a StrongBuy and PBJ is a StrongBuy.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FSTA with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

FSTA in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026

The 10-day moving average for FSTA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 17 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FSTA as a result. In 71 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FSTA just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where FSTA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

FSTA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FSTA advanced for three days, in 251 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 234 of 316 cases where FSTA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FSTA moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 30 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FSTA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

FSTA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PBJ with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

PBJ in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026

The 10-day moving average for PBJ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 60 cases where PBJ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PBJ as a result. In 56 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

PBJ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +0.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PBJ advanced for three days, in 240 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 208 of 283 cases where PBJ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PBJ moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PBJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

PBJ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FSTAPBJ
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
73%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
70%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
87%
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
77%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
77%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
77%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
70%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
84%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
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FSTA and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FSTA has been closely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FSTA jumps, then CL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FSTA
1D Price
Change %
FSTA100%
+0.36%
CL - FSTA
75%
Closely correlated
-0.09%
PG - FSTA
74%
Closely correlated
-0.59%
CAG - FSTA
65%
Loosely correlated
-2.37%
GIS - FSTA
61%
Loosely correlated
-1.13%
HSY - FSTA
60%
Loosely correlated
+1.43%
More

PBJ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBJ has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBJ jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PBJ
1D Price
Change %
PBJ100%
+0.23%
CCEP - PBJ
60%
Loosely correlated
+0.27%
KHC - PBJ
57%
Loosely correlated
+0.12%
DOLE - PBJ
56%
Loosely correlated
+1.78%
CAG - PBJ
55%
Loosely correlated
-2.37%
MKC - PBJ
55%
Loosely correlated
+0.47%
More
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