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FTNT vs RBRK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fortinet (FTNT) vs. Rubrik (RBRK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTNT is a mature, profitable cybersecurity leader that has delivered a triple-digit year-to-date gain, while RBRK is a faster-growing cyber resilience platform still scaling toward sustained profitability.
- Fortinet recently raised full-year guidance on firewall refresh and SASE demand; Rubrik grew subscription annual recurring revenue (ARR) by roughly 33% year over year in its latest quarter.
- The two operate on contrasting models: Fortinet blends hardware and software in converged networking and security, while Rubrik is a subscription-first software-as-a-service (SaaS) data protection business.
- Fortinet offers stronger margins and free cash flow but trades at a premium price-to-earnings ratio; Rubrik carries a higher growth rate and expanding margins but only recently approached breakeven earnings.
- Both are exposed to the AI-driven security spending theme, though their risk profiles and market positioning differ meaningfully.
Introduction
Cybersecurity and data resilience have become two of the market's most closely watched themes as enterprises rush to secure AI-era workloads. This stock comparison examines FTNT and RBRK, two companies that address that demand from different angles. Fortinet is an established network-security franchise, while Rubrik is a younger cyber resilience and data protection platform. Traders and investors evaluating relative performance, market positioning, and growth-versus-profitability trade-offs may find this comparison useful. Understanding the structural differences between a mature, cash-generative leader and a fast-growing, subscription-driven challenger can help clarify which profile better suits a given risk appetite.
FTNT Overview and Recent Performance
FTNT, Fortinet, is a global cybersecurity company built around the convergence of networking and security, with a portfolio of more than 50 enterprise-grade products spanning firewalls, secure software-defined wide-area networking (SD-WAN), and secure access service edge (SASE). Recent market activity has been notably strong: the stock has climbed sharply over the past year and touched a fresh 52-week high in recent weeks, extending a rally driven by accelerating demand for its unified security platform.
Momentum has been supported by improving fundamentals. In its most recent quarterly report, Fortinet posted a 26% year-over-year revenue increase, with product revenue up roughly 52% and billings rising about 33%. Management raised full-year revenue, billings, and non-GAAP earnings guidance, while non-GAAP operating margin reached a quarterly record. Analysts note the company's purpose-built silicon and single operating system give it a differentiated position in the "SASE firewall" cycle, and recent product launches have leaned into securing AI workloads. The principal trade-off is valuation: the stock trades at a substantial forward price-to-earnings multiple after its extended run.
RBRK Overview and Recent Performance
RBRK, Rubrik, provides cyber resilience, data security, and AI operations software, helping enterprises protect and recover critical data across cloud, identity, and application environments. The company operates a subscription-first model, with growth measured primarily through subscription ARR (annual recurring revenue) and cloud ARR.
Recent performance reflects durable, high-quality expansion rather than the mature profit profile of an industry incumbent. In its latest reported quarter, Rubrik grew subscription ARR by about 33% year over year, with subscription revenue up roughly 37% and total revenue up about 38%. Subscription net revenue retention remained above 119%, and the number of customers contributing $100,000 or more in ARR rose by more than 20%. Wall Street consensus has moved toward a "Strong Buy" stance, and several analysts have raised price targets in recent weeks, citing improved execution and the platform's evolution into broader enterprise resilience. The key contrast is profitability: Rubrik is only recently approaching breakeven non-GAAP earnings, making it a higher-growth but earlier-stage business.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business model is the clearest dividing line. FTNT blends purpose-built hardware appliances with recurring software and support, generating substantial free cash flow and record operating margins, but leaving it sensitive to product refresh cycles. RBRK is a subscription SaaS platform whose revenue is recurring by design, trading some near-term profitability for faster growth and stronger revenue retention.
Growth dynamics also diverge. Fortinet's acceleration is tied to a firewall replacement cycle and rising demand for SASE and AI security; Rubrik's growth is driven by data protection, identity resilience, and newer AI operations offerings. On momentum, Fortinet has been one of the sector's strongest performers, while Rubrik's move has been more measured, with a smaller market capitalization and a higher beta to shifts in software-sector sentiment.
Risk factors differ as well. Fortinet faces valuation sensitivity after a sharp rally and exposure to hardware demand cycles. Rubrik carries execution risk around scaling profitability, competition in data protection, and a richer growth multiple. Sector exposure is shared—both benefit from rising cyber budgets—but their positioning within that theme is complementary rather than identical.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FTNT at present. Fortinet combines a confirmed uptrend, record margins, accelerating billings, and raised guidance with a scale and cash-generation profile that statistical models tend to weight favorably. Rubrik's faster growth and strong retention are compelling, but its earlier-stage profitability and more volatile multiple introduce greater uncertainty. That said, the assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive: if momentum rotates toward higher-growth, subscription-driven software, the AI's relative preference could shift. Investors should weigh these observable characteristics against their own objectives rather than treat any single signal as conclusive.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FTNT is a StrongBuy and RBRK is a Hold.
FTNT in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026
FTNT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 41 cases where FTNT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
FTNT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTNT advanced for three days, in 235 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 156 of 219 cases where FTNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FTNT moved out of overbought territory on October 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 62%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTNT as a result. In 55 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FTNT turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTNT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. FTNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (81.124) is normal, around the industry mean (15.452). P/E Ratio (59.965) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.610). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.939) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.212) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.065) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
Momentum Indicator for RBRK turns negative, indicating new downward trend
RBRK saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 39 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RBRK moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 12 of the 16 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 24 of 29 cases where RBRK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RBRK turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 15 of the 21 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RBRK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
RBRK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
RBRK moved above its 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RBRK advanced for three days, in 128 of 153 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 114 of 130 cases where RBRK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-47.075) is normal, around the industry mean (15.452). P/E Ratio (-89.299) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.610). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.212) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.774) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RBRK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RBRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
FTNT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 42 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| FTNT | RBRK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 87% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 70% | 15 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 7 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 88% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FTNT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green while RBRK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FTNT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- RBRK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FTNT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RBRK’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FTNT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RBRK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FTNT (@Computer Communications) experienced а -11.11% price change this week, while RBRK (@Computer Communications) price change was -5.50% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was +2.99%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.74%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
FTNT is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
RBRK is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Communications (+2.99% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
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FTNT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTNT has been closely correlated with PANW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FTNT jumps, then PANW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FTNT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTNT | 100% | +1.40% | ||
| PANW - FTNT | 77% Closely correlated | +1.45% | ||
| CRWD - FTNT | 74% Closely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| SHOP - FTNT | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.91% | ||
| OKTA - FTNT | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| DT - FTNT | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.70% | ||
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RBRK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RBRK has been closely correlated with CRWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RBRK jumps, then CRWD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RBRK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBRK | 100% | +0.89% | ||
| CRWD - RBRK | 72% Closely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| OKTA - RBRK | 67% Closely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| PANW - RBRK | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.45% | ||
| IOT - RBRK | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.84% | ||
| FTNT - RBRK | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.40% | ||
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