Analysis and predictions FWRD vs UPS
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FWRD is a Hold and UPS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FWRD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileUPS’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- FWRD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- UPS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FWRD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UPS’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FWRD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- UPS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FWRD (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а -3.96% price change this week, while UPS (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was +0.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was -1.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
FWRD is expected to report earnings on Jul 25, 2024.
UPS is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Air Freight/Couriers (-1.23% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| FWRD | UPS | FWRD / UPS | |
| Capitalization | 763M | 127B | 1% |
| EBITDA | 146M | 12.7B | 1% |
| Gain YTD | -62.542 | -6.513 | 960% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.63 | 18.93 | 93% |
| Revenue | 1.37B | 91B | 2% |
| Total Cash | 122M | 6.07B | 2% |
| Total Debt | 1.95B | 26.7B | 7% |
FWRD | UPS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 54 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UPS's Valuation (54) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FWRD (80). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FWRD (100). This means that UPS’s stock grew somewhat faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's SMR Rating (26) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FWRD (43). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FWRD (94). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
UPS's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FWRD (63). This means that UPS’s stock grew similarly to FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
| FWRD | UPS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 55% |
FWRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FWRD has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FWRD jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FWRD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FWRD | 100% | -0.97% | ||
| XPO - FWRD | 75% Closely correlated | +1.41% | ||
| HUBG - FWRD | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| LSTR - FWRD | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| GXO - FWRD | 37% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| JBHT - FWRD | 33% Poorly correlated | +0.05% | ||
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UPS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UPS has been loosely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UPS jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UPS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPS | 100% | +1.81% | ||
| XPO - UPS | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.41% | ||
| GXO - UPS | 47% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| LSTR - UPS | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| FDX - UPS | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.18% | ||
| HUBG - UPS | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
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