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GRC vs ITW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? The Gorman-Rupp Company (GRC) vs. Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- The Gorman-Rupp Company (GRC) has delivered a year-to-date return of approximately 60%, significantly outperforming Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)'s 10% gain amid recent market activity.
- GRC's recent quarterly earnings exceeded expectations with 7.7% revenue growth, boosting its stock momentum.
- ITW announced a 7% dividend increase, underscoring its focus on shareholder returns and stability.
- GRC trades at a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34 compared to ITW's 26, reflecting a growth premium versus value stability.
- Both stocks operate in the industrials sector, but GRC's niche in pumps contrasts with ITW's diversified model across multiple segments.
- ITW's larger market capitalization of $78 billion provides greater liquidity than GRC's $2 billion.
Introduction
In the industrials sector, investors and traders often weigh small-cap growth stories against large-cap stability. This comparison between The Gorman-Rupp Company (GRC) and Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) highlights their relative performance, business models, and market positioning. GRC, a specialized pump manufacturer, has captured attention with recent surges, while ITW, a diversified industrial giant, emphasizes consistent returns. Momentum traders may eye GRC, whereas long-term investors might prefer ITW's scale and dividends. Understanding these dynamics aids in portfolio allocation amid evolving market conditions.
GRC Overview and Recent Performance
The Gorman-Rupp Company (GRC) designs, manufactures, and sells pumps and pump systems for applications in water, wastewater, construction, industrial, and other sectors. Headquartered in Mansfield, Ohio, it serves global markets through distributors and direct sales. In recent market activity, GRC stock has exhibited strong upward momentum, with shares rising over 20% in the past month and delivering a one-year gain exceeding 100%. This performance stems from upbeat quarterly results, including revenue growth of 7.7% year-over-year that surpassed analyst estimates, alongside a rising order backlog. Positive sentiment has been fueled by earnings beats and dividend declarations, though its beta of 1.26 indicates higher volatility relative to the market.
ITW Overview and Recent Performance
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is a multinational manufacturer of engineered products across seven segments, including automotive OEM, food equipment, welding, and construction products. Its decentralized model drives innovation and efficiency, serving diverse end-markets globally. Recent weeks have seen steady performance for ITW, with shares up modestly year-to-date at around 10% and a one-year return of 15%. A 7% dividend hike reinforced its appeal for income-focused investors, supported by robust profitability metrics like a 19% profit margin and return on equity (ROE) nearing 94%. Broader industrial demand and operational resilience have sustained sentiment, despite a beta of 1.14 signaling moderate volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GRC and ITW both anchor in industrials but diverge in scale and focus. GRC's niche pump business exposes it to cyclical water and construction demand, yielding high growth potential but elevated risk from order fluctuations. Conversely, ITW's diversified segments across automotive, welding, and polymers provide resilience and steady revenue streams. Recent momentum favors GRC with explosive gains versus ITW's measured appreciation. Risk profiles differ: GRC's smaller cap amplifies volatility, while ITW benefits from liquidity and a superior dividend yield. Market sentiment leans toward GRC for short-term trades but ITW for long-term positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor GRC for traders seeking momentum, given its superior trend consistency, earnings catalysts, and relative outperformance in recent months. ITW appeals more to stability-oriented strategies with its scale and income generation. This assessment reflects observable data patterns, with probabilities tilting toward continued short-term strength in GRC absent major shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GRC is a Buy and ITW is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GRC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileITW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GRC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ITW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GRC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ITW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GRC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ITW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GRC (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +3.51% price change this week, while ITW (@Industrial Machinery) price change was +2.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -3.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
GRC is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
ITW is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-3.12% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| GRC | ITW | GRC / ITW | |
| Capitalization | 2.4B | 77.9B | 3% |
| EBITDA | 126M | 4.74B | 3% |
| Gain YTD | 91.282 | 10.561 | 864% |
| P/E Ratio | 39.25 | 24.63 | 159% |
| Revenue | 695M | 16.2B | 4% |
| Total Cash | 29.9M | 827M | 4% |
| Total Debt | 293M | 9.15B | 3% |
GRC | ITW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 23 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 48 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 28 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ITW's Valuation (20) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GRC (67). This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than GRC’s over the last 12 months.
GRC's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ITW (48). This means that GRC’s stock grew somewhat faster than ITW’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's SMR Rating (12) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GRC (59). This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than GRC’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GRC (36). This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to GRC’s over the last 12 months.
GRC's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as ITW (38). This means that GRC’s stock grew similarly to ITW’s over the last 12 months.
| GRC | ITW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 32% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 68% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 26 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 51% |
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GRC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRC has been closely correlated with LECO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GRC jumps, then LECO could also see price increases.
ITW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITW has been closely correlated with AOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ITW jumps, then AOS could also see price increases.