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HWM vs RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Howmet Aerospace (HWM) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Howmet Aerospace (HWM) has delivered significantly stronger year-to-date performance with approximately 33% returns compared to RTX Corporation (RTX)’s roughly 6% in the recent market period.
- Both companies operate in the aerospace and defense sector, with HWM focused primarily on commercial aerospace components and RTX maintaining broader exposure to defense contracts and commercial engines.
- Recent analyst activity shows multiple upward price target revisions for HWM, reflecting robust demand in commercial aerospace, while RTX has secured several large defense-related contracts amid ongoing geopolitical factors.
- HWM trades at higher absolute price levels with stronger recent momentum, whereas RTX offers a larger market capitalization and upcoming quarterly earnings that could influence near-term sentiment.
- Relative performance data indicates HWM has outperformed RTX over the past year, though both stocks have shown resilience in a mixed market environment for industrials.
- Market positioning highlights trade-offs between HWM’s commercial growth drivers and RTX’s defense stability, with neither stock demonstrating clear dominance across all metrics.
Introduction
This comparison examines Howmet Aerospace (HWM) and RTX Corporation (RTX), two established players in the aerospace and defense industry. Investors and traders seeking exposure to commercial aviation recovery and defense spending often evaluate these names side by side due to their complementary yet distinct business profiles. The analysis focuses on recent relative performance, sector dynamics, and observable market factors to help market participants assess positioning within the broader industrial segment. Both equities have attracted attention from institutional and retail audiences monitoring supply chain trends, contract awards, and earnings trajectories in a period of elevated geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) specializes in engineered metal products and components primarily for commercial aerospace applications, including airframe structures and engine parts. In recent market activity, the stock has demonstrated notable strength, closing at approximately 272.43 on July 17, 2026, with year-to-date returns near 33% and one-year returns around 45%. Performance has benefited from sustained demand in commercial aviation and multiple analyst price target increases during the period. Broader sentiment has been supported by positive earnings momentum and integration of acquisitions, contributing to consistent upward price movement relative to broader market benchmarks.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX) operates across commercial aerospace, defense systems, and related services, encompassing major segments such as Pratt & Whitney engines and Raytheon defense technologies. The stock closed near 193.51 on July 17, 2026, posting year-to-date returns of approximately 6% and one-year returns near 30%. Recent developments include multiple large defense contract awards and preparations for second-quarter earnings scheduled for July 23, 2026. Market activity reflects steady contract flow amid defense budget priorities, though relative gains have lagged broader industrial peers in the recent period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) and RTX Corporation (RTX) differ in business focus, with HWM emphasizing commercial aerospace components and RTX balancing commercial aero with substantial defense exposure. Growth drivers for HWM center on airline fleet modernization and aftermarket demand, while RTX benefits from government contracts and missile systems production. Recent momentum favors HWM, evidenced by superior year-to-date and one-year returns alongside repeated analyst target upgrades. RTX has recorded notable contract wins but shows more modest price appreciation in the same timeframe. Risk factors include supply chain dependencies for both, with RTX additionally exposed to geopolitical contract variability and HWM to commercial cycle fluctuations. Sector exposure overlaps in aerospace, yet RTX’s larger market capitalization and diversified revenue base provide different scale characteristics. Overall market sentiment has treated HWM with stronger upward revisions recently, creating distinct trade-offs for investors prioritizing growth versus stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative performance stability, and recent catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a probabilistic preference toward Howmet Aerospace (HWM) in the current environment. Stronger year-to-date returns, multiple upward price target adjustments, and sustained commercial aerospace demand contribute to more consistent momentum signals compared with RTX Corporation (RTX). RTX maintains solid defense positioning with upcoming earnings as a potential catalyst, yet its more modest recent gains introduce relative caution. This assessment reflects data-driven pattern recognition rather than absolute certainty and should be weighed alongside individual portfolio considerations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HWM is a Buy and RTX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HWM’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileRTX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HWM’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HWM’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HWM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +6.18% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +9.96% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -0.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.50%.
Reported Earning Dates
HWM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-0.19% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HWM | RTX | HWM / RTX | |
| Capitalization | 116B | 287B | 40% |
| EBITDA | 2.55B | 15.4B | 17% |
| Gain YTD | 41.232 | 16.895 | 244% |
| P/E Ratio | 1677.84 | 37.46 | 4,479% |
| Revenue | 8.62B | 90.4B | 10% |
| Total Cash | 2.44B | 6.82B | 36% |
| Total Debt | 4.69B | 38.9B | 12% |
HWM | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 45 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 9 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (57) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HWM (100). This means that RTX’s stock grew somewhat faster than HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the null industry is in the same range as RTX (8). This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to RTX’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (30) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (67). This means that HWM’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Price Growth Rating (8) in the null industry is in the same range as RTX (9). This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to RTX’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (38). This means that HWM’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
| HWM | RTX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 49% | 10 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 48% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 58% |
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HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
RTX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RTX has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RTX jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.