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HWM vs RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HWM has shown stronger year-to-date performance at around 17%, compared to RTX's decline of about 4%, fueled by robust commercial aerospace demand.
- Over the past year, HWM delivered approximately 73% returns, outpacing RTX's 39% gain, highlighting superior momentum in recent market activity.
- RTX benefits from a massive backlog exceeding $200 billion and recent defense contracts, providing stability amid sector volatility.
- Both stocks operate in the aerospace and defense sector, but HWM focuses on components with higher growth potential, while RTX offers diversification across engines and missiles.
- Recent one-month performance shows HWM slightly up 0.6%, contrasting RTX's nearly 10% drop, reflecting divergent sentiment.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines HWM and RTX, two key players in the aerospace and defense sector benefiting from rising air travel demand and geopolitical tensions. Traders seeking momentum plays may favor recent outperformers, while long-term investors could prioritize diversified backlogs and contracts. With commercial aerospace recovery accelerating and defense spending steady, this analysis highlights relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning to aid informed decision-making in the current environment.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) is a leading supplier of engineered components for jet engines, fasteners, and structures, serving both commercial and defense aerospace markets. Trading around $240 per share with a market cap of approximately $96 billion, HWM boasts a trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of 65, reflecting premium valuation amid growth. In recent weeks, the stock experienced minor pullbacks but maintained positive one-month gains of about 0.6% and year-to-date returns near 17%, outperforming broader indices. Sentiment has been bolstered by strong demand for aerospace parts, a recent dividend approval, and anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings, alongside executive leadership additions signaling operational strength.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX) provides advanced systems in aerospace and defense, including Pratt & Whitney engines, Collins Aerospace avionics, and Raytheon missiles, with a market cap exceeding $236 billion. Shares hover near $176, with a trailing P/E of 33. Recent market activity saw a one-month decline of nearly 10% and year-to-date drop of 4%, pressured despite solid Q1 2026 results that beat estimates on $22.1 billion sales and key defense contracts like missile sensors and propulsion systems. Factors influencing performance include sector selloffs and budget uncertainties, offset by a robust backlog and investments in production capacity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HWM and RTX share aerospace exposure but diverge in models: HWM specializes in high-margin components tied to engine demand, offering purer commercial growth leverage, while RTX balances defense (missiles, radars) with broader aviation, reducing cyclicality via a $200+ billion backlog. Growth drivers favor HWM's rapid sales expansion (11% projected), versus RTX's steadier 9% rise. Recent momentum tilts to HWM, but RTX exhibits lower beta (0.43 vs. 1.24), signaling less volatility. Risks include HWM's sensitivity to air travel cycles and RTX's exposure to defense budgets. Sentiment leans positive for HWM on recovery tailwinds, with RTX supported by contracts amid geopolitical shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HWM over RTX due to superior trend consistency, YTD momentum, and positioning in commercial aerospace upcycle, which shows higher probability of near-term outperformance versus RTX's recent pressures despite stable catalysts like earnings beats and contracts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HWM is a StrongBuy and RTX is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HWM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileRTX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HWM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HWM’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HWM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +5.07% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +1.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -1.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
HWM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-1.16% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HWM | RTX | HWM / RTX | |
| Capitalization | 106B | 247B | 43% |
| EBITDA | 2.55B | 15.4B | 17% |
| Gain YTD | 29.225 | 0.821 | 3,558% |
| P/E Ratio | 61.41 | 34.43 | 178% |
| Revenue | 8.62B | 90.4B | 10% |
| Total Cash | 2.44B | 6.82B | 36% |
| Total Debt | 4.69B | 38.9B | 12% |
HWM | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 29 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 70 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (49) in the null industry is in the same range as HWM (74). This means that RTX’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as RTX (16). This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to RTX’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (29) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (67). This means that HWM’s stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Price Growth Rating (44) in the null industry is in the same range as RTX (51). This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to RTX’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's P/E Growth Rating (45) in the null industry is in the same range as RTX (70). This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to RTX’s over the last 12 months.
| HWM | RTX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 7 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 5 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 10 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 50% | 12 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 37% |
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HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
RTX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RTX has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RTX jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.