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IAG vs PAAS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) vs. Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IAMGOLD is a gold-focused producer whose recent financial results were amplified by record gold prices, while Pan American Silver is a diversified silver-and-gold miner generating record cash flow across a broader Americas portfolio.
- Both companies strengthened balance sheets and stepped up shareholder returns, but IAMGOLD emphasizes share buybacks while Pan American Silver pairs a growing dividend with a larger repurchase framework.
- IAMGOLD is entering a catalyst-rich period tied to technical reports and a potential Côté Gold expansion, whereas Pan American Silver's main catalyst is the phased La Colorada Skarn development.
- Relative performance has diverged: IAMGOLD shares have risen sharply over the past year, while Pan American Silver's recent momentum has been supported by analyst upgrades to Buy ratings.
- Risk profiles differ — IAMGOLD carries single-mine execution and royalty-linked cost exposure, while Pan American Silver faces large capital-project and jurisdictional concentration risks.
Introduction
Investors evaluating precious metals exposure frequently weigh a pure gold producer against a diversified silver-and-gold operator. This stock comparison examines IAG (IAMGOLD Corporation) and PAAS (Pan American Silver Corp.), two Canada-headquartered miners with very different portfolios and growth narratives. The comparison is relevant to traders assessing relative performance and market positioning within the metals sector, as well as to longer-term investors comparing business models, capital-return policies, and project catalysts. Although both companies benefit from elevated precious metals prices, their cost structures, geographic exposure, and execution risks differ meaningfully, making a side-by-side review useful for anyone building or rebalancing a mining allocation.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation is a gold producer with operations in Canada and West Africa. Its portfolio is anchored by the Côté Gold mine in Ontario, a 70%-owned joint venture with Sumitomo Metal Mining, alongside the Westwood mine in Quebec and the Essakane mine in Burkina Faso. In recent weeks, the company reported quarterly attributable gold production of roughly 183,600 ounces and revenue exceeding $1 billion, supported by an average realized gold price near $4,859 per ounce. Strong cash generation allowed IAMGOLD to repurchase about $260 million of its own shares, repay $100 million of credit-facility debt, and move to a net cash position. Credit-rating agencies responded favorably, with Moody's upgrading the company. Near-term sentiment has also been shaped by a temporary conveyor disruption at Côté, which limited throughput, though management expects full-capacity operations to resume after a scheduled belt replacement. Over the past year, the stock has delivered outsized gains relative to its industry.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver Corp. is a diversified precious and base metals producer with silver and gold operations across the Americas, including assets in Mexico, Peru, Bolivia, Argentina, and Canada. Recent market activity has been driven by a strong quarterly report in which the company posted sales near $1.15 billion, net income of roughly $457 million, and free cash flow (cash generated after sustaining capital spending) of about $488 million, lifting cash and short-term investments to a record near $1.8 billion. Management introduced an enhanced shareholder-return framework targeting distribution of 35% to 40% of annual attributable free cash flow, with up to $1 billion of combined dividends and buybacks planned for 2026. The company also declared a quarterly dividend and advanced its La Colorada Skarn project with a revised preliminary economic assessment (PEA), a study estimating a project's economic viability. Several sell-side firms subsequently upgraded the stock to Buy ratings, contributing to a more constructive sentiment backdrop.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most sharply in business model and sector exposure. IAMGOLD is essentially a single-commodity story: its results and share price are closely tied to gold prices and to the ramp-up of Côté Gold. Pan American Silver, by contrast, derives revenue from silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper across many mines, which can smooth volatility but also dilutes direct exposure to any one metal. On growth drivers, IAMGOLD is pursuing debottlenecking and an eventual Côté expansion incorporating the Gosselin zone, while Pan American Silver is funding the phased La Colorada Skarn development, a capital-intensive project that reduces upfront risk but adds long-term execution demands. Recent momentum favors both names, though for different reasons: IAMGOLD's relative strength reflects gold's rally and aggressive buybacks, whereas Pan American Silver's gains followed earnings beats and analyst upgrades. Key risk factors include royalty-linked and energy-driven cost pressure at IAMGOLD, and project-execution plus country-concentration exposure at Pan American Silver. From a valuation standpoint, Pan American Silver trades with a larger market capitalization and a more established dividend, while IAMGOLD's lower diversification means higher sensitivity to a single commodity price.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, catalyst positioning, and relative stability, Tickeron's AI would likely express a nuanced preference rather than a one-sided call. IAMGOLD currently shows stronger relative momentum and a clearer near-term catalyst path through technical reports and the Côté expansion, but its concentrated gold exposure and single-asset execution risk temper that strength. Pan American Silver offers greater diversification, record liquidity, and a more durable capital-return framework, yet its forward narrative depends heavily on executing a large, multi-year project. Probabilistically, the AI framework would likely favor IAMGOLD for momentum-driven strategies in the current gold environment, while leaning toward Pan American Silver for investors prioritizing diversification and sustained shareholder returns. Neither position is presented as a definitive recommendation, and relative positioning can shift as metal prices and project milestones evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IAG is a Buy and PAAS is a Hold.
IAG's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for IAG moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 18 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IAG as a result. In 59 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IAG just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where IAG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Following a +13.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IAG advanced for three days, in 256 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
IAG moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IAG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
IAG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for IAG entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IAG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.435) is normal, around the industry mean (2.121). P/E Ratio (9.380) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.330) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.102) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
PAAS in +4.39% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 09, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where PAAS advanced for three days, in 238 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PAAS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAAS just turned positive on November 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAAS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
PAAS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 49 of 66 cases where PAAS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PAAS as a result. In 58 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAAS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for PAAS entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.320) is normal, around the industry mean (2.121). P/E Ratio (12.180) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.330) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.533) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PAAS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
IAG | PAAS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 55 Fair valued | 47 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAAS's Valuation (47) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (55). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PAAS (64). This means that IAG’s stock grew somewhat faster than PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's SMR Rating (34) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (43). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (64). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's P/E Growth Rating (91) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (93). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to IAG’s over the last 12 months.
| IAG | PAAS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IAG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PAAS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- IAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PAAS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IAG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAAS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IAG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- PAAS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IAG (@Precious Metals) experienced а +16.85% price change this week, while PAAS (@Precious Metals) price change was +4.18% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
IAG is expected to report earnings on Feb 18, 2027.
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.08% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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IAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IAG has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IAG jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IAG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAG | 100% | -2.43% | ||
| AEM - IAG | 89% Closely correlated | -2.36% | ||
| KGC - IAG | 89% Closely correlated | -0.28% | ||
| WPM - IAG | 89% Closely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| CGAU - IAG | 88% Closely correlated | -4.01% | ||
| ARIS - IAG | 88% Closely correlated | -2.45% | ||
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PAAS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAAS has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAAS jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAAS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAAS | 100% | -1.38% | ||
| WPM - PAAS | 90% Closely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| FSM - PAAS | 89% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| IAG - PAAS | 87% Closely correlated | -2.43% | ||
| AEM - PAAS | 87% Closely correlated | -2.36% | ||
| AGI - PAAS | 87% Closely correlated | -2.76% | ||
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