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IAG vs RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) vs. Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- IAG, a gold producer, delivered over 144% returns in the past year but experienced a recent three-month pullback of about 26%, reflecting higher volatility (beta of 2.28).
- RGLD, a precious metals royalty firm, offers steadier performance with a year-to-date gain of around 4% and lower volatility (beta of 0.55).
- IAG trades at a forward P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of about 7-8, appearing more attractively valued than RGLD's 20+, highlighting a value-growth trade-off.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated gold prices, but RGLD's non-operating model reduces exposure to mining risks like production disruptions.
- IAG market cap stands at roughly $9.6 billion, half of RGLD's $19.5 billion, indicating differing scales in the gold sector.
- Recent sentiment favors stability amid market volatility, with RGLD showing resilience post-earnings.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits IAG against RGLD, two prominent players in the precious metals space. IAG represents traditional gold production, while RGLD focuses on royalties and streams. Investors seeking direct gold exposure with growth potential or passive income via royalties may find this analysis relevant, especially in a market driven by commodity trends and inflation hedges. The review highlights relative performance, valuation, and sector dynamics for informed stock comparison decisions.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) is a mid-tier gold producer with operations in Canada, Burkina Faso, and development projects worldwide. Its business centers on mining and exploration, generating revenue from gold sales. In recent market activity, IAG shares have shown significant momentum, surging over 144% in the past year amid rising gold prices. However, the stock pulled back about 26% over the recent three months, trading around $16.60 with a market cap of approximately $9.6 billion. Key influences include fourth-quarter 2025 results showing reduced net debt by $515 million and record revenue, boosting sentiment before volatility from broader market corrections hit gold miners. Production updates and sustainability reporting have supported long-term positioning.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) operates as a precious metals streaming and royalty company, acquiring interests in mines without operational involvement. This model provides revenue from production shares, minimizing costs and risks. Recently, RGLD has exhibited relative stability, with shares around $230-234 and a $19.5 billion market cap. Year-to-date performance stands at about 4%, outperforming IAG's flat returns, though down 17% since last earnings amid sector rotation. Sentiment benefits from gold strength and new stream acquisitions, with lower beta reflecting reduced volatility compared to producers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
IAG and RGLD both leverage gold price upside but differ sharply in business models: IAG’s direct mining exposes it to operational risks like cost inflation and geopolitical issues in West Africa, while RGLD’s royalty/streams yield predictable cash flows with minimal capex. Growth drivers include IAG’s production ramps and RGLD’s portfolio expansions. Recent momentum favors IAG’s explosive gains versus RGLD’s steadiness, but risk factors weigh heavier on the producer amid volatility. Sector exposure is pure precious metals for both, though RGLD diversifies via silver streams. Market sentiment tilts toward lower-risk plays like royalties in uncertain environments, per recent analyses.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors RGLD for its trend consistency, lower beta, and resilient positioning in recent market activity. While IAG offers value and upside potential from production leverage, RGLD’s stability and catalysts like upcoming earnings provide a probabilistic edge for near-term relative performance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IAG is a Hold and RGLD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IAG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileRGLD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- IAG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IAG’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IAG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IAG (@Precious Metals) experienced а +16.74% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was +8.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +9.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +14.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was +68.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+9.39% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| IAG | RGLD | IAG / RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 11B | 20.8B | 53% |
| EBITDA | 1.96B | 1.03B | 190% |
| Gain YTD | 15.464 | 10.809 | 143% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.13 | 29.67 | 38% |
| Revenue | 3.41B | 1.31B | 261% |
| Total Cash | 551M | 234M | 235% |
| Total Debt | 651M | 596M | 109% |
IAG | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 36 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 49 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (19) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IAG (73). This means that RGLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than IAG’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (34). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's SMR Rating (36) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (64). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (53). This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RGLD (44). This means that IAG’s stock grew somewhat faster than RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
| IAG | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 78% | 8 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 71% |
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