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IPAR vs PG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Inter Parfums (IPAR) vs. Procter & Gamble (PG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Inter Parfums (IPAR) is a niche fragrance licensor with higher growth potential but greater regional and margin volatility.
- Procter & Gamble (PG) is a diversified consumer staples leader prized for stability, scale, and a 69-year dividend-growth streak.
- IPAR is delivering low-single-digit revenue growth with margin pressure from tariffs and Middle East disruption, while PG posts steadier, broad-based organic growth.
- PG carries a far larger market capitalization and lower beta (a measure of volatility versus the broader market), positioning it as a defensive holding.
- Both companies face commodity, tariff, and geopolitical cost headwinds, but their risk profiles and growth drivers differ materially.
Introduction
Investors comparing IPAR and PG are weighing two very different ways to own the consumer space. Inter Parfums is a mid-cap fragrance house that licenses prestige brands, while Procter & Gamble is a mega-cap staples giant spanning beauty, grooming, health care, fabric and home care, and baby care. This stock comparison is relevant to traders seeking relative performance signals as well as longer-term investors weighing growth against stability. Because the two companies differ in size, sector exposure, and risk profile, examining their recent market positioning helps clarify which type of portfolio each is better suited to serve.
IPAR Overview and Recent Performance
IPAR, or Inter Parfums, Inc., develops, manufactures, and distributes prestige fragrances under license agreements with brand owners such as Coach, Montblanc, GUESS, Jimmy Choo, Kate Spade, and Van Cleef & Arpels. It operates through European-based and U.S.-based segments and sells into more than 120 countries. In recent quarters, the company delivered record top-line results, with first-quarter net sales rising about 2% to roughly $345 million and earnings per share (EPS, or profit allocated to each outstanding share) of $1.35, beating estimates. Growth was led by Coach, Montblanc, and GUESS, while North America and Latin America showed particular strength.
However, recent market activity has been mixed. The company reaffirmed full-year guidance of approximately $1.48 billion in sales and $4.85 in EPS, but analysts have noted pressure from tariffs, unfavorable brand mix, and geopolitical disruption in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, which pushed certain regional sales lower. Margins have been choppy, and a Goldman Sachs Hold rating with a $128 price target reflects cautious sentiment. The shares have traded in a wide band in recent weeks, with the stock's relative performance reflecting both resilient category demand and lingering macro uncertainty.
PG Overview and Recent Performance
PG, The Procter & Gamble Company, is one of the world's largest consumer packaged goods makers, with brands including Tide, Pampers, Gillette, Pantene, and Crest. Its five business segments span Beauty, Grooming, Health Care, Fabric & Home Care, and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. In fiscal 2026, the company reported revenue of roughly $87 billion, up about 3% year over year, with net income of approximately $16 billion. Recent quarterly results showed broad-based growth across categories and regions, with adjusted EPS beating consensus expectations.
Despite steady demand, PG has faced cost headwinds from commodities, tariffs, and Middle East logistics disruptions, which management estimated at about $0.25 per share for the fiscal year, skewing results toward the lower end of its guidance range. The stock is often viewed as a defensive, income-oriented holding: PG has paid a dividend for 135 consecutive years and raised it annually for 69 years, qualifying it as a Dividend King. With a lower beta and a yield around 2.7%, its market positioning emphasizes reliability over rapid share-price appreciation, and analysts have generally maintained a Buy consensus with modest price-target upside.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge sharply on business model and scale. IPAR relies on licensed brands and discretionary fragrance demand, giving it higher gross margins (recently above 65%) but also concentrated risk tied to fashion cycles and regional disruptions. PG owns its brands outright and sells everyday necessities, generating steadier, if slower, organic growth with diversified revenue across dozens of categories.
Growth drivers also differ. IPAR's momentum depends on new launches and brand extensions, with management pointing to a blockbuster pipeline concentrated in 2027. PG's growth is powered by productivity, pricing, and innovation across a massive installed base. On risk factors, IPAR carries meaningful exposure to geopolitics, tariffs, and foreign exchange, while PG faces commodity and logistics costs but benefits from pricing power and defensive demand. Sector exposure and market sentiment reinforce the contrast: IPAR is a higher-beta, mid-cap growth story with a Hold-leaning analyst stance, whereas PG is a low-beta, mega-cap staple with a Buy consensus and strong income appeal. The trade-off is fundamentally growth potential versus stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward PG in the current environment. PG's diversified revenue base, consistent dividend growth, lower volatility, and Buy-rated analyst sentiment offer a steadier trend profile, even as cost headwinds cap near-term upside. IPAR presents a more compelling longer-dated growth catalyst in its 2027 launch pipeline, but its regional disruptions and margin compression introduce greater near-term uncertainty. The AI's preference would therefore be probabilistic rather than absolute: PG currently appears better positioned for stability-focused strategies, while IPAR may warrant attention for traders with higher risk tolerance and a longer time horizon.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IPAR is a Hold and PG is a StrongBuy.
IPAR in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for IPAR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IPAR as a result. In 53 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IPAR just turned positive on October 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where IPAR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
IPAR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IPAR advanced for three days, in 235 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 61 cases where IPAR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IPAR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
IPAR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IPAR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.546) is normal, around the industry mean (21.072). P/E Ratio (23.582) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.552). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.406) is also within normal values, averaging (1.902).
PG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026
PG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 25 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PG as a result. In 38 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PG just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where PG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.
The 50-day moving average for PG moved above the 200-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +1.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PG advanced for three days, in 156 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 45%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 80 of 252 cases where PG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 32%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
PG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.288) is normal, around the industry mean (21.072). P/E Ratio (24.788) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.552). PG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.813) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.092) is also within normal values, averaging (1.902).
IPAR | PG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 89 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 33 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IPAR's Valuation (70) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as PG (81). This means that IPAR’s stock grew similarly to PG’s over the last 12 months.
PG's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as IPAR (52). This means that PG’s stock grew similarly to IPAR’s over the last 12 months.
PG's SMR Rating (33) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as IPAR (48). This means that PG’s stock grew similarly to IPAR’s over the last 12 months.
PG's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as IPAR (43). This means that PG’s stock grew similarly to IPAR’s over the last 12 months.
IPAR's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as PG (32). This means that IPAR’s stock grew similarly to PG’s over the last 12 months.
| IPAR | PG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 30% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 36% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 45% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 67% | 9 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 32% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IPAR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PG’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- IPAR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IPAR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IPAR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IPAR (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +8.17% price change this week, while PG (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +5.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +4.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.59%.
Reported Earning Dates
IPAR is expected to report earnings on Mar 02, 2027.
PG is expected to report earnings on Jan 20, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+4.44% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
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IPAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IPAR has been loosely correlated with PG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if IPAR jumps, then PG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IPAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPAR | 100% | +5.53% | ||
| PG - IPAR | 45% Loosely correlated | +3.25% | ||
| CLX - IPAR | 44% Loosely correlated | +5.71% | ||
| EL - IPAR | 40% Loosely correlated | +6.31% | ||
| SPB - IPAR | 39% Loosely correlated | +7.72% | ||
| HELE - IPAR | 39% Loosely correlated | +25.39% | ||
More | ||||
PG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PG has been closely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PG jumps, then CL could also see price increases.
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