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KGC vs PAAS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) vs. Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KGC has outperformed PAAS year-to-date (YTD), gaining 3.41% compared to 1.41%.
- Both stocks have rallied significantly over the past year amid soaring gold prices near $4,800 per ounce, with KGC up approximately 109%.
- KGC trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.57 versus PAAS's 20.24, indicating potential relative value.
- PAAS provides a higher dividend yield of 1.04% compared to KGC's 0.49%.
- Analysts maintain Strong Buy ratings on both, with recent price target upgrades for PAAS and positive coverage for KGC.
- KGC boasts a larger market capitalization of $35.3 billion versus PAAS's $21.9 billion.
Introduction
In today's market, characterized by elevated precious metals prices and commodity sector volatility, comparing KGC and PAAS provides valuable insights for investors and traders. Both are prominent players in gold and silver mining, benefiting from gold's surge above $4,800 per ounce and silver's parallel gains. This stock comparison highlights relative performance, valuations, and sector dynamics, aiding those seeking exposure to inflation hedges or momentum plays in mining equities. Professional traders tracking metal price trends and retail investors diversifying portfolios will find the analysis relevant for informed decision-making.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) is a leading gold producer with operations across the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. The company also extracts silver as a byproduct. In recent market activity, KGC shares have demonstrated strength, trading around $29.55 with a 52-week range of $13.28 to $39.11. Year-to-date gains stand at 3.41%, supported by robust first-quarter 2026 results featuring record free cash flow (FCF) of about $838 million and net income of $843 million. Despite a post-earnings dip amid profit-taking, positive analyst sentiment persists, with Strong Buy ratings and coverage from firms like Goldman Sachs and UBS. Elevated gold prices and operational efficiencies have bolstered performance, though shares remain sensitive to metal price fluctuations.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) operates silver and gold mines in countries including Mexico, Peru, Argentina, and Canada, with distinct silver and gold segments like La Colorada and Jacobina. Recently, shares trade near $51.81, within a 52-week range of $22.08 to $69.99. YTD performance is 1.41%, reflecting silver's outperformance alongside gold rallies. Key developments include updates on the La Colorada Skarn mine and strong analyst support, with price targets raised to $65-$75 by firms like Scotiabank and RBC Capital. The stock has shown resilience in volatile sessions, driven by record 2025 results and growth prospects, though it faces similar commodity price risks as peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KGC focuses primarily on gold production, while PAAS emphasizes silver with meaningful gold output, providing PAAS greater leverage to silver price swings. Growth drivers include mine expansions for both, such as PAAS's La Colorada advancements versus KGC's operational efficiencies. Recent momentum favors KGC with superior YTD returns and lower P/E valuation. Risk factors are comparable—metal price dependency and geopolitical exposures—with PAAS showing slightly higher beta (1.53 vs. 1.40). Both benefit from precious metals sector tailwinds, but KGC's larger scale offers stability, while PAAS appeals for dividend income. Market sentiment remains bullish on both amid sustained high metal prices.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward KGC based on stronger YTD momentum, lower P/E ratio, record recent free cash flow, and consistent outperformance relative to PAAS. Factors like trend stability and valuation positioning suggest higher probability of near-term upside for KGC in the prevailing gold-driven environment, though both remain attractive for precious metals exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KGC is a StrongBuy and PAAS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KGC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePAAS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PAAS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KGC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAAS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KGC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PAAS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
KGC (@Precious Metals) experienced а -2.44% price change this week, while PAAS (@Precious Metals) price change was +1.18% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| KGC | PAAS | KGC / PAAS | |
| Capitalization | 30.6B | 20.3B | 151% |
| EBITDA | 5.15B | 2.22B | 232% |
| Gain YTD | -8.924 | -6.535 | 137% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.89 | 15.19 | 72% |
| Revenue | 7.96B | 4B | 199% |
| Total Cash | 2.19B | 1.61B | 135% |
| Total Debt | 738M | 845M | 87% |
KGC | PAAS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAAS's Valuation (18) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (28). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (59). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's SMR Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (45). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (61). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's P/E Growth Rating (83) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (95). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
| KGC | PAAS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 65% |
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KGC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KGC has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KGC jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.