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NI vs NWN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? NiSource Inc. (NI) vs. Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both NI and NWN operate as regulated gas utilities, offering defensive stability with low betas of 0.57 and 0.49, respectively (beta measures a stock's volatility relative to the broader market).
- NI holds a significantly larger market capitalization at $23 billion compared to NWN's $2.2 billion, reflecting greater scale.
- NWN provides a higher dividend yield of 3.73% versus NI's 2.50%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Year-to-date returns show NI at 16.65% slightly ahead of NWN's 15.36%, with one-year gains of 26.71% and 28.48%, respectively.
- Recent power supply agreements with tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon have boosted sentiment around NI.
- Both stocks approach Q1 earnings releases, with analysts anticipating growth for each.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines NI and NWN, two prominent players in the regulated gas utilities sector. Both companies deliver essential natural gas services amid rising energy demands and infrastructure investments. Investors seeking defensive positions with reliable dividends, low volatility, and exposure to steady utility cash flows may find this analysis valuable. In the current market environment, characterized by interest rate sensitivity and sector rotation toward staples, understanding their relative performance, growth drivers, and risk profiles aids informed decision-making on stock comparison and market positioning.
NI Overview and Recent Performance
NiSource Inc. (NI) is a leading energy holding company serving natural gas and electric customers across multiple states through its Columbia Gas and NIPSCO segments. It operates extensive pipeline networks and generates electricity from diverse sources including coal, gas, hydro, wind, and solar. In recent market activity, NI stock has demonstrated resilience, with year-to-date gains of 16.65% and a one-year return of 26.71%. Trading near its 52-week high of $48.98, the stock reflects positive sentiment driven by long-term power agreements with tech leaders like Alphabet and Amazon for data centers, alongside ambitious capital investments. Upcoming Q1 earnings are expected to show EPS growth, supporting its trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 24.66 and forward P/E of 23.58.
NWN Overview and Recent Performance
Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN), headquartered in Portland, Oregon, focuses on regulated natural gas distribution in the Pacific Northwest via its gas utility segment, complemented by water services and renewable natural gas ventures. The company manages gas storage and asset services for diverse customers. Recent performance has been solid, with year-to-date returns at 15.36% and one-year gains of 28.48%, positioning it near the upper end of its 52-week range of $39.10 to $55.99. Factors influencing sentiment include record 2025 results, initiated 2026 EPS (earnings per share) guidance of $2.95–$3.15, and rate base expansion. Its trailing P/E of 19.08 and forward P/E of 18.12 underscore valuation appeal, bolstered by a strong dividend history.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, NI offers diversification through gas and electric operations across more states, contrasting NWN's regionally concentrated gas and water focus. Growth drivers differ: NI benefits from tech-fueled power demand and infrastructure capex, while NWN emphasizes rate base growth and renewables. Recent momentum favors NWN on one-year returns but NI year-to-date. Risk profiles are comparable with low betas, though NI's scale mitigates execution risks. Both share utilities sector exposure, but NWN edges on dividend yield (3.73% vs. 2.50%) and lower P/E, trading off against NI's broader catalysts and analyst targets averaging $50.79.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward NI over NWN in relative performance analysis. Factors include NI's superior year-to-date momentum, strategic data center deals signaling long-term demand, and larger operational scale amid utility sector tailwinds. While NWN offers compelling yield and valuation, NI's trend consistency and catalysts position it probabilistically stronger for near-term outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NI is a Hold and NWN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNWN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NWN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NWN’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NWN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
NI (@Gas Distributors) experienced а +1.37% price change this week, while NWN (@Gas Distributors) price change was -0.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was -0.67%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.59%.
Reported Earning Dates
NI is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
NWN is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (-0.67% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
| NI | NWN | NI / NWN | |
| Capitalization | 22.7B | 2.06B | 1,100% |
| EBITDA | 3.14B | 483M | 651% |
| Gain YTD | 14.661 | 6.979 | 210% |
| P/E Ratio | 23.51 | 16.79 | 140% |
| Revenue | 6.82B | 1.29B | 531% |
| Total Cash | 71.9M | 34.9M | 206% |
| Total Debt | 16.8B | 2.68B | 626% |
NI | NWN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 73 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NWN's Valuation (18) in the Gas Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NI (75). This means that NWN’s stock grew somewhat faster than NI’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Gas Distributors industry is significantly better than the same rating for NWN (73). This means that NI’s stock grew significantly faster than NWN’s over the last 12 months.
NI's SMR Rating (71) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NWN (79). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to NWN’s over the last 12 months.
NI's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NWN (53). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to NWN’s over the last 12 months.
NI's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NWN (47). This means that NI’s stock grew similarly to NWN’s over the last 12 months.
| NI | NWN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 10 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 31% | 4 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 45% |
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NI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NI has been closely correlated with ATO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NI jumps, then ATO could also see price increases.
NWN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NWN has been closely correlated with SR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NWN jumps, then SR could also see price increases.