Investors seeking consumer discretionary exposure often reach for one of two very different exchange-traded funds (ETFs): the globally diversified iShares Global Consumer Discretionary ETF (RXI) and the U.S.-centric Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY). Both are passively managed funds tracking the same broad economic theme, yet they compete for the same investor dollar through contrasting structures, cost profiles, and risk characteristics. This ETF comparison examines how each fund is built, what drives its sector exposure, and how relative positioning has played out in recent market cycles — providing a framework for deciding which vehicle better matches a given portfolio objective.
RXI is a passively managed fund that seeks to track the S&P Global 1200 Consumer Discretionary Sector Capped Index. Launched in September 2006, the fund holds roughly 140 stocks spanning both developed and emerging markets, giving investors one-ticket access to global producers of non-essential goods and services.
Because the index is capitalization-weighted and capped, no single name dominates the portfolio. Top holdings include AMZN (Amazon, roughly 15–16%), TSLA (Tesla, about 6–7%), HD (Home Depot), Alibaba, Toyota Motor, MCD (McDonald's), TJX, LVMH, BKNG (Booking Holdings), and LOW (Lowe's). Geographically, U.S. issuers account for roughly 60% of assets, with meaningful weight in Japan, China, France, Germany, and the U.K. The fund carries a 0.37% expense ratio and is best suited to investors prioritizing diversification and international reach over rock-bottom cost.
XLY is a passively managed fund that tracks the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index, which represents the consumer discretionary segment of the S&P 500. Launched in December 1998, it is among the oldest and largest products in the category, with assets under management (AUM, the total market value of fund assets) in the tens of billions of dollars and robust daily trading volume.
The fund holds roughly 50 large-cap U.S. stocks and is market-capitalization weighted, resulting in significant concentration. Its top holdings include AMZN (Amazon, about 23–24%), TSLA (Tesla, roughly 17–19%), HD (Home Depot), MCD (McDonald's), BKNG (Booking Holdings), TJX, SBUX (Starbucks), LOW (Lowe's), DASH (DoorDash), and GM (General Motors). Its expense ratio is just 0.08%, and its U.S.-only, mega-cap profile gives it a higher beta and greater single-name sensitivity than its global peer.
Both funds sit squarely in the consumer discretionary sector, meaning their fates are tied to household spending, employment trends, interest rates, and consumer confidence. Discretionary names are particularly sensitive to borrowing costs: elevated mortgage and financing rates have weighed on big-ticket purchases such as autos and home improvement, while resilient services demand has supported travel, dining, and leisure operators. Meanwhile, e-commerce and digital platforms continue to consolidate market share, keeping Amazon and Tesla as outsized drivers of both portfolios. Regulatory scrutiny of large technology platforms and shifting trade policy also introduce cross-currents, especially for RXI's international and China-linked holdings. In this environment, the two funds differ less in what they own than in how concentrated and how global that ownership is.
Over recent weeks and months, the two funds have generally moved in the same direction but with meaningfully different magnitude. XLY's heavier weight in Tesla and Amazon has amplified both upside and downside, while its pure U.S. large-cap footprint has tied it closely to domestic earnings cycles and interest-rate expectations. RXI's broader, globally diversified book has tended to cushion single-name shocks, though its smaller size and international exposure have introduced currency and regional factors that XLY does not carry. As a result, XLY has typically displayed higher volatility and sharper relative positioning, while RXI has offered more tempered, diversified fund performance. For investors, the choice often comes down to whether concentrated U.S. momentum or diversified global balance better fits their risk tolerance.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to surface trade ideas, trending stocks, and breakout candidates more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own ETF comparison and uncover opportunities aligned with your strategy.
Weighing structural strength, cost efficiency, diversification profile, trend consistency, and risk exposure, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward XLY. Its 0.08% expense ratio, deep liquidity, and concentration in market-leading U.S. consumer franchises give it a measurable edge in cost-adjusted efficiency and signal consistency. That said, RXI's global breadth and lower single-name concentration make it a reasonable alternative for investors seeking diversified sector exposure. The verdict reflects a probabilistic preference rather than a certainty, and it may shift as sector momentum and risk conditions evolve.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
RXI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 31 of the 35 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 89%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RXI moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 28 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RXI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RXI as a result. In 70 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
RXI moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for RXI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +0.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RXI advanced for three days, in 227 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 164 of 230 cases where RXI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.
XLY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 70 of the 77 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.
XLY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +2.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLY advanced for three days, in 275 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 228 of 272 cases where XLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for XLY moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
XLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
| RXI | XLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 89% | 6 days ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 85% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 6 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 84% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RXI has been loosely correlated with CCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if RXI jumps, then CCL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RXI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RXI | 100% | -0.48% | ||
| CCL - RXI | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.20% | ||
| HD - RXI | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.09% | ||
| RACE - RXI | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| LOW - RXI | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| NCLH - RXI | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.67% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLY has been loosely correlated with CCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if XLY jumps, then CCL could also see price increases.
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